Small Craft Advisory 555, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT JUN 24 2006

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE WEST...NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO WESTERN BERING SEA SAT EVENING
AND THEN UP TOWARDS THE GULF OF ANADYR.  WEATHER FRONT MOVING THROUGH
BERING SEA SUNDAY AND OVER AK PEN MONDAY.  CONTINUED STRATUS AND FOG
FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWESTERN ZONES SAT AND SUN AS HIGH PRESSURE IS SLOWLY
PUSHED TO THE EAST.  SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTRMS OVER INLAND
AREAS...PRIMARILY SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOON.

GFS AND AK-ETA IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON GULF OF AK LOW UNTIL 24 HOURS
AFTER WHICH GFS WANTS TO MOVE CENTER INTO NORTHERN GULF WHILE ETA
KEEPS IT SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK.  BOTH MODELS DO INDICATE SURFACE LOW
WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  MORE CLOUDS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL SAT AFTERNOON AND NIGHT THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED.
WILL PROBABLY DAMPEN CHANCES FOR TSTRMS OVER MAT-SU VALLEY ALTHOUGH
CAPE VALUES ARE SIGNIFICANT.  ON SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER GULF
SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE CLOUDS AND PRECIP OVER A
CONSIDERABLE PORTION OF SOUTHCENTRAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...SEE PACKAGE
MARINE...SEE PACKAGE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

 JUN 06