Storm Warning 203, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 290141 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
440 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

CORRECTED HEADLINE FOR ZONE 170

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-291500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF KISKA WILL MOVE TO 90 NM WEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 980 MB WED AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO 65 NM SOUTH OF 
TOGIAK AT 989 MB THU.

$$

PKZ150-291500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-291500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-291500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-291500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-291500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 

$$

PKZ170-291500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
440 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-291500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-291500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO S WIND 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-291500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
65 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-291500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-291500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N WIND 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-291500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 291254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW NEAR 53N 175W WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 
45 NM SOUTH OF MEKORYUK BY WED EVENING AND THEN INTO THE NORTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA BY THU EVENING. A 991 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 90 NM SOUTHWEST
OF DUTCH HARBOR WED AFTERNOON AND BECOME A 1010 MB LOW IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT.  A 984 MB LOW 450 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA WED EVENING WILL BECOME A 975 MB LOW OVER EASTERN SIBERIA THU
EVENING. 
$$

PKZ150-300300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT
OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-300300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY NOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-300300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...GUSTS
TO 45 KT TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-300300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY NOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-300300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY NOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-300300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
22 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-300300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-300300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. EAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S
WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-300300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-300300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-300300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON WEST OF ST
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-300300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

.DISCUSSION...A MODERATE LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA IS THE FOCUS OF
THE WEATHER IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM HAS GOOD
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS CAN BE SEEN BY THE STRONG PUSH OF MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTH. THE UPPER SUPPORT STARTS JUST NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN
AND FEEDS IN THIS GULF OF ALASKA SYSTEM. THIS SUPPORT WILL MOVE
FAIRLY QUICKLY TO THE EAST AND THEREFORE THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND
WEAKEN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BEFORE THAT HAPPENS IT WILL BRING
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW TO THE NORTH GULF COAST. A BLIZZARD WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR ZONE 135 WHICH INCLUDES MONTAGUE AND HINCHINBROOK
ISLANDS AS WELL AS CORDOVA. THE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE AS SNOW MOVES
INTO THE AREA AND PERSIST OVERNIGHT. THE WARM AIR IN THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD BE DEFLECTED EAST OF THE CORDOVA AREA AND KEEP THE
PRECIPITATION IN THE AFOREMENTIONED PLACES SNOW. THOMPSON PASS AND
THE WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREAS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO SEE SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW THROUGH TONIGHT.

ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM IN THE WEST HAS MOVED SOUTH OF KISKA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A STRONG TEMPERATURE GRADIENT IN IT WITH
GOOD WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF IT AND INTENSE COLD ADVECTION ON THE
BACK SIDE OF IT. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE JUST NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN INTO BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY. BIG ISSUE
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE WIND ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW. AS
THIS LOW MOVES EASTWARD TEMPERATURES AT THE 850 MB LEVEL ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP UP TO 20 CELSIUS IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD TOMORROW NIGHT. A HIGH
WIND WATCH WILL THEREFORE BE ISSUED FOR ZONE 187 FOR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND ZONE 185...DUTCH HARBOR AREA...FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL SEE STRONG WINDS AS WELL BUT PROBABLY NOT QUITE
ENOUGH TO WARRANT A WATCH.

GFS IS ONCE AGAIN THE PREFERRED MODEL FOR BOTH SYSTEMS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 135. HIGH WIND WATCH 185 187.
MARINE...GALE 121 125 155 165 171 175 176 185.
         STORM 120 130 132 170 172 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NOV 06