Small Craft Advisory 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
313 PM AST WED FEB 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...

ALOFT...MODELS VERY SIMILAR. TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CLOSED LOW
OVER CHUKCHI SEA TO GULF OF ALASKA WILL ROTATE NORTH OVER THE
BROOKS RANGE AND CANADA THU TO NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST FRI.
THE CLOSED LOW WILL DRIFT TO SOUTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY FRI
AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING TROUGH FROM RUSSIA SOUTH TO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. ON SAT...TROUGH FORMS OVER BERING SEA TO CREATE
SOUTHERLY FLOW WESTERN ALASKA THEN OVER ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA
SUN. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SURFACE...LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
CANADA ON THU. SHORT LIVED HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER INTERIOR
THU THEN MOVE EAST INTO CANADA FRI TO FRI NIGHT. LOW OVER NUNIVAK
ISLAND THU AFTERNOON WILL MOVE NORTH OVER NORTON SOUND FRI THEN
NORTH OF BARROW FRI NIGHT. STRONG LOW OVER CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRI
AFTERNOON WILL SPLIT INTO TWO LOWS SAT WITH ONE LOW GOING NORTH
OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND THE OTHER GOING EAST. ON SUN
AFTERNOON....LOW JUST WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL BE THE MAIN AND
STRONGER LOW. THE OTHER LOW WILL BE JUST SOUTHWEST OF SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND WITH TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT NORTH TO CAPE LISBURNE
AND SOUTHEAST OVER THE SOUNDS.

NORTH SLOPE...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. A CONTINUATION OF THE MILDER WEATHER SHOULD
BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A DECREASE IN CLOUDINESS...FOG...AND
FLURRIES WILL ACCOMPANY THE MILDER TEMPERATURES.

WEST COAST...TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RISE FROM THE SOUTH THU
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SAT AS TROUGH DEEPENS OVER BERING
SEA AND RIDGE BUILDS NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE SYSTEM
WILL BRING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

INTERIOR...CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THU AS LOW MOVES
EAST INTO CANADA. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING SNOW OVER THE WEST TO
CENTRAL INTERIOR FRI AND FRI NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILDER
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SOME ABOVE ZERO READINGS LIKELY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

DA FEB 06