Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
255 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT IS NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE LOWER MD EASTERN SHORE
AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL VA. NUMEROUS TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MAIN THREAT HAS BEEN HEAVY RAIN. HAVE BEEN
ISSUING NUMEROUS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WITH THESE STORMS WITH
RAINFALL RATES UP TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR. IN ADDITION, FRONT IS
ORIENTED NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE FLOW...AND SO TRAINING OF CELLS IS
OCCURRING WITH THESE TSTMS. DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE AROUND 1.5 INCHES. HAVE
ALSO HAD A FEW SEVERE REPORTS WITH VILS IN THE LOW 70S...AND SOME
MARGINAL HAIL...EVEN THOUGH FREEZING LEVEL IS AROUND 14K FEET.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED FROM THIS MORNING. STILL
EXPECT TO HAVE FRONT STALLED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC FOR AN EXTENDED
TIME PERIOD...WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EVERY DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT SBY...WHERE IFR CONDITIONS IN
PREDOMINATE TSTMS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 2-3 HOUR. SHOWERS/TSTMS PSBL
THRU THE PERIOD AS COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION OVER THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. OVERNIGHT CIGS/VSBY WILL LOWER TO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS...WITH THESE CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGHOUT
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS INCREASE TONIGHT TO 5-6 FEET WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW.
SMALL CRAFT WILL GO INTO EFFECT (FOR SEAS) WITH THIS ISSUANCE FOR
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ650-652-654 FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO
     NOON SATURDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM...09
AVIATION...FOSTER
MARINE...09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
540 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

ANZ630>632-650-652-654-656-658-
MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-241030-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND TO CHINCOTEAGUE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO NC-VA BORDER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC-VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT OUT 20 NM-
ACCOMACK VA-AMELIA VA-BERTIE NC-BRUNSWICK VA-CAMDEN NC-CAROLINE VA-
CHARLES CITY VA-CHESAPEAKE VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-CHOWAN NC-
CUMBERLAND VA-DINWIDDIE VA-DORCHESTER MD-EASTERN CURRITUCK NC-
ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-GATES NC-GLOUCESTER VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
GREENSVILLE VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-HERTFORD NC-INLAND WORCESTER MD-
ISLE OF WIGHT VA-JAMES CITY VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LANCASTER VA-LOUISA VA-LUNENBURG VA-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-MATHEWS VA-
MECKLENBURG VA-MIDDLESEX VA-NEW KENT VA-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON VA-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH VA-NORTHAMPTON VA-NORTHAMPTON NC-
NORTHUMBERLAND VA-NOTTOWAY VA-PASQUOTANK NC-PERQUIMANS NC-
POWHATAN VA-PRINCE EDWARD VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-
SOMERSET MD-SOUTHAMPTON VA-SUFFOLK VA-SURRY VA-SUSSEX VA-
VIRGINIA BEACH VA-WESTERN CURRITUCK NC-WESTMORELAND VA-WICOMICO MD-
YORK VA-
540 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE EASTERN MARYLAND SHORE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD CONTAIN HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
IN LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AND URBAN AREAS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CULLEN

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING
(LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

VAZ095-097-098-232130-
CHESAPEAKE VA-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH VA-VIRGINIA BEACH VA-
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING TOWARD NORFOLK AND VIRGINIA BEACH...

AT 443 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HAMPTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. GUSTY
WINDS...MOVING OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM...WERE MOVING INTO NORFOLK AND
NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE...AND TOWARD VIRGINIA BEACH. THESE GUSTY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR PORTLOCK AT 450 PM
EDT...KEMPSVILLE AT 455 PM EDT...GALLUPS CORNER AT 500 PM
EDT...FENTRESS AT 505 PM EDT...MOUNT PLEASANT AT 510 PM EDT...PUNGO
AT 515 PM EDT. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE PATH OF
THESE STORMS. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAINFALL AS WELL. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. IF YOU HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE INTO
A SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THESE STORMS REACH YOUR AREA. REMAIN INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

DR

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