Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 170507 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
800 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

UPDATED ZONES 121 AND 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL DRIFT EAST INTO THE
EASTERN GULF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT.  
$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
800 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 


$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
800 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 171222
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF FRIDAY NIGHT AND WEAKEN. 


$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. PATCHY FOG THIS
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. HIGHEST
WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI FEB 17 2006

.TODAY...E TO NE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
250 PM AST THU FEB 16 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THEY ALL SHOW THE UPPER OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA SLOWLY BREAKING DOWN THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND WILL
BE REPLACED BY A STRONG ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE STATE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

UPPER AIR...THE UPPER SHORT WAVE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND THE
CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST CANADA TONIGHT. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK INTO EASTERN ALASKA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT THEN WEAKEN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
SATURDAY.

SURFACE...THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN CANADA FRIDAY
NIGHT.

A 996 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL WILL TURN NORTHWEST
AND MOVE INTO DEEPEN TO 982 MB OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THE WILL
MOVE NORTH INTO SIBERIA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR AND
KODIAK ISLAND FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY SATURDAY
NIGHT.

ANOTHER 996 MB LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY
MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AND DEEPEN
TO 987 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN CONTINUE NORTH ALONG THE BERING
SEA COAST INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE
WEATHER FRONT LINKED WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA SATURDAY AND THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE MARINE FORECAST.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM FEB 06