Gale Warning 251, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 080110 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
410 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

CORRECTED ZONE 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA INTENSIFIES TO 966 MB WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS IT MOVES 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA AND THEN WEAKENS TO
986 MB LATE THURSDAY MORNING 50 NM SOUTH OF SITKA.

$$

PKZ120-081500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. WINDS INCREASING THIS EVENING TO 
N 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 16 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 17 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NORTH WIND 15 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS INCREASING
AFTER MIDNIGHT TO N 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-081500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING THIS EVENING TO N 25 KT WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 7 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-081500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. WINDS INCREASING AFTER
MIDNIGHT TO W 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 3 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-081500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. WINDS INCREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT TO 
NW 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 24 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-081500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH NORTHWESTERN BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH NORTHWESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH NORTHWESTERN
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-081500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. WIND INCREASING TO W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH WESTERN BAYS AND 
PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-081500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NW 30 KT THIS EVENING.
HIGHER GUSTS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-081500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST TUE MAR 7 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. WINDS INCREASING THIS EVENING W 25 KT 
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
415 AM AST TUE MAR 07 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING AND INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AS WELL AS IN THE ALEUTIANS. EXPECT THE SCATTERED SHOWERS TO
REMAIN THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE LOW IN THE GULF DISSIPATES LATER IN
THE DAY. SOME SHOWERS WILL BE HEAVY. EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES FROM SEWARD
TO TALKEETNA BEFORE AFTERNOON.

THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL WEAKEN THIS MORNING AS A SECOND LOW MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF AND STEALS THE ENERGY. THE MAIN STORY IN THE
EAST IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH MAINLAND AK AND THE
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING THROUGH MIDWEEK FROM SHELIKOF
STRAIT TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO THE
EASTERN GULF. COLD AIR WILL ENTRENCH ITSELF FROM THE SUSITNA VALLEY
DOWN THE KENAI PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK BEFORE ANY
WARMING BEGINS TO OCCUR AGAIN. WITH THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT EXPECT
STORM FORCE WINDS TO BLOW THROUGH THE BARRENS AND THE EAST SIDE OF
KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH GAPS. WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP OUT OF THE NORTH
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN NEAR SEWARD BY WED INCLUDING RESURRECTION
BAY.

LOOK FOR FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WESTERN KENAI
PENINSULA AND INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY. AUGUSTINE HAS ALSO INCREASED
ITS ACTIVITY SO ASHFALL ADVISORIES FOR THE AFFECTED MARINE ZONES ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.

OUT WEST..SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY IN THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALSO KEEP ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST FOR THE PRIBILOFS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. THE MAIN STORY IS
THE WEATHER FRONT MOVING FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TODAY INTO THE
PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY TUE NIGHT. IT WILL BRING GALES AND
RAIN AND SNOW TO MUCH OF THE AREA FROM UNALASKA WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 120 138 150 155 170 171 172 175 176 185
      ...STORM 130 132
      ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 130 132 138 140 141 165 185
      ...ASHFALL ADVISORY 130 140
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RNW MAR 06