Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 12, 2005, 4:59 PM CST for Miller County, Missouri. It was in force for 98 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2005, 4:59 PM CST (22:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 20, 2005, 3:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 98 days
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Miller County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -298 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1135 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 453 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 456 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS53 KSGF 122259
SVRSGF
MOC131-122345-
/X.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0011.050112T2259Z-050112T2345Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
459 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MILLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI.
* UNTIL 545 PM CST.
* AT 456 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CAMDENTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
NEAR LAKE OZARK BY 510 PM CST.
NEAR TUSCUMBIA BY 520 PM CST.
THE TOWNS OF LAKEVIEW...BAGNELL...ETTERVILLE AND MARYS HOME ARE ALSO
IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS
LAT...LON 3823 9270 3813 9259 3807 9256 3803 9242
3806 9222 3828 9223 3844 9262
$$
LINDENBERG3 follow-up statements
000 WUUS53 KSGF 201934 SVRSGF MOC131-202015- /O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0011.050420T1934Z-050420T2015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 234 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... MILLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI. * UNTIL 315 PM CDT. * AT 229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKELAND...OR 5 MILES NORTH OF OSAGE BEACH...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE... NEAR TUSCUMBIA BY 250 PM CDT. NEAR ST. ELIZABETH BY 315 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF BAGNELL...LAKEVIEW...ULMAN...MARYS HOME AND SAINT ELIZABETH ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. LAT...LON 3832 9270 3814 9270 3809 9220 3833 9220 $$ BROWNING
000 WWUS53 KSGF 201937 SVSSGF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 236 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005 MOC131-202015- /O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-050420T2015Z/ MILLER MO- 236 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR MILLER COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM CDT... AT 233 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKELAND...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSAGE BEACH...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE... NEAR TUSCUMBIA BY 245 PM CDT. NEAR ST. ELIZABETH BY 305 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF BAGNELL...LAKEVIEW...ULMAN AND SAINT ELIZABETH ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. LAT...LON 3832 9270 3814 9270 3809 9220 3833 9220 $$ BROWNING
000 WWUS53 KSGF 201948 SVSSGF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 248 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005 MOC131-202015- /O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-050420T2015Z/ MILLER MO- 248 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR MILLER COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM CDT... AT 243 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL JUST EAST OF LAKELAND. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TUSCUMBIA...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSAGE BEACH...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE... NEAR ST. ELIZABETH BY 305 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF ULMAN AND SAINT ELIZABETH ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 3832 9270 3814 9270 3809 9220 3833 9220 $$ BROWNING
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 12, 3:15 PM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 3:15 PM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 315 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 .DISCUSSION... STORMS WERE INTENSIFYING ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. 18Z SPECIAL SOUNDING DEPICTED CAPPING INVERSION NEAR 800 MB BUT WAS BEING OVERCOME BY FORCING AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT STRETCHED FROM NORTHWEST MISSOURI BACK TO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTED A POTENT TROUGH TRACKING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. INCREASING LIFT IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS MODEST WIND PROFILES ARE IMPRESSIVE WITH 0-6KM SHEAR NEAR 60 KTS. SEVERE WIND GUSTS APPEARS THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK IN BOWING SEGMENTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO STILL CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN THE 0-1 KM AND 0-3 KM HELICITIES NEAR 300. STORMS WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE FORECAST DURING THE EVENING AND LIKELY EVOLVE IN A SQUALL LINE. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS WELL WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER AN INCH SUPPORT INTENSE RAINFALL RATES. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. 18Z MODEL RUN OF THE ETA SUGGEST THAT A DEFORMATION ZONE MAY SET UP NORTH OF THE TRACK OF THE VORTICITY MAXIMUM. THIS MAY BRING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS MUCH COLDER AIR SURGES INTO THE AREA. A COLD AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL SET UP FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER A PASSING DISTURBANCE MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY. FOSTER && .AVIATION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS IN STORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID TO LATE EVENING WITH MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TONIGHT. STRATUS MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT A GENERALLY IMPROVING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. JLT/FOSTER && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .MO...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL THURSDAY 3 AM ALL COUNTIES. .KS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL THURSDAY 3 AM BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES. WFO SGF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 1:00 PM CST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-131200-
BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD-
DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE-
LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS-
POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER-
WRIGHT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON...
FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK...
PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS.
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:
SOUTH WINDS GUSTING OVER 30 MPH.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WILL PRODUCE:
HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL.
AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON ACROSS
COUNTIES ALONG THE KANSAS MISSOURI BORDER. MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY MOVE
EAST THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING. THE RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD END IN EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION:
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST INTO EASTERN KANSAS
AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT
WITH A SPRING LIKE AIRMASS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TO PRODUCE THE
POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS. LIMITED INSTABILITY DUE TO CLOUD COVER
AND A WARM LAYER ALOFT HAS INHIBITED STORM FORMATION SO FAR.
HOWEVER INCREASING LIFT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY INITIATE POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY
COMBINED WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A
SQUALL LINE BY EARLY EVENING...AND MOVE ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
TORNADOES MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE OF STORMS.
THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING. A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR IN SOME
AREAS. WITH AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...ANY HEAVY RAIN WILL
QUICKLY TURN INTO EXCESS RUNOFF WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
COLD WEATHER WITH WIND CHILL VALUES OF AROUND ZERO WILL OCCUR OVER
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS ARCTIC AIR SURGES SOUTH OVER THE MID
SECTION OF THE COUNTRY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE SOME LIGHT
SNOW ON SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 4 PM...AND WILL BE MORE
LIKELY NEEDED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO RELAY
REPORTS OF FLOODING.
FOSTERIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 3:35 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 335 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-130400- BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD- DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE- LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS- POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER- WRIGHT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON... FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON... MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK... PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS. 335 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 3...IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE... DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER... LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON... OREGON...OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR... STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. IN KANSAS: BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE AVA... BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT... HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON...MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO... NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK...PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD... STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL MEDIA OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION. BOOKBINDER
Local storm report, Jan 12, 4:19 PM CST, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
419 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HAIL 2 S WALNUT GROVE 37.39N 93.55W
01/12/2005 0.75 INCH GREENE MO PUBLIC
PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY A VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVER
SAWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Douglas | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 3:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Lawrence, Taney | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 3:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene, Ozark | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 3:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Dallas, Hickory, Taney | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 3:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Newton, Polk | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 4:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Douglas | 39 days |
| Jan 12, 4:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Miller, Vernon | 50 days |
| Jan 12, 4:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 51 min |
| Jan 12, 4:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dallas | 50 days |
| Jan 12, 4:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Jasper, Newton | 71 days |
| Jan 12, 4:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene, Stone | 89 days |
| Jan 12, 5:07 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Lawrence and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 12, 5:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Maries, Miller, Pulaski, Webster | 98 days |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.