Storm Warning 10, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 140007
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 977 MB LOW 180 NM WEST OF ADAK WILL REMAIN NEAR STATIONARY OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH FRI NIGHT THEN WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND
DISSIPATE 230 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SAT EVENING. A 989 MB LOW OVER THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL STRENGTHEN TO 965 MB 450 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR SAT AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN 972 MB 380 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY SUN.
$$

PKZ150-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.  
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ170-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.  
.SUN THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ179-141500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 13 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SAT NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.

.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST THU JAN 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE GFS IS
PREFERRED OVER THE WEST DOMAIN. EITHER THE ETA OR GFS WILL WORK OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY BUT THE GFS APPEARS TO HAVE THE
BETTER SOLUTION ON SUNDAY.

UPPER AIR...AN UPPER TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA
THROUGH THE COOK INLET AND INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL BE
PUSHED NORTHEAST INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN BY AN UPPER RIDGE MOVING
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL WEAKEN AND WILL BE ABSORBED BY ANOTHER MOVING INTO THE AREA
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY.

AT THE SURFACE.
EASTERN DOMAIN...THE WEAKENING LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL
DISSIPATE INTO A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA MOVE EAST THROUGH THE
GULF SATURDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE GULF AND ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AND END FRIDAY. CLOUDS
WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY BUT SHOULD BE
CLEARED OUT BY THE RIDGE ON SATURDAY.

WESTERN DOMAIN...WIND, RAIN AND SNOW ASSOCIATE WITH THE STROM SYSTEM
OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND
DIMINISH FRIDAY. WINDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL PICKUP AGAIN AS THE
NEXT STORM APPROACHES THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY.

AREAS LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THROUGH FRIDAY BUT SHOULD BREAK UP SATURDAY AS A NORTHEAST WIND
DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 155, 170, 175, 179.
         STORMS 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM JAN 06