Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Great Falls, MT

000 
WWUS55 KTFX 092100
SVSTFX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
300 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

MTC057-092145-
/O.CON.KTFX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-050709T2145Z/
MADISON MT-
300 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM MDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY...

AT 254 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH
OF TWIN BRIDGES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SILVER STAR BY 310 PM MDT
  NEAR HARRISON BY 345 PM MDT

HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED 
IN TWIN BRIDGES WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS 
STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4556 11261 4572 11232 4574 11217 4584 11207
      4584 11192 4576 11172 4573 11171 4573 11165
      4568 11157 4530 11236 4531 11240 4543 11248
      4544 11253 4554 11262

$$

MPJ

000 
WWUS55 KTFX 092120
SVSTFX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
319 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

MTC057-092145-
/O.CON.KTFX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-050709T2145Z/
MADISON MT-
319 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM MDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY...

AT 316 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SILVER STAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP 
TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES WITH THIS 
STORM.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4556 11261 4572 11232 4574 11217 4584 11207
      4584 11192 4576 11172 4573 11171 4573 11165
      4568 11157 4530 11236 4531 11240 4543 11248
      4544 11253 4554 11262

$$

BRUSDA

000 
WWUS55 KTFX 092145
SVSTFX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
344 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

MTC057-092155-
/O.CAN.KTFX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-050709T2145Z/
MADISON MT-
344 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...THUS THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

AREAS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING 
STRIKES WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM. 

LAT...LON 4556 11261 4572 11232 4574 11217 4584 11207
      4584 11192 4576 11172 4573 11171 4573 11165
      4568 11157 4530 11236 4531 11240 4543 11248
      4544 11253 4554 11262

$$

BRUSDA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
227 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST
OVERNIGHT. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA EXPECT BEING SOUTHWEST MONTANA. THE COLD FRONT HAS
BROUGHT MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS. THE
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHWEST MONTANA THIS EVENING BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA
THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE 70S IN MOST
LOCATIONS.

THINGS WILL START TO DRY OUT SUNDAY EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PUSHES EAST OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BRING WESTERLY FLOW TO THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN WARMER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS. MEIER

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING BACK OVER AREA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SHORT WAVE APPROACHING NORTHWEST ZONES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. MODELS HINTING AT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVING EASTWARD ON
THURSDAY WITH MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW SO HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS FOR THURSDAY
SPREADING OVER THE PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO
BE ABOVE NORMAL. CAMP

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES IN MODELS DURING
THIS PERIOD DETRACT FROM CONFIDENCE.  HOWEVER TREND IS OF UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST...WITH UPPER AIR RIDGE APPROACHING
THE DAKOTA BORDER.  WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.  WARM SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES.   EK

&&

.AVIATION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
MONTANA OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH ISOLATED MVFR
AND IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO VISIBILITIES IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  49  73  51  81 /  60  50  20   0
CTB  47  70  47  78 /  20  20  20   0
HLN  59  74  55  86 /  80  60  20   0
BZN  54  74  49  83 /  60  50  40   0
WEY  45  67  38  73 /  40  30  20   0
DLN  51  72  48  83 /  40  30  10   0
HVR  54  78  53  84 /  40  30  20   0
LWT  54  70  50  80 /  50  60  30   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MEIER
LONG TERM....CAMP
AVIATION...

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
530 AM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

MTZ008>015-044>055-101105-
BEAVERHEAD-NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN
GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND
CLARK-MADISON-TOOLE-LIBERTY-EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-SOUTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH
BASIN-FERGUS-JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
530 AM MDT SAT JUL 9 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MONTANA

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE AREA AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MONTANA...AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THOSE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION
WILL MAINLY BE JUST RAIN SHOWERS NEAR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FRONT...WITH LESS UNSTABLE AIR IN THAT AREA.

NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES CURRENTLY IN EFFECT

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH MOSTLY DRY AND WARM WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

COULSTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
229 PM MDT SAT JUL 09 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     HAIL             3 N DILLON              45.26N 112.63W
07/09/2005  0.50 INCH        BEAVERHEAD         MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

&&

BRUSDA