Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 210125
SVRSGF
MOC213-210230-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0002.050221T0124Z-050221T0230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
724 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

* UNTIL 830 PM CST.

* AT 721 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
  WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TANEYVILLE TO JUST NORTH 
  OF BRANSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR TANEYVILLE BY 730 PM CST.
  NEAR FORSYTH BY 735 PM CST.

THIS STORM WILL ALSO AFFECT THE NORTHERN BRANCHES OF TABLE ROCK LAKE 
BETWEEN BRANSON AND FORSYTH.

THE TOWNS OF WALNUT SHADE...KIRBYVILLE...EDGEWATER BEACH...OZARK
BEACH...POWERSITE...BRADLEYVILLE...KISSEE MILLS...BROWNBRANCH AND
RUETER ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3683 9324 3661 9331 3660 9278 3681 9276

$$

BOOKBINDER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 210138
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
735 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

MOC213-210230-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-050221T0230Z/
TANEY MO-
735 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR TANEY COUNTY UNTIL 830
PM CST...

AT 729 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TANEYVILLE TO FORSYTH...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

AT 734 PM...TWO REPORTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL WERE RECEIVED IN THE 
FORYSTH AREA. THIS REMAINS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
MUCH LARGER HAIL OVER NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF TANEY COUNTY. 
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN TANEY COUNTY 
BEFORE 8 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR FORSYTH THROUGH 750 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF WALNUT SHADE...KIRBYVILLE...EDGEWATER BEACH...
POWERSITE...OZARK BEACH...BRADLEYVILLE...KISSEE MILLS...BROWNBRANCH
AND RUETER ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3683 9324 3661 9331 3660 9278 3681 9276

$$

BOOKBINDER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 210157
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

MOC213-210230-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-050221T0230Z/
TANEY MO-
754 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR TANEY COUNTY UNTIL 830
PM CST...

AT 751 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 
MILES EAST OF TANEYVILLE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BRADLEYVILLE... 
AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF TANEY
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF TANEYVILLE...KISSEE MILLS...
BRADLEYVILLE AND BROWNBRANCH.

A SECOND STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING INTO WESTERN TANEY COUNTY 
AND MAY PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL IN ADDITIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING TO 
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF TABLE 
ROCK LAKE THROUGH 815 PM.

LAT...LON 3674 9331 3652 9331 3660 9277 3681 9277

$$

BOOKBINDER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 210214
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
812 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

MOC213-210230-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-050221T0230Z/
TANEY MO-
812 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR TANEY COUNTY UNTIL 830
PM CST...

AT 808 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLISTER...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST 
OF BRANSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

AT 810 PM...HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE WAS REPORTED 7 MILES SOUTH OF 
HOLLISTER. THIS STORM WILL PASS OVER BULL SHOALS LAKE AND AFFECT 
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN TANEY COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3661 9327 3651 9331 3653 9279 3670 9278

$$

BOOKBINDER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
315 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...
STORMS WERE INTENSIFYING ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. 18Z SPECIAL SOUNDING DEPICTED CAPPING INVERSION NEAR 800
MB BUT WAS BEING OVERCOME BY FORCING AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT STRETCHED
FROM NORTHWEST MISSOURI BACK TO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY DEPICTED A POTENT TROUGH TRACKING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES.

INCREASING LIFT IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY
IS MODEST WIND PROFILES ARE IMPRESSIVE WITH 0-6KM SHEAR NEAR 60 KTS.
SEVERE WIND GUSTS APPEARS THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK IN BOWING
SEGMENTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO STILL CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN THE
0-1 KM AND 0-3 KM HELICITIES NEAR 300. STORMS WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE FORECAST DURING THE EVENING AND LIKELY EVOLVE IN A SQUALL LINE.
THE FLOODING THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS WELL WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OVER AN INCH SUPPORT INTENSE RAINFALL RATES.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. 18Z MODEL RUN OF THE ETA
SUGGEST THAT A DEFORMATION ZONE MAY SET UP NORTH OF THE TRACK OF THE
VORTICITY MAXIMUM. THIS MAY BRING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO PORTIONS
OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS MUCH COLDER AIR
SURGES INTO THE AREA.

A COLD AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL SET UP FROM FRIDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER A PASSING DISTURBANCE MAY BRING SOME
LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY.

FOSTER
&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS IN
STORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID TO LATE EVENING
WITH MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TONIGHT.
STRATUS MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT A GENERALLY IMPROVING
TREND CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY.

JLT/FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL THURSDAY 3 AM ALL COUNTIES.
.KS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL THURSDAY 3 AM BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND
CRAWFORD COUNTIES.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-131200-
BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD-
DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE-
LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS-
POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER-
WRIGHT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON...
FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK...
PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS.
100 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SOUTH WINDS GUSTING OVER 30 MPH.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WILL PRODUCE:
    HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.
    DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
    ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL.
    AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA
  THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

  A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON ACROSS
  COUNTIES ALONG THE KANSAS MISSOURI BORDER. MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE
  STORMS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS
  WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY MOVE
  EAST THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING. THE RISK OF SEVERE
  WEATHER SHOULD END IN EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BY
  AROUND MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST INTO EASTERN KANSAS
  AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT
  WITH A SPRING LIKE AIRMASS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TO PRODUCE THE
  POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS. LIMITED INSTABILITY DUE TO CLOUD COVER
  AND A WARM LAYER ALOFT HAS INHIBITED STORM FORMATION SO FAR.
  HOWEVER INCREASING LIFT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL
  LIKELY INITIATE POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY
  COMBINED WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A
  SQUALL LINE BY EARLY EVENING...AND MOVE ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS
  DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
  TORNADOES MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE OF STORMS.

  THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO
  FLOODING. A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR IN SOME
  AREAS. WITH AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...ANY HEAVY RAIN WILL
  QUICKLY TURN INTO EXCESS RUNOFF WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH
  FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  COLD WEATHER WITH WIND CHILL VALUES OF AROUND ZERO WILL OCCUR OVER
  THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS ARCTIC AIR SURGES SOUTH OVER THE MID
  SECTION OF THE COUNTRY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE SOME LIGHT
  SNOW ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 4 PM...AND WILL BE MORE
  LIKELY NEEDED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

  SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO RELAY
  REPORTS OF FLOODING.

FOSTER