Gale Warning 474, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 051156
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WED
MORNING. A 1004 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 450 NM 
SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AND DEEPEN TO 995 MB BY WED MORNING. 

$$

PKZ150-060200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-060200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-060200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-060200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.
$$

PKZ170-060200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-060200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-060200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-060200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-060200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUN 5 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT JUN 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT ANALYSIS...
A STRONG...COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA. INITIAL WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH NEARLY THE
ENTIRE AREA ALREADY...ALTHOUGH THE BRUNT OF THE COLD AIR IS STILL TO
THE WEST OF A TALKEETNA TO ANCHORAGE TO COOK INLET LINE. SOME VERY
LIGHT SNOW HAS EVEN BEEN REPORTED THIS MORNING IN MCGRATH...WHICH IS
OBVIOUSLY IN THE COLDER AIRMASS. THE AIRMASS IS FAIRLY DRY BOTH AHEAD
AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH PRECIPITATION TOTALS BEING VERY
LIGHT SO FAR.  WEAK FLOW HAS PERSISTED IN THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING
SEA...WITH ABUNDANT STRATUS AND FOG. HOWEVER...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
WERE BEGINNING TO INCREASE FROM ADAK WESTWARD AHEAD OF A SYSTEM TO
AFFECT THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FOR THE MAINLAND...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PROGRESS EAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...WITH THE COOLER AIR FILTERING THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA. THE
AIR WILL BE COOLER THE FURTHER NORTH YOU GO. HOWEVER...THE COOLER
AIRMASS IS ALSO QUITE DRY...AND AREAS FROM THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN DRY FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND FOR
MONDAY. THE ALASKA RANGE OVER TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL HAVE A
BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...BUT EVEN THERE...NOTHING HEAVY IS EXPECTED. WITH THE DRY
AIR SUNDAY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS...FIRE WEATHER COULD BE A CONCERN
FOR SOME AREAS...AND HAVE ISSUED FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES
111...145...AND 161. ON SUNDAY NIGHT...SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
SPOTS IN THE EAST COULD HAVE A LIGHT FREEZE. MANY AREAS OF THE
MAINLAND TO THE WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE WILL HAVE A FREEZE BOTH
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
TO HIGHLIGHT THE TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING. ON TUESDAY...ANOTHER
COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT AREAS FROM THE KUSKOKWIM
RIVER NORTHWEST. THE REST OF THE MAINLAND WILL MAINTAIN TRANQUIL
WEATHER.

FOR THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...
WIDESPREAD FOG AND STRATUS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WILL BRING INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION. THE
LOW WILL TRACK FROM WEST TO EAST JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
INTO NEXT WEEK. THE BIG CHALLENGE IS FORECASTING THE NORTHERN EXTENT
OF THE PRECIPITATION. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
NEAR THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...AND JUST A SMALL SHIFT IN THE CENTER OF THE
LOW PRESSURE COULD MEAN THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN HEAVY PRECIPITATION
AND NO PRECIPITATION. MOST OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL RECEIVE INCREASED
WINDS REGARDLESS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ZONES 175 AND 176.
FIRE WEATHER...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES 111 145 161.

FOISY JUN 06