Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 2178

September 12, 2005Dawes County, Nebraska; 12 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 12, 2005, 4:25 PM MDT for Dawes County, Nebraska; 12 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Wyoming. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2005, 4:25 PM MDT (22:25 UTC)
Expired
Sep 12, 2005, 6:30 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Dawes County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 4 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2005-09-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2005-09-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
297 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 122226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122225 
NEZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-130030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2178
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0525 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN WY...WRN SD...AND FAR NWRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 122225Z - 130030Z

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING SEVERE WIND GUSTS SHOULD GRADUALLY
LESSEN IN INTENSITY DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THREAT SHOULD
DECREASE...ISOLATED AREAS OF DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
WRN SD AND FAR NWRN NEB THROUGH 01Z. WW IS NOT PRESENTLY ANTICIPATED
FOR THIS AREA. 

FAST MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE...WITH MOTION 240/40-45KT...WILL TRACK
FROM NERN WY ACROSS WRN SD AND FAR NWRN NEB DURING THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS. CONVECTION IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED DIFFERENTIAL PVA MOVING ENEWD ACROSS CENTRAL WY. DESPITE
THIS...CONVECTION IS PROCESSING BEST INSTABILITY AT THE PRESENT
TIME...WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMED INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ACROSS WRN SD/NWRN NEB...COOLER BOUNDARY
LAYER AND DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE LOW 40S SHOULD RESULT IN AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND OF ONGOING ACTIVITY. GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN CONVECTIVE MODE AND SPEED OF
MOVEMENT. AS CONVECTION WEAKENS OVERALL...POTENTIAL FOR DOWNWARD
MOMENTUM TRANSFER SHOULD LESSEN SUGGESTING THREAT OF SEVERE WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE ISOLATED DURING THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.

..BANACOS.. 09/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...

42730394 43760446 44720469 45280420 45450355 45570286
45560227 45290164 44630136 43890125 43210125 42830170
42720221 42630304

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 2:40 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBoyd4 hr
Sep 12, 4:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Buffalo, Clay, Franklin and 18 more59 min
Sep 12, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo, Clay and 18 more4 hr
Sep 12, 5:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd88 min
Sep 12, 1:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brule, Buffalo, Clark and 28 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.