Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 12, 2005, 3:58 PM CST for Cherokee County, McIntosh County, Muskogee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 39 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2005, 3:58 PM CST (21:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2005, 2:00 AM CST
- In force
- 39 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Cherokee County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -298 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1135 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 453 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 456 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS54 KTSA 122200
SVRTSA
OKC091-101-122245-
/X.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0001.050112T2158Z-050112T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
358 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 445 PM CST
* AT 356 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARNER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WARNER...
KEEFETON...WEBBERS FALLS...BRAGGS...PUMPKIN CENTER AND FORT GIBSON.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3536 9555 3532 9537 3542 9510 3582 9514
3581 9533
$$4 follow-up statements
000
WUUS54 KTSA 210654
SVRTSA
OKC021-210800-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0001.050221T0654Z-050221T0800Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1254 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 200 AM CST
* AT 1253 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH.
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST
OF HULBERT TO 15 MILES WEST OF WOODALL...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...HULBERT...
PEGGS...WOODALL...TAHLEQUAH...COOKSON...ELDON AND SCRAPER.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3570 9481 3567 9512 3582 9513 3583 9526
3586 9522 3591 9528 3595 9527 3597 9529
3602 9522 3604 9522 3605 9520 3608 9520
3612 9480
$$000
WWUS54 KTSA 210709
SVSTSA
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
109 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
OKC021-210800-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-050221T0800Z/
CHEROKEE OK-
109 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR
CHEROKEE COUNTY...
AT 108 AM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO
70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LOST
CITY TO HULBERT TO 6 MILES WEST OF COOKSON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...LOST CITY...
WOODALL...HULBERT...PEGGS...COOKSON...TAHLEQUAH...ELDON AND SCRAPER.
THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TAKE COVER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR IN
AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3570 9481 3567 9512 3582 9513 3583 9526
3586 9522 3591 9528 3595 9527 3597 9529
3602 9522 3604 9522 3605 9520 3608 9520
3612 9480
$$000
WWUS54 KTSA 210732
SVSTSA
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
132 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
OKC021-210800-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-050221T0800Z/
CHEROKEE OK-
132 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR
CHEROKEE COUNTY...
AT 132 AM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTH OF ELDON TO 3 MILES EAST OF ELDON TO 14
MILES EAST OF COOKSON...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...HULBERT...LOST
CITY...COOKSON...PEGGS...TAHLEQUAH...ELDON AND SCRAPER.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3570 9481 3567 9512 3582 9513 3583 9526
3586 9522 3591 9528 3595 9527 3597 9529
3602 9522 3604 9522 3605 9520 3608 9520
3612 9480
$$000
WWUS54 KTSA 210742
SVSTSA
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
142 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
OKC021-210752-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-050221T0800Z/
CHEROKEE OK-
142 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHEROKEE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...
THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LAT...LON 3570 9481 3567 9512 3582 9513 3583 9526
3586 9522 3591 9528 3595 9527 3597 9529
3602 9522 3604 9522 3605 9520 3608 9520
3612 9480
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 12, 2:58 PM CST, 1 hour earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 2:58 PM CST, 1 hour before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 258 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AS A 50KT LOW LEVEL JET REMAINS ACTIVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR A KCOU-KWLD-KCAO LINE IS POISED TO MAKE A MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN CO/NM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WILL SEE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND ALONG A DRY LINE THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT EXITS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS CAPE VALUES HAVE ALREADY REACHED 1000 J/KG WITH LI VALUES NEAR -4. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL WITH THE WET BULB ZERO NEAR 8 KFT. WIND GUSTS WILL MOST LIKELY REACH 60 MPH WITH THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG LEVEL WINDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT DISCREET SUPERCELLS. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR SPILLS IN THE REGION. SO...NO WINTRY PRECIP IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA OR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. MAY SEE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WILL NOT ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH BUT SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY. A DRY AND COLD PERIOD IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WITH SEVERAL RE-ENFORCING SHOTS OF COLD AIR MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. ONE SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL COME THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER SHOT SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL STAY AT OR BELOW MEX GUIDANCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. PRELIM NUMBERS: TUL 32 43 21 38 / 60 10 5 5 FSM 40 48 24 45 / 80 10 5 5 MLC 36 46 24 45 / 60 10 5 5 BVO 31 43 14 35 / 50 10 5 5 FYV 33 42 20 41 / 80 10 5 5 BYV 34 41 19 37 / 80 10 5 5 MKO 35 44 23 44 / 70 10 5 5 MIO 31 40 19 32 / 70 10 5 5 F10 33 44 23 44 / 60 10 5 5 HHW 42 51 27 47 / 70 10 5 5 FORECAST ID= 10 .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 1:00 PM CST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.
DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS DEEPENING FROM
SOUTHEAST COLORADO INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A WARM FRONT EXTENDED
EAST FROM THE LOW INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS...WHILE A DRYLINE EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN OKLAHOMA. MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM WAS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.
ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY OFF TO THE WEST. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE...AND
WIND FIELDS STRENGTHEN WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND QUICKLY EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE SQUALL LINES THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL MAINLY BE
NEAR THE ONSET OF THE EVENT...AND EVOLVE INTO MORE OF A STRAIGHT
LINE WIND AND HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT AS TIME PASSES.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THE ARCTIC AIR THAT HAD BEEN
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WILL BE LESS INTENSE AND JUST
GLANCE THE AREA...THEREFORE THE THREAT OF DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS HAS
BEEN REMOVED FROM THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATIONIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 3:03 PM CST, 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 303 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 OKZ049-053>076-130400- ADAIR OK-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK- HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK- NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK- PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK- 303 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT.
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 3:29 PM CST, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 329 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-130400- BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR- WASHINGTON AR- 329 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS UNTIL 10 PM.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 4:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Muskogee | 35 days |
| Jan 12, 4:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Okfuskee, Sequoyah | 68 days |
| Jan 12, 4:40 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee | 2 hr |
| Jan 12, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Choctaw | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 4:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Okfuskee, Okmulgee | 68 days |
| Jan 12, 5:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 5:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 39 days |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.