Alert archive / Kansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2005

Flash Flood Warning 53, NWS Topeka, KS

August 25, 2005Morris County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this flash flood warning at Aug 25, 2005, 11:15 AM CDT for Morris County, Kansas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 25, 2005, 11:15 AM CDT (16:15 UTC)
Expired: Aug 25, 2005, 1:15 PM CDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS Topeka, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Morris County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1201 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -151 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1043 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KTOP 251616
FFWTOP
KSC127-251815-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1115 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MORRIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1109 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR 
ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO BE LOCALLY AROUND AN 1 TO 1.5 
INCHES...THIS IS ON TOP OF GROUND ALREADY SATURATED.

MORRIS COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS MANY OF THE COUNTY ROADS HAVE BEEN 
CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROADWAYS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COUNCIL GROVE...
  BURDICK...
  DUNLAP...
  WILSEY...
  LATIMER...
  WHITE CITY...
  COUNCIL GROVE LAKE...

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY ROADS AND FARMLANDS
ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT
TO FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER.

LAT...LON 3854 9688 3854 9637 3875 9640 3875 9652
      3883 9652 3882 9689

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 251827
FFSTOP
KSC127-251915-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
122 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING ISSUED FOR EARLY FOR MORRIS COUNTY WAS 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 115 PM...

THE WIDESPREAD AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS
EXITED THE COUNTY...THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE 
AFTERNOON HOURS.  WITH STREAMS AND CREEKS RUNNING NEAR 
BANKFULL...PERSONS SHOULD BE ALERT WATER OVER ROADWAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 25, 4:37 AM CDT, 6 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 25, 4:37 AM CDT, 6 hours 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
437 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

.DISCUSSION...

CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING...THEN AGAIN
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE MCS THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KS LAST
EVENING CONTINUES TO BACK BUILD AS 850MB FLOW/LLJ LIFTS DEEPER GULF
MOISTURE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA. THE HEAVIER
RAIN EXTENDS ON AN EAST-WEST AXIS JUST NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM WEST OF HESSTON...EAST TO NEAR IOLA. THE WESTERN END OF THIS
LINE OF STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF THE CWA. THEREFORE I KEPT THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH GOING FOR THE COUNTIES SOUTH OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THROUGH 12
NOON. LAST EVENING...NORTHERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHERN FRANKLIN HAD 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ESTIMATED BY RADAR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES MAY CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE ETA SHOWS THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WEAKENING THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS...AND SHOULD CAUSE
THE COMPLEX OF STORMS TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AFTERNOON.
SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES ACROSS THE
WESTERN COUNTIES WITH 80S OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES. IF THE CLOUDS
HOLD OVER THE EASTERN CWA...HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY ONLY REACH THE MID
TO UPPER 70S.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN NE AND KS
ALONG A COLD FRONT AND AHEAD OF A 5H TROUGH...WHICH WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EVOLVE INTO ANOTHER MCS AND MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTO THE FA LATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. DAMAGING
OUTFLOW WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
MCS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA TONIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA FRIDAY AND CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THE ENVIRONMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL
BE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE...ALSO THE WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE PROVIDING FOR MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR PARAMETERS.
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT FRIDAY
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL THE MAIN HAZARDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD WARM INTO THE 90S...ESPECIALLY IF SKIES CLEAR
AFTER THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS.

THE NAM AND GFS BOTH SHOW THE FRONT MOVING SOUTH OF THE CWA FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA. LOOKS DRY AND COOLER
DURING THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.

THE EXTENDED FCST MODELS SHOW A 5H RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL
KEEP MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND CAUSE A WARM UP...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 90S BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEAK. I MADE
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL NOON THURSDAY.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 25, 5:11 AM CDT, 6 hours 4 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
511 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-261010-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
511 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
LOCATIONS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAWRENCE TO COUNCIL GROVE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. WITH THE
GROUND NEARLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
AND FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 25, 8:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
858 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSE GREELEY           38.34N 95.11W
08/25/2005  3.50 INCH        ANDERSON           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

STRASSBERG

Local storm report, Aug 25, 9:55 AM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
955 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0853 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W WHITE CITY          38.80N 96.77W
08/25/2005                   MORRIS             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROAD ON K-4 AT 2400 RD.

&&

STRASSBERG

Local storm report, Aug 25, 10:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1000 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 W COUNCIL GROVE       38.66N 96.58W
08/25/2005                   MORRIS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ELM CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. SEVERAL SMALL STREAMS OUT OF
            BANKS AND OVER SOME ROADS.

&&

STRASSBERG

Local storm report, Aug 25, 10:02 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1002 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 E WILSEY              38.64N 96.60W
08/25/2005  3.65 INCH        MORRIS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AS OF 8AM THIS MORNING.

&&

STRASSBERG

Local storm report, Aug 25, 10:58 AM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1058 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SE JUNCTION CITY      38.98N 96.77W
08/25/2005                   GEARY              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUNTY ROAD K57 AT MILE POST 15 CLOSED AROUND 10 AM WITH
            WATER OVER THE ROAD.

&&

FRANTZ

Local storm report, Aug 25, 10:59 AM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1059 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1059 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E HERINGTON           38.67N 96.91W
08/25/2005  5.60 INCH        MORRIS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

STRASSBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 24, 9:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Coffey	53 min
Aug 24, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Anderson, Franklin	44 min
Aug 24, 10:44 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Franklin	3 hr
Aug 24, 10:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Douglas	43 min
Aug 24, 11:34 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Anderson	3 hr
Aug 25, 5:25 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Dickinson, Geary, Morris, Riley	3 hr
Aug 25, 8:26 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Dickinson, Geary, Morris, Riley	3 hr
Aug 25, 8:48 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Lyon	3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2005 Every flash flood warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.