Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 251439
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
938 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSC111-251645-
LYON-
938 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR LYON
COUNTY...

AT 935 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ON 
ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

RADAR ESTIMATED RATES WERE 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER 
STORMS.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WAS MOVING ACROSS AREAS FROM JUST TO THE SOUTH 
OF EMPORIA...TO NEOSHO RAPIDS...SOUTH TO BETWEEN OLPE AND HARTFORD.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EMPORIA...OLPE...NEOSHO RAPIDS...AMERICUS...ADMIRE...AND BUSHONG. 

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 118 AND 153.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 142.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY ROADS AND FARMLANDS
ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT
TO FLASH FLOODING.

LAT...LON 3819 9634 3819 9597 3872 9597 3872 9635

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
437 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

.DISCUSSION...

CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING...THEN AGAIN
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE MCS THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KS LAST
EVENING CONTINUES TO BACK BUILD AS 850MB FLOW/LLJ LIFTS DEEPER GULF
MOISTURE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA. THE HEAVIER
RAIN EXTENDS ON AN EAST-WEST AXIS JUST NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM WEST OF HESSTON...EAST TO NEAR IOLA. THE WESTERN END OF THIS
LINE OF STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF THE CWA. THEREFORE I KEPT THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH GOING FOR THE COUNTIES SOUTH OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THROUGH 12
NOON. LAST EVENING...NORTHERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHERN FRANKLIN HAD 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ESTIMATED BY RADAR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES MAY CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE ETA SHOWS THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WEAKENING THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS...AND SHOULD CAUSE
THE COMPLEX OF STORMS TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AFTERNOON.
SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES ACROSS THE
WESTERN COUNTIES WITH 80S OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES. IF THE CLOUDS
HOLD OVER THE EASTERN CWA...HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY ONLY REACH THE MID
TO UPPER 70S.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN NE AND KS
ALONG A COLD FRONT AND AHEAD OF A 5H TROUGH...WHICH WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EVOLVE INTO ANOTHER MCS AND MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTO THE FA LATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. DAMAGING
OUTFLOW WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
MCS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA TONIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA FRIDAY AND CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THE ENVIRONMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL
BE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE...ALSO THE WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE PROVIDING FOR MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR PARAMETERS.
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT FRIDAY
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL THE MAIN HAZARDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD WARM INTO THE 90S...ESPECIALLY IF SKIES CLEAR
AFTER THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS.

THE NAM AND GFS BOTH SHOW THE FRONT MOVING SOUTH OF THE CWA FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA. LOOKS DRY AND COOLER
DURING THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.

THE EXTENDED FCST MODELS SHOW A 5H RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL
KEEP MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND CAUSE A WARM UP...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 90S BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEAK. I MADE
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL NOON THURSDAY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
511 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-261010-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
511 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
LOCATIONS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAWRENCE TO COUNCIL GROVE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. WITH THE
GROUND NEARLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
AND FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
736 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNW WHITE CITY        38.84N 96.76W
08/25/2005                   MORRIS             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROAD IN TOWN OF SKIDDY.

&&

STRASSBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
814 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HERINGTON               38.67N 96.94W
08/25/2005                   DICKINSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLICE DEPT. CLOSING SOME ROADS DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

STRASSBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
820 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E JUNCTION CITY       39.03N 96.78W
08/25/2005                   GEARY              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CLARKS CREEK STARTING TO FLOOD OVER CLARKS CREEK ROAD 1
            MILE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

&&

STRASSBERG