Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 297, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 5, 2005, 5:51 PM CST for Camden County, Missouri. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2005, 5:51 PM CST (23:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 5, 2005, 6:51 PM CST
- In force
- 60 min
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Camden County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 3:50 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 79 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -404 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 978 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 300 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 297 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 5, 4:52 PM CST, 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 4:52 PM CST, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 452 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 .DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERNS ARE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THIS EVENING AND FLUCTUATING TEMPERATURES IN LATER PERIODS. COLD FRONT HAS ONLY INCHED SOUTHWARD SINCE YESTERDAY..EXTENDING FROM WEST CENTRAL IL...TO JUST SOUTH OF KANSAS CITY INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS. MODIFIED GULF AIR REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WITH DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 DEG F. 18Z RAWINSONDE FROM KSGF INDICATES A STRONGER THAN EXPECTED CAP...ABOUT 5 DEG C FROM 850MB TO 800 MB. THIS IS MUCH STRONGER THAN THE NAM...AND EVEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN WHAT THE GFS INDICATED FROM THE 12Z RUN. MECHANISMS THAT MAY POSSIBLY BREAK THE CAP WILL BE INCREASINGLY STRONG FORCING ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT...AND LIFT/COOLING/FORCING WITH A QUICKLY APPROACHING VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE...NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN KS. HONESTLY...HAVING A TOUGH TIME SIZING UP WHETHER THE CAP WILL BE OVERCOME...BUT COOLING ABOVE THE CAP SHOULD COMMENCE BEFORE 00Z AND BECOME FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AFTER 00Z AS THE FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN MO OZARKS. CAP ALSO MAY BE ABOUT 2 DEG C WEAKER OVER THE EASTERN CWA (USING THE GFS AS A GUIDE). ML CAPES ABOUT 1000-1200 J/KG OFF THE GFS ALONG WITH 500 MB WINDS PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN TO 60-65 KTS BY 03Z. IF THE CAP BREAKS...SUPERCELLS ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CWA POSSIBLE AS SURFACE WINDS BACK SOMEWHAT IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING AS IT MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL MO. O-3KM HELICITY INCREASES TO 300 M2/S2 ROLLA/SALEM POINT SOUNDING 00-03Z. BY THAT TIME...HOWEVER...SURFACE COOLING MAY ALSO LIMIT SURFACE BASED ACTIVITY BY THAT TIME. ALL-IN-ALL..HAVE MY HIGHEST POPS IN THE EASTERN CWA THIS EVENING AND MENTION SEVERE THREAT IN THE HWO IN THAT SAME AREA. 00Z SOUNDING WILL HELP INDICATE THE DEGREE OF MIDLEVEL COOLING WHICH SHOULD BE UNDERWAY BY THEN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY...THEN RETURN FLOW WILL RAPIDLY COMMENCE ONCE AGAIN EARLY MONDAY AS LEE SIDE TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES. INITIALLY...CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY...AND THERE MAY BE A SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FIRE DANGER MONDAY. BELIEVE MODELS ARE A LITTLE FAST IN RETURNING MOISTURE TO THE REGION...BUT MOISTURE RETURN WILL EVENTUALLY BRING RH LEVELS UP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN MO STATE LINE. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH SOME RECORD WARMTH A GOOD POSSIBILITY. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVING SHOWING SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES...WITH THE 12Z GFS MORE AMPLIFIED AND SOMEWHAT SLOWER WITH NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY. IF MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND THIS WAY...FROPA MAY BE DELAYED... OR PROGRESS SLOWED...AS SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S.. FOR NOW STICKING PRETTY CLOSE TO NCEP SOLUTIONS...BUT HAVE EXTENDED RAIN CHANCES INTO ALL OF WEDNESDAY. PRETTY POTENT SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY AS DEPICTED BY THE ECMWF...SO SEVERE WEATHER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...BUT A LONG WAY TO GO BEFORE THEN. ANOTHER HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK. DSA && .AVIATION... FOR THE 00Z TAFS...COLD FRONT JUST ABOUT TO PUSH INTO JLN AT 23Z. MOST OF THE RADAR RETURNS SHOULD BE LOCATED EAST OF THE JLN/SGF FORECAST POINTS BY 00Z AND HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY MENTION OF PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FORECAST. MAY SEE SOME BROKEN CEILINGS FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS IN SGF AT 3000 TO 4000 FEET HOWEVER AM EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS REMAINDER OF FORECAST. LINDENBERG && SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .MO...NONE. .KS...NONE. WFO SGF
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 4:57 PM CST, 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 457 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061200- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 457 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND PRODUCE UP TWO INCH IN DIAMETER HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 70 MPH. THE BETTER CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS...GENERALLY IN COUNTIES ALONG AND EAST OF A WARSAW TO CASSVILLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST...ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION: A COLD FRONT TWILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING. A MIDDAY UPPER AIR OBSERVATION INDICATED A STRONG CAP IN PLACE OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAY...BUT AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WILL BREAK THE CAP OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR SEVERE SUPERCELL STORMS ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO A SQUALL LINE BEFORE EXITING THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) DSA
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 5, 3:53 PM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 353 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 MOZ055>058-068>071-060400- BENTON-CAMDEN-HICKORY-MARIES-MILLER-MORGAN-PHELPS-PULASKI- 353 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 841 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA... IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MISSOURI BENTON... CAMDEN... HICKORY... MARIES... MILLER... MORGAN... PHELPS... PULASKI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CAMDENTON...COLE CAMP...ELDON... FORT LEONARD WOOD...HERMITAGE...LAKE OZARK...OSAGE BEACH... ROLLA...VERSAILLES...VIENNA...WARSAW AND WAYNESVILLE. A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE MISSOURI OZARKS LATE THIS EVENING. AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSOURI...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST ACROSS THE LAKE OF THE OZARKS REGION. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE MOST SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. CRAMER
Special weather statement, Nov 5, 5:14 PM CST, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 514 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 MOZ079>083-090>092-094>098-102>106-060400- BARRY-CHRISTIAN-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HOWELL-LACLEDE- LAWRENCE-OREGON-OZARK-POLK-SHANNON-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-WEBSTER- WRIGHT- 514 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 842 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA... IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 18 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DENT... HOWELL... OREGON... SHANNON... TEXAS... IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BARRY... CHRISTIAN... DALLAS... DOUGLAS... GREENE... LACLEDE... LAWRENCE... OZARK... POLK... STONE... TANEY... WEBSTER... WRIGHT... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALTON...AURORA...AVA...BOLIVAR... BRANSON...BUFFALO...CABOOL...CASSVILLE...EMINENCE...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...GALENA...HOUSTON...KIMBERLING CITY...LEBANON... MANSFIELD...MARSHFIELD...MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...MOUNTAIN GROVE... NIXA...OZARK...REPUBLIC...ROGERSVILLE...SALEM...SPRINGFIELD... THAYER...THEODOSIA...WEST PLAINS...WILLOW SPRINGS AND WINONA. MOZ055>058-068>071-060400- BENTON-CAMDEN-HICKORY-MARIES-MILLER-MORGAN-PHELPS-PULASKI- 514 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH 841 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA... IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MISSOURI BENTON... CAMDEN... HICKORY... MARIES... MILLER... MORGAN... PHELPS... PULASKI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CAMDENTON...COLE CAMP...ELDON... FORT LEONARD WOOD...HERMITAGE...LAKE OZARK...OSAGE BEACH... ROLLA...VERSAILLES...VIENNA...WARSAW AND WAYNESVILLE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 4:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Hickory, Polk | 77 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.