Gale Warning 285, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 200727 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

UPDATED ZONE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR MONTAGUE
ISLAND SUN NIGH. A 998 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 540 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AS A
983 MB LOW TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...EAST OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WEST OF CAPE CLEARE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1030 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. WIND BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 
4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201248
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTENSIFIES TO 985 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 600 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
 
$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 20 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN MAR 19 2006

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL LOWS OVER EASTERN RUSSIA AND THE NORTHERN BERING THIS
MORNING...WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THESE LOWS ACROSS WESTERN
ALASKA AND KODIAK...AND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SOUTH TO 40 N. THESE
FEATURES ARE SURROUNDED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER THE SOUTHEAST
AND NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. AT THE SURFACE...THE DOMINANT
PLAYERS ARE A PAIR OF LOWS WHICH VIRTUALLY COVER THE BERING AND
NORTHERN GULF...WITH A WEAKER LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN MERGING THE ALEUTIAN LOW WITH THE
BERING LOW...AND THEN BRINGING THE BERING LOW INTO WESTERN ALASKA
TODAY. THE GULF LOW MOVES INTO THE GENERAL AREA OF WESTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND LATER THIS MORNING WHERE IT PERSISTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. BY TONIGHT BOTH LOWS MERGE OVER THE AKPEN BEFORE MOVING
BACK INTO THE GULF MON. THE LOW THEN MOVES SLOWLY SOUTH INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC ON WED. WHILE ALL THIS IS HAPPENING...A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE BERING BY WED.

IN THE EAST...STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF LOW MOVE INTO
THE NORTH GULF COAST TODAY. WIND ACROSS THE CHUGACH IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN THIS MORNING AND ALLOW FOR SNOWFALL FOR THE ANCHORAGE ZONE.
THIS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE LOWS MIGRATE INLAND AND MERGE.
LIGHT SNOW SHOULD FALL OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN DOMAIN AND PERSIST
UNTIL THE LOWS MIGRATE BACK INTO THE GULF ON MON. LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD END BY WED.

IN THE WEST...AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY SNOW AS THE LOW
MOVES ONSHORE TODAY. VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS WILL KEEP SNOW FALLING OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH
MONDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF WILL KEEP
SHOWERS ON UPWIND SIDES OF MOUNTAINS UNTIL LATE MON WHEN MOISTURE IS
FINALLY EXHAUSTED. THE BERING SEA RIDGE FINALLY CUTS OFF ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION WHEN IT MOVES INLAND TUE.

OVER THE ALEUTIANS...STRONG WEST WIND AND SHOWERS SHOULD PERSIST OVER
THE CHAIN TODAY. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST...NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT
BEFORE BECOMING ISOLATED. THE NEXT WEATHER FRONT...FROM A KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA LOW...WILL BEGIN TO BRING GALES TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
ISLANDS MON AFTERNOON INTO WED.

IN THE EXTENDED...SEVERAL FRONTS FROM THE KAMCHATKA LOW...WITH GALES
AND PRECIPITATION...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING TOWARD THE
WEEKEND. THE BERING SEA RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE STATE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASINGLY DRY CONDITIONS EAST OF
THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA RANGES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 185
         STORMS 120
         GALES 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS MAR 06