Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 862

May 13, 2005Chautauqua County, Harper County, Montgomery County, Kansas; 14 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 13, 2005, 3:50 PM CDT for Chautauqua County, Harper County, Montgomery County, Kansas; 14 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2005, 3:50 PM CDT (20:50 UTC)
Expired
May 13, 2005, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Chautauqua County, KS, Harper County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Craig County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Harper County, OK, Kay County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Washington County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2005-05-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 8 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2005-05-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 221 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-435 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1421 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
250 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 132050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132050 
OKZ000-KSZ000-132215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN OK INTO SRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132050Z - 132215Z

SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NRN OK INTO SRN KS AND CONDITIONS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE FAR
ERN OK PNHDL WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SEWD FROM
THIS FEATURE TO S OF END AND THEN MORE NEWD TO N OF TUL.
CONSIDERABLE LOW CLOUDINESS HAS LIMITED DIABATIC HEATING AND
RESULTANT DESTABILIZATION ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...THOUGH RUC FIELDS
SUGGEST THAT CAP HAS BECOME RELATIVELY WEAK WITH MLCAPES OF
1000-1500 J/KG FROM VICINITY OF SURFACE LOW EWD ALONG FRONTAL ZONE
TO I-35.

LATEST RADAR TRENDS INDICATE AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION FROM WOODS
AND MAJOR COUNTIES EWD INTO GARFIELD AND NOBLE COUNTIES OF N-CNTRL
OK. CONTINUED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION COUPLED WITH INCREASED
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE/THERMAL
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE TX PNHDL INTO WRN OK SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO
A FURTHER INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

CURRENT LAMONT PROFILER INDICATES A QUITE FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILE
FOR SUPERCELLS WITH STRONGLY VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND 50 KTS OF
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP...RELATIVELY STRONG OBSERVED
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH OF 150-200 M2/S2/ ALSO SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AND WW MAY BE
REQUIRED WITHIN NEXT HOUR OR SO.

..MEAD.. 05/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

37029983 37169911 37239687 37169478 36689492 36129643
36069825 36369969

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 8:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth and 4 more34 min
May 12, 9:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Comanche, Cowley and 14 more85 min
May 13, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Comanche, Cowley and 8 more7 hr
May 12, 7:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson64 min
May 12, 8:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGreer, Harmon, Jackson5 hr
May 12, 10:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 3 more57 min
May 12, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 17 more5 hr
May 13, 1:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Garfield, Grady and 5 more86 min
May 13, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cotton, Stephens, Tillman56 min
May 13, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarmon, Jackson83 min
May 13, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more7 hr
May 13, 5:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more64 min
May 13, 6:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Garfield, Grant and 12 more65 min
May 13, 6:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 20 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.