Gale Warning 266, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 130136 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

CORRECTED WINDS ZONE 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE MONDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. NE GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER WINDS GUSTING TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO NE
15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT TODAY WITH THE MAIN DIFFERENCE IN
THE HANDLING OF THE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE ETA SEEMS TO
DEAL WITH THE THIS LOW BETTER BY HOLDING IT BACK IN THE GULF THROUGH
TONIGHT. WE GENERALLY WENT WITH THE ETA IN THE EAST AND THE GFS OUT
WEST.

THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM SOUTHCENTRAL ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN AND FORM A
CLOSED HIGH OVER MUCH OF WESTERN ALASKA BY THIS EVENING. A SECOND
UPPER RIDGE WILL START BUILDING TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND
BE CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
CONTINUED COLD DRY AIR OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN DOMAIN.

AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALONG THE ALCAN
BOARDER ALONG WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ALONG THE GULF COAST IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
PRODUCING SOME STRONG WINDS MAINLY THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER OUT INTO
THE GULF THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE MAIN LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING AND MOVE
NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATE NEAR RUSSIA BY MONDAY EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT IS ALL BUT WASHED OUT AS IT STRETCHED OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
COAST THIS MORNING PRODUCING SOME SNOW IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
BRISTOL BAY ZONES.  WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER MOST AREAS
BY TONIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 138 176 185.

KB MAR 06