Gale Warning 982, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041904 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

UPDATED ZONE 121 138 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO SHELIKOF STRAIT TODAY
AND DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKA THIS
MORNING WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING. A STRONG
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE MORNING IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A 962 MB LOW 310 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KTS BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BECOMING 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...EAST WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BECOMING 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 20 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041949 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1050 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

UPDATED ZONE 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO SHELIKOF STRAIT TODAY
AND DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKA THIS
MORNING WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING. A STRONG
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE MORNING IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A 962 MB LOW 310 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KTS BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BECOMING 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...EAST WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BECOMING 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1050 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 20 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
1000 AM AST MON DEC 4 2006

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 050117 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT EXTENDING FROM A 962 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF SAND 
POINT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE MORNING AND TRACK TO 
THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN GULF TUE EVENING. A 982 MB LOW WILL FORM 
750 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT TUE EVENING AND MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF YAKUTAT WED AFTERNOON AT 975 MB.  
$$

PKZ120-051500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-051500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT
SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTH
OF CAINES HEAD E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 7 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOUTH
OF CAINES HEAD E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-051500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-051500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-051500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-051500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-051500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-051500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-051500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 4 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST SUN DEC 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...A MAJOR UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY SITTING OVER THE
SEA OF OKHOTSK WITH A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA. A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE IS SITTING OVER WESTERN
NORTH AMERICA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM WASHINGTON STATE
NORTHWARD THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE YUKON AND ALL THE WAY
INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALASKA. AN IMPRESSIVE 200 KT ZONAL JET
LIES ALONG 40N LATITUDE. THIS TYPE OF PATTERN DRIVES STORMS
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC (SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS) AND
THEN NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. IT IS ALSO VERY COMMON
TO SEE A LOW TRAIN FORM OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AS TRIPLE POINT
LOWS CONTINUALLY DEVELOP AND DEEPEN WITH UPPER SUPPORT AND COLD
AIR FEEDING INTO THEM WHILE OLDER LOWS WEAKEN. THE MODELS USUALLY
DONT HANDLE THIS PATTERN VERY WELL SO CONFIDENCE BEYOND DAY 2
IS LOW. BOTTOM LINE THOUGH IS THAT THIS IS A WARM AND WET PATTERN
FOR THE GULF COASTAL REGION.

AT THE SURFACE...THERE IS A 988 MB LOW JUST EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
WITH OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF. MAXIMUM GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE FRONT ARE SLOWLY
DIMINISHING. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS ALSO PRODUCING GAP WINDS
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INCLUDING THE MAT VALLEY/TURNAGAIN ARM/BROAD
PASS AND STRONG FLOW DOWN COOK INLET AND SHELIKOF STRAIT. ALL WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW WEAKENS.
LOTS OF MOISTURE IS OVERSPREADING THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WITH SOME
DOWN SLOPING ON THE LEE SIDE OF MOUNTAINS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW HAS
FALLEN IN BRISTOL BAY WITH OVER 7 INCHES AT KING SALMON SINCE
PRECIPITATION BEGAN LAST NIGHT. LOOK FOR THIS TO CONTINUE AS THE
SURFACE LOW SITS NEAR KODIAK ISLAND FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. 12
SOUNDINGS FOR ANCHORAGE AND KODIAK SHOW A SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WARM AIR HAS TURNED PRECIPITATION TO RAIN
ALONG THE GULF COAST. IN FACT SOME TEMPS HAVE RISEN INTO THE 40S. AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS TEMPS WILL SLOWLY FALL AGAIN AND INLAND LOCATIONS
WILL ALL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SNOW.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF TRACKING
NORTHWESTWARD. NONE OF THE MODELS PICKED UP ON THIS LOW. FIRST PERIOD
OF FORECAST WILL BE ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS LOW.

A 966 MB LOW ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS IS TRACKING
EAST-NORTHEAST PUSHING THE OCCLUDED FRONT TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS.
STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

MODELS...
GFS/AVN VERIFIES BETTER THAN NAM/ETA ON SURFACE LOW POSITIONS. ALSO
WITH A LOT OF THE ACTIVITY ON THE OUTER EDGE OF THE NAM/ETA DOMAIN
THINK GFS/AVN WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THINGS.

FORECAST...
UPPER TROUGH FROM NORTHERN BERING TO SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND WILL FALL APART AS IT LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH MONDAY. WITH
RIDGING TO THE NORTH KODIAK SURFACE LOW WILL REMAIN IN VICINITY
OF KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY AS IT DISSIPATES. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND SNOW IN BRISTOL BAY.
INLAND LOCATIONS MAY SEE A FEW SHOWERS AS BANDS OF SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. COLDER AIR
ALOFT WILL ADVECT ACROSS GULF TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH SO TEMPS WILL
COOL OFF AND SOME COLDER COASTAL LOCATIONS MAY MIX WITH SNOW. THERE
WILL BE A DRYING TREND MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING BUT THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH CURRENT LOW SOUTH OF WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK
TOWARD GULF MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE MULTIPLE LOWS OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC AT THIS TIME BUT AS MENTIONED EARLIER IT WILL BE DIFFICULT
TO FIGURE OUT WHICH WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW. IN ANY CASE ANOTHER
ROUND OF PRECIPITATION AND WARMER TEMPS WILL BE IN STORE FOR THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND EARLY TO MID WEEK. COASTAL LOCATION WILL PICK UP
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION AND INLAND LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE
LITTLE.

OUT WEST...ALEUTIANS AK PEN SOUTHERN BERING WILL SEE LOTS OF WINDS
AND RAIN AS STRONG FRONT MOVES OVERHEAD TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS
SYSTEMS MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE MAINLAND COLD AIR WILL BE PULLED
DOWN ACROSS THE BERING REGION MID TO LATE WEEK SO LOOK FOR A
SHOWERY AND GUSTY PATTERN TO DEVELOP.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 191. HIGH WIND WARNING 187.
MARINE...STORM 172 175. GALE 120 121 132 150 155 170 171 176 179 185
350 410.

SEB DEC 06