Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021649 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
750 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

UPDATED ZONE 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK ISLAND WILL SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD AND
WEAKEN TODAY. A LOW WILL DEVELOP TO 980 MB WELL S OF THE FORECAST
AREA TUE NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY INTO WED. 
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.            
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
750 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR
AUGUSTINE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT
NEAR AUGUSTINE ISLAND SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021845 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
945 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

UPDATED ZONE 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK ISLAND WILL SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD AND
WEAKEN TODAY. A LOW WILL DEVELOP TO 980 MB WELL S OF THE FORECAST
AREA TUE NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY INTO WED. 
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.            
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
945 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. NE WIND 35 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 030016
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 150 NM NE OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN TO 997 MB AND MOVE 
TO 75 NM N OF COLD BAY TUE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE. A 969 MB LOW
WELL S OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB TUE AFTERNOON 
THEN WEAKEN FURTHER TO 985 MB BY WED AFTERNOON REMAINING WELL 
S OF THE FORECAST AREA.
$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20
KT BY LATE EVENING. SE OF BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN JAN 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...HEMISPHERIC PATTERN FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS OF CHANGE.
SIGNIFICANT BUCKLING OF THE JET FORECAST LATE MONDAY WITH THE JET
CURVING UP OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND SEVERAL BUCKLES ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC. WHAT THIS MEANS TO US IS A LONG WAVE TROFF MOVING BACK OVER
ALASKA AND A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. AT THE SURFACE THIS WILL BRING AN SERIES OF
EASTERLY WAVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH MID WEEK. THE ARCTIC
FRONT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE. LATE IN THE WEEK A STRONG
FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE THEY SHOULD SEE SOME
STORM FORCE WINDS. TIMING TRICKY THIS FAR OUT BUT THE IDEA IS
REASONABLE. AT LEAST THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A RETURN TO MORE
NORMAL...LESS ZONAL FLOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 172 175. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 185.

AFC JAN 06