Small Craft Advisory 230, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST FRI MAR 10 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM WITH MOST OF THE
DIFFERENCE SOUTH OF OUR AREA BY SATURDAY.  GENERALLY WENT WITH THE
GFS FOR MOST AREAS BUT LEANED A LITTLE TO THE ETA OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS NOW CENTERED OVER THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND THE CENTRAL INTERIOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH UPPER JET MOVING ALONG THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND THROUGH
SUSITNA VALLEY AND KENAI PENINSULA TODAY AND THOUGH PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND TONIGHT. A DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL
CONTINUING DEEPENING AND CENTERAL BERING BY SUNDAY.

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE SOUTHCENTRAL GULF COAST FROM THE
LOW MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA ALONG WITH THE COLD AIR MASS OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR HAS SET
UP FOR STRONG WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHCENTRAL COAST TODAY AND WARNING
LEVEL WINDS FOR THE VALDEZ ZONE AND ALONG THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

A 980 MB LOW WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE NORTH INTO
THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND CONTINUE TO DEEPEN INTO THE 970S BY
SATURDAY AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE BERING AREA AROUND
THIS LOW BEFORE IT START TO WEAKEN SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 181 185.
MARINE...STORMS 155 170 180 179.
         GALES 120 121 129 138 150 160 165 171 172 175 176.

MAR 06