Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Binghamton, NY

June 27, 2006Lackawanna County, Wayne County, Pennsylvania

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jun 27, 2006, 6:06 AM EDT for Lackawanna County, Wayne County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 27, 2006, 6:06 AM EDT (10:06 UTC)
Expired: Jun 27, 2006, 9:00 AM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Binghamton, NY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Lackawanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 269 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 523 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 262 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 335 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS51 KBGM 271008
FFWBGM
PAC069-127-271300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
606 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  LACKAWANNA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
  WAYNE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

* UNTIL 900 AM EDT

* AT 604 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN IN LACKAWANNA AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
  SCRANTON...DUNMORE...CARBONDALE...HONESDALE...LAKE ARIEL.

HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THROUGH 9 AM. RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN AREAS WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS 
PERSIST... WHICH WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING.

LAT...LON 4178 7508 4127 7537 4139 7580 4152 7570
      4167 7547 4194 7543

$$


MSE

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS71 KBGM 271123
FFSBGM

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
720 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

PAC069-127-271300-
LACKAWANNA PA-WAYNE PA-
720 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 900 AM EDT FOR WAYNE AND
LACKAWANNA COUNTIES...

AT 716 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING BACK INTO THE WARNED AREA. 
THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED FROM HEADLEY IN WAYNE COUNTY...TO EXTREME 
SOUTHERN LACKAWANNA COUNTY. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING OVER THE SAME 
AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO STARLIGHT...
SHEHAWKEN...RUTLEDGEDALE...PLEASANT MOUNT...HIAWATHA AND BETHANY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THESE AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

LAT...LON 4178 7508 4127 7537 4118 7562 4152 7570
      4167 7547 4194 7543

$$

PB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 27, 3:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 3:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
310 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

.SHORT TERM (TODAY - WEDNESDAY)...
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED FROM 24 HOURS AGO.  RAINFALL CONTINUES TO
STREAM NORTH INTO FA IN AREA OF DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW...AS TROF
REMAINS TO OUR WEST AND BERMUDA HIGH REMAINS EAST.  CONVECTION
INCREASING AGAIN THIS MORNING ACROSS CHESAPEAKE BAY AREA...SIMILAR
TO LAST NIGHT.  THIS IS ALL STREAMING NORTH INTO AREAS THAT CANNOT
HANDLE ANY MORE RAINFALL AND UPSLOPE FLOW MAY LEAD TO LOCAL
ENHANCEMENT TO PCPN THIS MORNING.  BACK EDGE OF PCPN BEGINNING TO
ENTER SRN ZONES...BUT JUST AS IT APPEARS TO HAVE AN END MORE
DEVELOPS.  THIS WILL BE THE TREND MOST OF THE DAY AS AIRMASS REMAINS
SATD WITH PW VALUES NEARING 2.00 INCHES AND 40KT LLJ CONTINUING.  FA
WILL ALSO REMAIN IN DIVERGENCE AREA OF UL JET...THUS CATEGORICAL
POPS ARE IN ORDER FOR TODAY.

RIDGING MAY BE ABLE TO BUILD FAR ENOUGH WEST TO LEAD TO JUST SCTD
PCPN ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ZONES TODAY.  DRYING BEING SEEN ON WV HAS
PUSHED INTO NJ AND SHUNTING PCPN TWD CENTRAL/WRN AREAS CURRENTLY.
HOWEVER...ANY SUN THAT MAKES IT THRU TODAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY WHERE UPSLOPE WILL HAVE AN EFFECT ACROSS
POCONOS AND CATSKILLS.  GIVEN THE AIRMASS IN PLACE AND FFG VERY LOW
IN THESE AREAS...POSSIBILITY OF FLDG REMAINS TODAY AS STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS.  HAVE SIDED WITH GFS/CANGEM
GUIDANCE AS WRF HAS HAD TENDENCY TO SHUNT PCPN BACK WEST TOO QUICKLY
PAST SEVERAL DAYS.  GFS AND CANGEM KEEPS HEAVY RAIN AXIS FURTHER
EAST AND PREFER THEIR QPF DEPICTION.

SCENARIO GOES QUICKLY DOWNHILL TONIGHT.  TROPICAL LOW CURRENTLY OFF
THE FL/GA COAST WILL GET CAUGHT UP IN MOISTURE PLUME AND RIDE NORTH
QUICKLY TONIGHT.  GFS SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH SYSTEM AND SPREADS PCPN
INTO FA ARND 06Z.  WRF IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND KEEPS HEAVIEST RAIN
OUT OF AREA UNTIL 12Z OR SO.  ONCE AGAIN...PREFER GFS SOLN AND WILL
INCREASE POPS TO CATEGORICAL FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...CONSIDERING
THE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND STRONG THETA-E CONVERGENCE OVER REGION.  AN
ADDNL 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...POSSIBLY LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS DEPENDING ON ANY CONVECTION.  HPC HAS ALMOST ENTIRE
FCST AREA IN MODERATE RISK FOR XCSV RAIN...WITH HIGH RISK DEPICTED
FOR AT LEAST HALF OF THE FA.

THAT SAID...WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA-WIDE FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO ADJUST TIMING.  THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS GROUND BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SATURATED.
AS WE GO INTO TONIGHT...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH FOR RAIN TO RUN OFF
INTO AREA RIVERS AND SITUATION WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED.
-PB

&&

.AVIATION (27/06Z TO 28/06Z)...

MAIN AREA OF RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING IS LOCATED FROM NORTH CENTRAL
PA NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL NY... INCLUDING THE ELM...ITH AND SYR TAF
SITES. EXPECT THIS AREA TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS... BUT ADDITIONAL BANDS OF HVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THRU WEDNESDAY MORNING. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE LOCALLY IFR
IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS THRU TONIGHT... OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY VFR
VSBYS AND MVFR TO VFR CIGS WITH SCT SHOWERS. BEST CHC FOR THUNDER
WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON.  -MSE

&&

.LONG RANGE (WED NIGHT - SUNDAY)...
WET CONDS CONT AS THE FCST AREA REMAINS UNDER THE UPPER TROF. TROF
AXIS GNRLY CNTRD OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND VARIOUS SHRT WVS WILL
ROTATE THRU KEEPING THE AREA UNSTABLE WITH THE RISK OF A SHWR AT
ALMOST ANY TIME. MADE ONLY SLGT ADJUSTMENTS TO HPC GUID IN TEMPS AND
POPS.  -MORFORD

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-
055>057-062 UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY.
.PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072 UNTIL 8
AM EDT WEDNESDAY.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 3:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
341 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-280745-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-
CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
341 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EXTREMELY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED DUE
TO RECENT RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ANY RAIN THAT
FALLS WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS...CAUSING
MANY TO OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS. THUS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO ALBFFABGM
WGUS61 FOR THE LATEST DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT IN SUPPORT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. RAINFALL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE INCH OR GREATER.

PB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 27, 3:18 AM EDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
318 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HAZLETON                40.95N 75.97W
06/27/2006                   LUZERNE            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED THROUGHOUT TOWN...INCLUDING ROUTE
            93. SOME ROADS BEGINNING TO WASH OUT. BLACK CREEK
            OVERFLOWING ITS BANKS...WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.

&&

PB

Local storm report, Jun 27, 4:57 AM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
457 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WYALUSING               41.67N 76.26W
06/27/2006                   BRADFORD           PA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROCKSLIDE OCCURRED IN TOWN AS A RESULT OF VERY HEAVY
            RAINFALL

0445 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CORTLAND                42.60N 76.18W
06/27/2006                   CORTLAND           NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY-WIDE STREET FLOODING

0445 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VESTAL                  42.08N 76.05W
06/27/2006                   BROOME             NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY-WIDE STREET FLOODING

0448 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LITTLE MEADOWS          41.99N 76.13W
06/27/2006                   SUSQUEHANNA        PA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            BRIDGE FLOODED IN TOWN. WATER TOPPED BRIDGE AND IS NOW
            ENTERING HOMES.

&&

PB

Local storm report, Jun 27, 5:42 AM EDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
542 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CHITTENANGO             43.05N 75.87W
06/27/2006                   MADISON            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING ACROSS NORTHERN PART OF
            COUNTY. SEVERAL HOMES EXPERIENCING CRUMBLING FOUNDATIONS
            DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

PB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 26, 10:30 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Lackawanna, Luzerne	3 hr
Jun 26, 11:31 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Wayne	89 min
Jun 27, 4:09 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Bradford, Susquehanna	2 hr
Jun 27, 7:55 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Luzerne	3 hr
Jun 27, 8:58 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Wayne	2 hr
Jun 27, 9:00 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Lackawanna	2 hr
Jun 27, 10:22 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Susquehanna, Wyoming	3 hr
Jun 27, 10:43 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Luzerne	62 min
Jun 27, 11:00 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Lackawanna, Wayne	90 min
Jun 27, 12:19 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Wayne	116 min
Jun 27, 2:07 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Wayne	3 hr
Jun 27, 2:38 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Luzerne	3 hr
Jun 27, 4:09 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Bradford	3 hr
Jun 27, 4:20 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Lackawanna, Susquehanna, Wyoming	3 hr
Jun 27, 4:57 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Wayne	6 hr
Jun 27, 5:20 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Luzerne	6 hr
Jun 27, 6:25 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	BGM	Bradford	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2006 Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.