Gale Warning 677, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 200207 AAA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
605 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

UPDATE ZONE 150 AND 155

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO THE GULF
TONIGHT. A 1009 MB LOW 100 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK WED AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE BY THU MORNING. A 997 MB
LOW 550 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY WILL DEEPEN TO 978 MB 150 NM
NORTHEAST OF COLD BAY THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-201400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
605 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... 

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ155-201400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
605 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CHANNELED AREAS.
SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-201400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-201400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-201400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-201400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-201400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 201133
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1008 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST TO 300 NM
SOUTH OF ATKA AT 1006 MB THURSDAY MORNING AND BE ABSORBED BY A LOW IN
THE GULF. A 999 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT TONIGHT DEEPENS TO
985 MB AS IT MOVES NORTH TO 90 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY FRIDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ150-210200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-210200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-210200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-210200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-210200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-210200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-210200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT.  SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NS WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-210200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT WED SEP 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT TUE SEP 19 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE MADE A MAJOR SHIFT FROM YESTERDAY. 12Z RUNS HAVE FULLY
MERGED TO THE OVERNIGHT 00Z SOLUTIONS. ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM THE 00Z
GFS AND CANADIAN IN ADDITION TO THE ECMWF ALSO AGREE WITH THIS
SOLUTION. IN FACT THE UKMET AND 12Z ENSEMBLE MEAN HAVE SIMILAR PATHS
A BIT FARTHER WEST THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER
WEST THAN THE NAM. BELIEVING THE CURVATURE...WE HAVE LEANED HEAVILY
TO THE NEW UKMET WHICH IS A BIT FARTHER WEST IN ITS TRACK. THE
DIFFERENCE IS THAT THE GFS LOW IS EAST OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE TO
DENALI WHEREAS THE OTHERS ARE HEADING TO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.
THE SHIFT IN MODEL SOLUTIONS IS DUE TO THE AMPLIFICATION OF THE
TROUGH IN THE BERING SEA AS OPPOSED TO YESTERDAYS SOLUTIONS. THIS WAS
CAUSED BY THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA BEING STRONGER
THAN ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE THE TROUGH IS DUG OUT DEEPER IN THE
BERING MAKING A LARGER AMPLITUDE RIDGE IN THE GULF THUS PULLING THE
NEXT DEVELOPING LOW MUCH FARTHER WEST. THIS STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY WILL PUSH NORTHEAST AND KNOCK DOWN THE
RIDGE OVER THE GULF FRIDAY AND PUSH IT TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. A
SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS BEHIND IT WILL KEEP THE RIDGE AT BAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...A BROAD TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
FRIDAY WHICH WILL REMAIN INTO SUNDAY. THIS IS CARVED OUT BY A LOW
MOVING OUT OF THE ARCTIC OCEAN AND KAMCHATKA PENINSULA MOVING INTO
THE BERING SEA BEHIND THIS WEAKENING LOW OVER THE INTERIOR. THESE
FEATURES ACT TO LIFT THE INTERIOR LOW TO THE YUKON AND ALLOW THE
RIDGE TO BUILD BACK A BIT IN THE PANHANDLE.

SURFACE EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...CURRENT LOW OVER KODIAK TO WEAKEN
AND MOVE TO THE EASTERN NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT AND INLAND
TOMORROW. SOME STRONG WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES
INLAND. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES TO THE EASTERN
GULF...EXPECT WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE WEST AND REMAIN MODERATE TO THE
LOW MOVES INLAND TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD FROM THE COAST INLAND TONIGHT WITH DOWNSLOPE WIND EFFECT
LESSENING. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN INTO WEDNESDAY AS ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY REMAIN. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
FOR SOME DRYING. STRONG LOW TO MOVE NORTH OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY WITH A STRONG FRONT MOVING TO KODIAK
AND TO THE KENAI PENINSULA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH SOME STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG. AS THE FRONT WORKS TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...WINDS TO PICK UP THERE WITH A ONSHORE RIDGE
DEVELOPING. THIS WILL ALSO ENHANCE EAST WEST ORIENTED PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ALONG THE COAST RESULTING IN INCREASED WINDS THROUGH
CHANNELED TERRAIN. THE LOW TO LIFT INLAND WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE
THURSDAY NIGHT WITH EAST WEST GRADIENT DIMINISHING ALONG THE COAST
FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG ONSHORE BEHIND THE LOW
SPREADING PRECIPITATION ALL OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. DUE TO THE
STRENGTH OF THE LOW AND THE WINDS ALOFT AROUND IT...STRONG SURFACE
WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT INTO FRIDAY EVENING EVEN
THOUGH THE LOW CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE BROOKS RANGE. SHOWER ACTIVITY
TO WANE SATURDAY AS THE LOW EXITS TO NORTHERN CANADA. AT THIS
TIME...ANOTHER LOW RACES INTO THE GULF ALONG TAIL OF THE JET AXIS TO
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY NEAR YAKUTAT.

SURFACE WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...LOW NEAR KODIAK WITH PLENTY OF
PRECIPITATION AROUND THE LOW IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE LOW WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN
BERING WILL KEEP THE CURRENT MODERATE NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS THERE.
WINDS THOUGH TURN MORE WESTERLY BEHIND THE LOW. IN ADDITION...A WEAK
LOW MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING SEA TONIGHT HAS SOME MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS AS WELL. THIS LOW TO DISSIPATE TOMORROW AS A STRONG
LOW MOVES OUT OF THE NORTHERN PACIFIC TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS LOW DEEPENS AS IT MOVES TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE ANTICIPATED
AROUND THIS LOW ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST SIDE WHERE STRONG JET SUPPORT
AND WARM FRONT PRESENT. MODERATE WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW IN
THE BERING SEA. THIS LOW MOVES INLAND THURSDAY NIGHT AND NEAR THE
BROOKS RANGE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...IT DOMINATES THE WEATHER INTO FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN BEHIND THE LOW FRIDAY
WITH MODERATE WINDS REMAINING BEHIND THE LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA.  THE LOW LEAVES THE AREA SATURDAY WITH RESIDUAL
MOISTURE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA FOR SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE
BERING AT THIS TIME WITH A NEW LOW MOVING FROM THE WEST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN INTO SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 155 165 170
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN SEP 06