Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
552 AM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
ERNESTO WILL LIFT THRU E/CNTRL NC AND VA THIS MRNG THRU THIS AFTN
BEFORE MVNG N OF THE ENTIRE CWA TNGT. BANDS OF HVY RAIN WILL MOVE
ACRS THE REGION THRU THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVENG...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISLTD TORNADOES OVR ERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
FLOODING A BIG CONCERN TDY INTO TNGT...AS MANY LOCATIONS CUD
RECEIVE RAINFALL AMTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. CONDITIONS CALM DWN OVRNGT
AS THE STORM AND ASSOC HVY RAINS LIFT N OF THE AREA. THE REMAINDER
OF THE WKND WILL BE PRTLY SNY WITH MAX TEMPS RANGING FM THE UPR
70S TO MID 80S...AND JUST SLGT/SML CHCS FOR SHRAS OR TSRAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LINGERING FRNTL BDNRY JUST OFF THE CST AND AN APPROACHING UPR LO
FM THE W...WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY PRTLY CLDY SKY WITH CHCS FOR
SHRAS AND TSRAS MON THRU THU. MAX TEMPS RANGING FM THE UPR 70S TO
MID 80S.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODERATE AND HEAVY RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN...
SMALL STREAM AND FLASH FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT QPF IS A LITTLE LOWER THAN BEFORE SO IT
WILL LESSEN THE RIVER FLOOD THREAT SOMEWHAT. AT PRESENT...NO RIVER
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED...BUT THE RIVERS ARE BEING MONITORED
CLOSELY AND WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING AS THE STORM
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...
CIGS AND VSBYS BOUNCING BETWEEN MVFR AND LIFR FOR MUCH OF
TDY...WITH CONDS IMPROVING TO MVFR TO VFR TWD SAT MORNG.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WRNGS INTO THIS EVENG EVERYWHERE DUE TO ERNESTO AND STRNG HI
PRES TO THE N. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS AFTN AND
EVENG...WITH TIDAL DEPARTURES EXPECTED TO BE UP TO 2 FT ABV NORMAL
ALNG THE CST AND UP TO 2.5 FT OVR THE CHES BAY.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MDZ021>025 UNTIL 2 AM SATURDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR MDZ025 UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR MDZ024-025 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ012>017-030>032-102 UNTIL 8 PM FRIDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ012>017-030>032-102 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR NCZ102 UNTIL 10 PM FRIDAY.
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR VAZ048-049-062>064-072>078-085-099 UNTIL
     2 AM SATURDAY.
  ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR VAZ060-061-065>071-079>084-086>098-100
     UNTIL 8 PM FRIDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR VAZ077-078-084>100 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR VAZ098 UNTIL 10 PM FRIDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR VAZ099-100 UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ630>633 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ630-631-633 FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 6
     AM SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ632 FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO NOON
     SATURDAY.
  ...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ650-652-654-656-658 UNTIL MIDNIGHT
     SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ650-652-654 FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY
     TO MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ656-658 FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY TO
     6 PM SATURDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...GINGRICH
AVIATION...CURRY
MARINE...HURLEY
HYDROLOGY...LYNCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006

ANZ630>632-650-652-654-656-658-
MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-021030-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND TO CHINCOTEAGUE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO NC-VA BORDER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC-VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT OUT 20 NM-
ACCOMACK VA-AMELIA VA-BERTIE NC-BRUNSWICK VA-CAMDEN NC-CAROLINE VA-
CHARLES CITY VA-CHESAPEAKE VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-CHOWAN NC-
CUMBERLAND VA-DINWIDDIE VA-DORCHESTER MD-EASTERN CURRITUCK NC-
ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-GATES NC-GLOUCESTER VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
GREENSVILLE VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-HERTFORD NC-INLAND WORCESTER MD-
ISLE OF WIGHT VA-JAMES CITY VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LANCASTER VA-LOUISA VA-LUNENBURG VA-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-MATHEWS VA-
MECKLENBURG VA-MIDDLESEX VA-NEW KENT VA-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON VA-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH VA-NORTHAMPTON VA-NORTHAMPTON NC-
NORTHUMBERLAND VA-NOTTOWAY VA-PASQUOTANK NC-PERQUIMANS NC-
POWHATAN VA-PRINCE EDWARD VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-
SOMERSET MD-SOUTHAMPTON VA-SUFFOLK VA-SURRY VA-SUSSEX VA-
VIRGINIA BEACH VA-WESTERN CURRITUCK NC-WESTMORELAND VA-WICOMICO MD-
YORK VA-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE EASTERN MARYLAND SHORE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM WILL AFFECT THE
ENTIRE AREA...WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT INTO TONIGHT.
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON FOR
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.
GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND CURRITUCK SOUND.
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT INTO EARLY THIS EVENING FOR EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL
COUNTY AREAS. HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FORECASTER ID
32

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING
(LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.