Storm Warning 98, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191418 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
515 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

UPDATED ZONE 125 AND 129

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES INLAND OVER
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUN AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER
CROSSES THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUN NIGHT AND INTENSIFIES TO 984 MB MON
NIGHT 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
515 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF NORTHEASTERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
515 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT BECOMING 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT BECOMING 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 200046
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR MONTAGUE
ISLAND SUN NIGH. A 998 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 540 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AS A
983 MB LOW TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...EAST OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WEST OF CAPE CLEARE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. WIND BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 
4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST SAT MAR 18 2006

.DISCUSSION...

STORM IN NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA ON TRACK WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SNOW SHIELD SPREAD AS
FAR NORTH AS TURNAGAIN ARM. SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SLOWLY NORTH
TOWARDS EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. STRONG WINDS IN THE TURNAGAIN WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALSO AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WEAKENS. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY EXCEED 2 FEET
OVER TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE EASTERN END OF THE PORTAGE VALLEY WITH
OVER 1 FEET ELSEWHERE IN ZONE 125 IN THE COMING 24 HOURS. APPEARS
THAT SNOW WILL CROSS THE CHUGACH INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL LATE SUNDAY
AS THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM PULLS WESTWARD.

WESTERN BERING SEA LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY EAST AND MAKE
LANDFALL SUNDAY MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS COVER ALMOST ALL OF THE
BERING SEA. GALES WILL CONTINUE IN THE COLD ADVECTION AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE LOW SLOWLY DIMINISHING FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE 120. STORM 130. GALE 121 125 129 132 140 150
155 160 165 170 171 172 175 176 179. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 130 140
 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

CAS MAR 06