Severe Thunderstorm Warning 630, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
715 PM CST SUN OCT 30 2005

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-311300-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVERNIGHT
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHWEST HALF OF
OKLAHOMA TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF
THE FRONT. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...WITH SCATTERED STORMS AIDING IN PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH. IN ADDITION...INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SMALL HAIL
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST MONDAY OCT 31.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY...MAINLY SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM KNOX CITY... TO WICHITA FALLS...TO ARDMORE...AND
ATOKA. THE ABOVE MENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH
THE RISK AREA BY MID AFTERNOON...WITH A SQUALL LINE POSSIBLY FORMING
NEAR THE FRONT. MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND AND SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY
SOME OF THESE STORMS. SEVERE CHANCES SHOULD END BY MID AFTERNOON...
AS THE FRONT MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY BEFORE
DECREASING MONDAY EVENING.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
MONDAY.

SIX

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