Severe Thunderstorm Warning 276, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 232104
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
404 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKC097-131-232145-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-050723T2145Z/
ROGERS OK-MAYES OK-
404 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR MAYES
AND ROGERS COUNTIES...

AT 401 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH. 
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES SOUTH
OF FOYIL TO 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TIAWAH TO INOLA...MOVING WEST AT 30
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...CLAREMORE...
VERDIGRIS...TALALA AND OOLOGAH.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3651 9531 3635 9530 3616 9530 3608 9554
      3621 9577 3658 9576

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 232131
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
430 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKC131-232140-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-050723T2145Z/
ROGERS OK-
430 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ROGERS COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3620 9544 3622 9501 3608 9516 3608 9542

$$

OKC097-232145-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-050723T2145Z/
MAYES OK-
430 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR 
   SOUTHERN MAYES COUNTY...

AT 426 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MURPHY...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAZIE AND
CHOUTEAU.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3620 9544 3622 9501 3608 9516 3608 9542

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 232146
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
446 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKC097-232156-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-050723T2145Z/
MAYES OK-
446 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MAYES COUNTY EXPIRED AT 445 PM
CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3620 9544 3622 9501 3608 9516 3608 9542

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE QUICKLY DEVELOPED
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST RUC / WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATING A WEAK
WESTWARD MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING OVER CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AROUND THE MAIN UPPER HIGH. THIS...COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING HAS ALLOWED FOR BETTER COVERAGE OF
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
HOURS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE. LATEST RADAR
DATA INDICATING THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF HAIL IS LIKELY MAKING
IT TO THE GROUND IN THE STRONGEST CELLS...HOWEVER HAVE ONLY RECEIVED A
PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORT SO FAR.

AS THE UPPER HIGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...SSW WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL SLOWLY
BEGIN TO INCREASE. ALTHOUGH IT WILL LIKELY NOT BE AS HOT AS THE
LAST FEW DAYS...WILL STILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND THE LOWER VALLEY AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR TULSA COUNTY
THROUGH SUNDAY AS LOW TEMPS TONIGHT IN THE METRO EXPECTED TO BE
AROUND 80 WITH HEAT INDICES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AROUND 105.

GFS STILL PUSHING COLD FRONT INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WILL LIKELY ALSO SEE A BREAK
FROM THE HEAT BEHIND COLD FRONT INTO THURSDAY AS CLOUDS/ELEVATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE AS UPPER SHORT-WAVE DIVES
SOUTHEAST INTO REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   80 101  79 101 /  20  10  10  10
FSM   76 102  76 101 /  20  10  10  10
MLC   74  99  75  98 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   73 101  73 101 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   72  98  72  97 /  20  10  10  10
BYV   74  98  74  95 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   75 100  75 100 /  20  10  10  10
MIO   74 100  74 100 /  10  10  10  10
F10   75 100  75  99 /  20  10  10  10
HHW   73  99  74  99 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ060.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 21
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR TULSA COUNTY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...TULSA METROPOLITAN AREA.

DISCUSSION...
DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES ARE ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH WARM OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ALLOWING FOR LIMITED
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE UPCOMING DAYS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE GREATER CHANCES WILL
EXIST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS...WITH STORMS LIKELY
MOVING WESTWARD AFTER THEY DEVELOP. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WITH ANY SUSTAINED THUNDERSTORM.
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS THESE CONDITIONS OFTEN
LEAD TO LIMITED WARNING LEAD TIME.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE LIMITED COVERAGE OF ANY
SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL INTO SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...WITH DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES POSSIBLE INTO THE EARLY PART
OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY WORKERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO RESPOND TO AN INCREASE IN
HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES THROUGH EARLY WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ063-069-232045-
ADAIR OK-DELAWARE OK-
304 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     DELAWARE AND ADAIR

AT 304 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST SILOAM SPRINGS TO 4
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WESTVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...BARON...CHRISTIE...
WESTVILLE...BALLARD...WATTS...TWIN OAKS...KANSAS...COLCORD AND WEST
SILOAM SPRINGS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ075-076-232100-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN LE FLORE AND LATIMER

AT 315 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
EAST OF BENGAL...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENGAL...DAMON...PANOLA...RED OAK
AND TALIHINA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
319 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ062-232100-
MAYES OK-
319 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MAYES

AT 319 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ADAIR TO 4 MILES NORTHWEST
OF LOCUST GROVE TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF LOCUST GROVE...MOVING WEST AT 10
MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
PRYOR...MAZIE...MURPHY...CHOUTEAU...LOCUST GROVE...SALINA...STRANG...
ADAIR AND PENSACOLA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
323 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ065-232115-
OKFUSKEE OK-
323 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 323 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WELEETKA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKEMAH...WELEETKA...
BEARDEN...CLEARVIEW AND PHAROAH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
335 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ066-232115-
OKMULGEE OK-
335 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE

AT 335 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF WILSON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILSON AND OKMULGEE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
337 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

OKZ061-067-232115-
ROGERS OK-WAGONER OK-
337 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     ROGERS AND WAGONER

AT 337 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES EAST OF TIAWAH TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
INOLA TO 11 MILES EAST OF INOLA...MOVING WEST AT 30 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
CLAREMORE...INOLA...CATOOSA...VERDIGRIS AND TIAWAH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.