Gale Warning 435, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 062330 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

CORRECT ZONE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 991 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM EAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MON.

$$

PKZ120-071400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WIND 10 KT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT. SEAS  13 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT TOWARD MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS.

.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-071400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-071400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-071400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 071204 RRA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND DISSIPATES SUN EVENING. A RIDGE 
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST MON MORNING
THROUGH MON NIGHT. AN ALEUTIAN LOW WEAKENS TO 1000 MB AS IT MOVES TO
50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-080200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-080200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT MAY 6 2006

.DISCUSSION...DRIVING FORCE BEHIND THE WEATHER IS THE COLD UPPER
LEVEL LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THIS HAS BEEN THE MAIN WEATHER
MAKER THE LAST FEW DAYS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK NEXT WEEK.
AT THE SURFACE...A LOW IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY IS WEAKENING SLOWLY
AND DRIFTING NORTHWARD, THIS LOW HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE BRISTOL BAY AREA TODAY.
A LOW THAT RECENTLY DEVELOPED EAST OF KODIAK WILL DRIFT TO JUST EAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TOMORROW AND THEN DISSIPATE.
THIS LOW IS ENHANCING THE WINDS IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TODAY AS IT
HAS SHARPENED THE PRE-FRONTAL RIDGING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
AHEAD OF A WEAK WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW.
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH
AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN TODAY. THE ONLY SLIGHT DIFFERENCE
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA REGION IS THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW EAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY. THE GFS ETA AND WRF HAVE SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT
POSITIONS WITH THE GFS BRINGING IT CLOSER TO THE SOUND WHILE ETA AND
WRF HAVE IT EAST OF MIDDLETON. ALL HAVE IT DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON AND THE MOST LIKELY TRACK IS THE ETA/WRF ONE. HOWEVER IT
WILL NOT HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON FORECASTS EITHER WAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

MAY 06