Gale Warning 891, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 190646 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
945 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

UPDATED ZONE 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 
972 MB LOW MOVES TO NEAR SITKA SUNDAY MORNING THEN INLAND OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA. A 979 MB LOW MOVES TO 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF 
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 500 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO 990 MB MONDAY 
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF THE COPPER
RIVER DELTA. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
945 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT...STRONGEST NEAR WHITTIER. GUSTS TO 45 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT...STRONGEST NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT....

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGEST WINDS NORTH END OF STRAIT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. STRONGEST WINDS NORTH END OF STRAIT AND OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGEST WINDS NORTH END OF STRAIT AND OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY NOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING
TO 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY NOON. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191209
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 965 MB LOW NEAR SITKA MOVES UP THE COAST TO NEAR ICY POINT SUN
AFTERNOON THEN TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 983 MB 
MON MORNING. THE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS BY 
EARLY TUE MORNING. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN 
ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN GULF THROUGH THE PERIOD.
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF THE 
COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF 
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 200052
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 974 MB LOW 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKA MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 980 MB THIS EVENING. THIS LOW THEN MOVES 270 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KETCHIKAN AND WEAKENS TO 993 MB MONDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 19 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SAT NOV 18 2006

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OF RIDGE OVER THE BERING AND TROUGH OVER THE GULF
CONTINUES. SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF CONTINUES TO PULL SOUTH WEAKENING
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING IN LIGHT WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE
MAINLAND. AKPEN AND EASTERN BERING STILL SEEING HIGHER WINDS. SHOWERS
REMAIN OFFSHORE IN THE GULF AND SCATTERED IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW IN
THE BERING.

FOLLOWED MAINLY GFS GUIDANCE AS NAM INITIALIZED AND DEVELOPED A LOW
IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF THAT IS NOT VERIFYING WITH OBSERVATIONS OR
SATELLITE.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING
SOUTH AWAY FROM THE AREA HOWEVER A UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL FORM A
SECOND LOW AND BRING IT UP ALONG THE EASTERN GULF LATER TODAY TO
TIGHTEN THE NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENT ONCE AGAIN. ADDITIONAL COLD
ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH SHOULD PUSH CONDITIONS TO HIGH WIND CRITERIA
AGAIN IN THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...NORTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND... MATANUSKA VALLEY...AND GAPS OF THE NORTHERN ALASKA RANGE
SUCH AS BROAD PASS. LOOK FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY
NIGHT AS THE NEW LOW PULLS SOUTH AWAY FROM THE COAST. CLOUD COVER
WILL INCREASE FROM THE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS IN EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN. CONDITIONS WILL THEN CLEAR
THROUGH MIDWEEK.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...SURFACE HIGH OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY MOVE TO THE EAST WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS CONTINUING IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF IT. AS THE LOW IN
THE GULF STRENGTHENS THE EASTERN BERING AND AKPEN WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN WINDS SUNDAY...UP TO STORM FORCE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN MAINLAND
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

EXTENDED...A SYSTEM PRESENTLY NEAR JAPAN WILL GAIN STRENGTH AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS. THE MODELS HAVE THIS SYSTEM
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CHAIN TO BRING VERY ANTICIPATED WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE TO THE MAINLAND BY FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 111 131 135 145
         ICE JAM FLOODING 121
MARINE...STORM 150
         GALE 121 125 130 132 138 140 141 155 160 165
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 129 130 138 140 141
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

LR NOV 06