Small Craft Advisory 932, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
137 PM ADT WED OCT 11 2006

.DISCUSSION...GFS/NAM IN GOOD SHORT TERM AGREEMNT WITH UPPER TROF NOW
OVER WRN ALASKA. A PORTION OF THE FEATURE LIFTS ENE TO THE BOARDER
NEXT 18-24 HRS WHILE A WEAK TROF AXIS STAYS BEHIND ALONG 160W.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP A SCATTERED SHOWER AND VARIABLY CLOUDY
FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE MAINLAND AREAS FOR THE NEXT DAY.

GFS UKMET AGREE ON NEXT LOW SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE ERN ALUTNS NEAR 45N
BOTH HAVE BEEN STRONGER AND MORE CONSISTANT THAN NAM. THIS STORM TO
MOVE NE BRINGING RAIN AND POSSIBLE MIN GALES TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TO KODIAK ISLAND THU WITH THE SOUTHERN AREAS OF
THE ISLAND SEEING THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WINDS. THE LOW
DRIFT SE ON FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER SOUTHERN MAINLAND FOR
DIER AND SUNNIER CONDITIONS THAT WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO THE 1ST PART OF NEXT WEEK AND MAYBE LONGER.

SERIES OF LOWS MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WRN AND CNTRL BERING WILL
GRAZE THE KUSKO DELTA COAST AND NUNIVAK ISLAND FOR MORE RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS RAIN AND WIND CONDITION WILL
EXTEND OUT TO THE PRIBILOFS AND ALEUTIANS AS WELL. ANOTHER WAVE WILL
DEVELOP RAPIDLY AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SAT WITH STORMS AND
GALES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY..CORDOVA AND SMALL
STREAMS OF SOUTHEAST ZONE 141
MARINE...GALE AREAS 132..150..155..175..176..185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

PERCY OCT 06