Gale Warning 168, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST MON FEB 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...
960 MB LOW MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA IS THE MAJOR WEATHER PRODUCER
FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  VERY STRONG WINDS ALONG FRONT MOVING THROUGH
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND CENTRAL BERING TONIGHT AND IN THE MORNING.
MODELS INDICATE THIS IS A RAPIDLY MOVING SYSTEM...HEADING TO THE
NORTHWEST.  MODELS INDICATE THAT LOW CENTER ELONGATES NORTH-SOUTH
THIS EVENING. GOOD SUPPORT ALOFT FOR THIS SYSTEM AS WELL.

NOT EXPECTING SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE ALONG BRISTOL BAY COAST AT THIS
TIME BUT THERE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE MECHANICAL BREAKUP OF ICE AND
SOME SMALL ICE FLOES COULD BE DEPOSITED ALONG THE SHORELINE.

LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE (BLOCK) OVER ALASKA
DEVELOPING THIS WEEK.  TEMPERATURES PRIMARILY IN THE 20S OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS WEEK...COOLING TOWARDS THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK.  STORM TRACK REMAINING OVER THE BERING SEA FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR
TWO...HENCE RELATIVELY WARM AND WET IN THE WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...CHECK PACKAGE
MARINE...CHECK PACKAGE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

*** FEB 06