Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Phoenix, AZ

000 
WUUS55 KPSR 222337
SVRPSR
AZC013-230030-
/O.NEW.KPSR.SV.W.0004.050222T2336Z-050223T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
436 PM MST TUE FEB 22 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE @@@OFFT HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

* UNTIL 530 PM MST

* AT 430 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED OVER MESA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FORT
  MCDOWELL...MESA AND FOUNTAIN HILLS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3337 11185 3333 11164 3364 11151 3367 11178

$$
SAS

000 
WUUS55 KPSR 222341 CCA
SVRPSR
AZC013-230030-
/O.COR.KPSR.SV.W.0004.050222T2336Z-050223T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
439 PM MST TUE FEB 22 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... 
  EAST CENTRAL MARICOPA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA

* UNTIL 530 PM MST

* AT 434 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED OVER MESA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FORT
  MCDOWELL...MESA AND FOUNTAIN HILLS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3337 11185 3333 11164 3364 11151 3367 11178

$$

SAS

000 
WWUS55 KPSR 222358
SVSPSR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
456 PM MST TUE FEB 22 2005

AZC013-230030-
/O.CON.KPSR.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050223T0030Z/
MARICOPA AZ-
456 PM MST TUE FEB 22 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 530 PM MST FOR EAST
CENTRAL MARICOPA COUNTY...

AT 443 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EAST MESA...MOVING 
NORTH AT 20 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FOUNTAIN HILLS AND FORT MCDOWELL.

DIME SIZE DIAMETER HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU 
ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE 
AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3337 11185 3333 11164 3364 11151 3367 11178

$$

SAS

AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-292245-

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
950 AM MST SAT JAN 29 2005

SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
FORECAST DISCUSSION

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT FROM CALIFORNIA WILL BRING THE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS TODAY...MAINLY TO SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOST OF THE RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO BE NORTH AND EAST OF PHOENIX. HOWEVER...MUCH LESS RAIN IS
EXPECTED COMPARED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM THIS PAST WEDNESDAY. BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND BEHIND
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. UNSETTLED AND COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED MOST
OF NEXT WEEK WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS FROM THE NORTHEAST AND EAST AT
TIMES AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MEANDERS NEAR OR OVER ARIZONA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM STILL DEVELOPING AS IT DROPS DOWN OVER AZ
THIS MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE THAT WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL
BAND AS IT CROSSED SE CA HAS BECOME MORE SHALLOW AS THE FRONT HAS
PROGRESSED FURTHER E. HOWEVER...80-100M H5 HEIGHT FALLS THAT ARE
STILL EXPECTED TODAY SHOULD INITIATE SUFFICIENT OMEGAS TO GIVE GOOD
LIFT TO WHAT MOISTURE WE DO HAVE AVAILABLE...SO STILL EXPECTING SOME
LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIP TODAY. FRONTAL BAND CURRENTLY NOTED BY LINE
OF PRECIP ON KIWA 88D COULD GIVE SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT
MOVES THRU THE GREATER PHX AREA...ESPECIALLY NRN PORTIONS OF THE
VALLEY. MEANWHILE...BEHIND THE FRONT WE ARE STILL EXPECTING AN
UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO BE IN PLACE BY TIME OF AFTERNOON HEATING. SO...
SHOULD SEE SOME SHOWER/TSTM REDEVELOPMENT MAINLY OVER SCNTRL AZ
PORTION OF CWA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AFTER
TONIGHT...MODELS CONTINUE TREND OF MOVING MAIN LOW INTO SRN ROCKYS
BUT THEN DEVELOPING BAGGY TROUGH OVER SRN AZ. THIS IS BEING PROGGED
TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO A CUTOFF LOW SOMEWHERE TO OUR S OR SW. AT
THE SAME TIME...AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SUBSIDENT
AND DRIER ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...AFTER THIS...LOW MAY GET
NUDGED BACK OVER THE STATE BY MIDWEEK AND INCREASE SHOWER CHANCES
AGAIN AS SOME MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE AREA. MORE ON THIS IN
AFTERNOON DISCUSSION. TO BE SURE...TEMPS WILL BE CHILLY NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS WITH HEIGHTS WELL BE NORMAL. ALSO EXPECTING A DECENT N/S
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TAKE SHAPE NEXT FEW DAYS...FOR BREEZY
CONDITIONS DOWN THE CO RIVER. IN THE MEANTIME...CURRENT FORECASTS
APPEAR IN DECENT SHAPE FOR NOW...NO UPDATES.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AZ...NONE.

CA...NONE.

&&

ESTLE