Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 300539
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1237 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

WIC021-077-300600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-050630T0600Z/
MARQUETTE-COLUMBIA-
1237 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
COLUMBIA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES...

AT 1235 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 25 MILES WEST OF BERLIN TO LAKE 
WISCONSIN...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  POYNETTE...PARDEEVILLE AND ARLINGTON BY 1245 AM CDT...
  RIO BY 1250 AM CDT...
  OTSEGO...FRIESLAND...DOYLESTOWN AND CAMBRIA BY 1255 AM CDT...
  FALL RIVER BY 100 AM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS A 
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4398 8959 4338 8959 4330 8970 4331 8905
      4363 8902 4364 8925 4398 8922

$$

HENTZ

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 300554
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1252 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

WIC021-077-300600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-050630T0600Z/
MARQUETTE-COLUMBIA-
1252 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR 
MARQUETTE AND UNTIL 130 AM FOR COLUMBIA COUNTY...

AT 1248 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF BERLIN TO 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
PORTAGE TO 8 MILES EAST OF LAKE WISCONSIN...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CAMBRIA...OTSEGO...FRIESLAND AND DOYLESTOWN BY 100 AM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4398 8959 4338 8959 4330 8970 4331 8905
      4363 8902 4364 8925 4398 8922

$$

HENTZ

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 300602
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
101 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

WIC021-077-300611-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-050630T0600Z/
MARQUETTE-COLUMBIA-
101 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARQUETTE COUNTY HAS 
EXPIRED...
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 130 AM FOR COLUMBIA 
COUNTY...

THE SEVERE STORMS HAVE PUSHED EAST OF MARQUETTE COUNTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4398 8959 4338 8959 4330 8970 4331 8905
      4363 8902 4364 8925 4398 8922

$$

HENTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
229 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON SEVERE WEATHER AND PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TONIGHT.

.IN THE SHORT TERM...
MODELS...TO VARYING DEGREE...BRING STRONG UPPER TROF ACROSS MN
AND WI NEXT 24-36 HOURS. FROM THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE DAKOTAS...A
WARM FRONT STRETCHES TO NORTHERN IL. TSTMS ALREADY FIRING ALONG
THIS FRONT OVER NORTHEAST IL. AS WARM FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD THIS
EVENING...WOULD EXPECT SOME TSTMS ALONG IT...SO BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z
HAVE GONE LIKELY WITH THE TSTMS. LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY SUPPORT SOME
SUPERCELLS...RUC MODEL HAS DECENT HODOGRAPH THAT SUPPORTS SUPERCELLS.
MODELS DO TEND TO WASH WARM FRONT OUT AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD...SO THIS
IMPLIES THAT DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE SO GREAT ALONG/NEAR
WARM FRONT...WITH LESSER CHANCES FOR SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES. WE/LL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS.

LATER TONIGHT...STRONG 40-50 KT LLJ PROGGED TO DRIFT TO MO/IL/WI
AREA...WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH SHORT WAVE ALOFT/DYNAMICS...WILL
SUPPORT CLUSTERS OF STORMS/SOME SUPERCELLS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
MERGE INTO A LINEAR MCS WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORTING
A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. THIS
SQUALL LINE WILL BE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. SINCE ALL MODELS PRETTY
MUCH GIVING VARYING AMOUNTS OF PCPN...DECIDED TO GO WITH 80 POPS...
IN THE FORM OF PERIODS OF...FOR LATE TONIGHT.

COLD FRONT NOT PROGGED TO MOVE OUT OF SOUTHERN WI UNTIL THURSDAY
MORNING..AFTER DAYBREAK...DEPENDING ON HOW ONE READS THE MAPS.
WILL HAVE CHANCE OF TSTMS CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY MORNING HOURS
TO PAY RESPECT. PROGGED DRY SLOT FOR THURSDAY OVER WI WILL LEAD TO
GOOD MIXING. THE ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON HOURS WILL HELP
CAP OUT THE ATMOSPHERE TO PREVENT CONTINUING CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

LOOKS LIKE NICE WEATHER FOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS GREAT LAKES REGION. NEXT ROUND FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
NEXT SYSTEM.

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

KAPELA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
845 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-301100-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
845 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX TO NEAR 90 THURSDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE DAY THURSDAY
MAINLY IN THE FAR EAST. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND INDEPENDENCE
DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

LMZ643>646-665-301100-
SHEBOYGAN WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
845 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WISCONSIN NEARSHORE WATERS
OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE WINDS OVER 50 KNOTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE DAY
THURSDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WINDS OVER 50 KNOTS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND INDEPENDENCE DAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR WINDS OF AROUND 25 KNOTS OR MORE...AND ROUGH
WATERS.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

NJ