Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 12, 2005, 5:32 PM CST for Adair County, Oklahoma; Crawford County, Arkansas. It was in force for 39 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2005, 5:32 PM CST (23:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2005, 2:45 AM CST
- In force
- 39 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Crawford County, AR, Adair County, OK
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jan 12, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -298 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1135 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 453 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 456 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS54 KTSA 122332
SVRTSA
OKC001-130015-
/X.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0004.050112T2332Z-050113T0015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
532 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 615 PM CST
* AT 531 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARIETTA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...STILWELL...
MARIETTA...CHRISTIE...BARON AND WESTVILLE.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3586 9481 3569 9470 3581 9450 3595 9453
3611 9453
$$3 follow-up statements
000
WUUS54 KTSA 210748
SVRTSA
ARC033-210845-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0004.050221T0748Z-050221T0845Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
148 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 245 AM CST
* AT 143 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF LEE CREEK TO 4 MILES WEST OF
CEDARVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...RUDY...CHESTER
AND MOUNTAINBURG.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3573 9391 3573 9396 3571 9396 3570 9398
3567 9398 3566 9407 3558 9408 3558 9402
3554 9404 3551 9445 3559 9445 3576 9438
3576 9389
$$000
WWUS54 KTSA 210802
SVSTSA
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
202 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
ARC033-210845-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050221T0845Z/
CRAWFORD AR-
202 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 245 AM CST FOR
CRAWFORD COUNTY...
AT 158 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED PENNY
SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES WEST OF MT GAYLER TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF
RUDY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...RUDY...
CHESTER...MOUNTAINBURG...MT GAYLER...LOCKE AND BIDVILLE.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
LAT...LON 3573 9391 3573 9396 3571 9396 3570 9398
3567 9398 3566 9407 3558 9408 3558 9402
3554 9404 3551 9445 3559 9445 3576 9438
3576 9389
$$000
WWUS54 KTSA 210842
SVSTSA
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
242 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
ARC033-210852-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050221T0845Z/
CRAWFORD AR-
242 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY EXPIRES AT 245
AM CST...
THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
LAT...LON 3573 9391 3573 9396 3571 9396 3570 9398
3567 9398 3566 9407 3558 9408 3558 9402
3554 9404 3551 9445 3559 9445 3576 9438
3576 9389
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 12, 5:22 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 5:22 PM CST, 10 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 522 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 ...MESOSCALE UPDATE... BACKED DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS PROMOTING CELL-TO-CELL INTERACTIONS AND RESULTING IN DECREASED POTENTIAL FOR DESCRETE SUPERCELLS. AS THE STONGER FORCING APPROACHES FROM THE WEST A COMPLETE EVOLUTION TO A SCQUALL LINE WILL OCCUR. WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY...THE SEVERE THREAT IS QUICKLY EVOLVING TOWARD SPORADIC DAMAGING WIND REPORTS. HOWEVER...0 TO 1 KM SHEAR REMAINS VERY HIGH IN WESTERN ARKANSAS AND THE EASTERN TIER OF OKLAHOMA COUNTIES...SO AN ISOLATED TORNADO FROM A BOWING LINE SEGMENT / EMBEDDED SUPERCELL REMAINS POSSIBLE. WHILE LINE SEGMENTS ARE MOVING QUICKLY...THE OVERALL EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE LINE WILL BE LESS...SO THAT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR AREAS NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE LINE. FORECAST ID= 08 .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 1:00 PM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS DEEPENING FROM
SOUTHEAST COLORADO INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A WARM FRONT EXTENDED
EAST FROM THE LOW INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS...WHILE A DRYLINE EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN OKLAHOMA. MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM WAS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.
ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY OFF TO THE WEST. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE...AND
WIND FIELDS STRENGTHEN WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND QUICKLY EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE SQUALL LINES THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL MAINLY BE
NEAR THE ONSET OF THE EVENT...AND EVOLVE INTO MORE OF A STRAIGHT
LINE WIND AND HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT AS TIME PASSES.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THE ARCTIC AIR THAT HAD BEEN
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WILL BE LESS INTENSE AND JUST
GLANCE THE AREA...THEREFORE THE THREAT OF DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS HAS
BEEN REMOVED FROM THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATIONIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 3:03 PM CST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 303 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 OKZ049-053>076-130400- ADAIR OK-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK- HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK- NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK- PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK- 303 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT.
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 3:29 PM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 329 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-130400- BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR- WASHINGTON AR- 329 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS UNTIL 10 PM.
Local storm report, Jan 12, 4:54 PM CST, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0448 PM HAIL 5 NW COOKSON 35.76N 94.98W
01/12/2005 0.88 INCH CHEROKEE OK PUBLIC
&&
SPSpecial weather statement, Jan 12, 5:23 PM CST, 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
523 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
OKZ057-130000-
CRAIG OK-
523 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
CRAIG
AT 523 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES
WEST OF VINITA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...VINITA...WHITE OAK...PYRAMID
CORNERS AND BLUEJACKET.
THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.Local storm report, Jan 12, 5:27 PM CST, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
527 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0521 PM HAIL 4 SW WATTS 36.07N 94.62W
01/12/2005 0.88 INCH ADAIR OK AMATEUR RADIO
&&
SPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 4:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Muskogee | 35 days |
| Jan 12, 4:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Okfuskee, Sequoyah | 68 days |
| Jan 12, 4:40 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee | 2 hr |
| Jan 12, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Choctaw | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 4:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Okfuskee, Okmulgee | 68 days |
| Jan 12, 5:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 5:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Washington | 39 days |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2005Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.