Gale Warning 33, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 030016
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 150 NM NE OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN TO 997 MB AND MOVE 
TO 75 NM N OF COLD BAY TUE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE. A 969 MB LOW
WELL S OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB TUE AFTERNOON 
THEN WEAKEN FURTHER TO 985 MB BY WED AFTERNOON REMAINING WELL 
S OF THE FORECAST AREA.
$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20
KT BY LATE EVENING. SE OF BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST MON JAN 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...HEMISPHERIC PATTERN AT 500 MB SETTLING INTO NICE 4 WAVE
BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THE JET TO RETURN TO A MORE NORMAL
OSCILLATING PATTERN RATHER THAN THE STRAIGHT ZONAL FLOW OF LAST WEEK.
STAYING AT 500 MB FOR A MOMENT THERE IS AN INTERESTING POCKET OF
HIGHER HIGHTS/HENCE WARMER TEMPS/ THAT DEVELOPS LATE THIS WEEK OVER
BRISTOL BAY AND THEN MOVES OVER SIBERIA BY THE WEEKEND AND THEN
ALMOST TO THE NORTH POLE BY 240 HOURS. WOW. A LITTLE ODD TO SEE THAT
WARM THAT FAR NORTH THIS TIME OF YEAR...BUT STILL POSSIBLE. IF IT
HAPPENS VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL SLIP UNDER THE HIGH AND SPREAD
ACROSS THE BERING SEA STARTING NEXT WEEKEND. LIKE I SAID A LITTLE ODD
BUT THE PATTERN LOOKS GOOD AND THE ATMOSPHERE DOES HAVE QUITE A BIT
OF STORED ENERGY TO TRANSPORT AS THE CIRCULATION CELLS RECOVER FROM
THE ZONAL FLOW.

FOR THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE THE LOW THAT HAS BEEN SOAKING KODIAK
IS MOVING ACROSS THE AK PENINSULA TODAY AND GOING TO HANG OUT NEAR
COLD BAY TUESDAY. A LITTLE TROFF WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY A BIG LOW WILL PUSH A FRONT
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH SOME STORM FORCE WINDS AND LOTS OF
MOISTURE. MAINLAND AREAS WILL CONTINUE ON THE COOLING TREND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 172 175. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 185.

AFC JAN 06