Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Milwaukee, WI

July 23, 2005Dodge County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 23, 2005, 3:23 PM CDT for Dodge County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 23, 2005, 3:23 PM CDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired: Jul 23, 2005, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 22 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Dodge County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 23, 12:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	3 hr
Jul 23, 3:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	2 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 197 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMKX 232024
SVRMKX
WIC027-232045-
/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0119.050723T2023Z-050723T2045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
323 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DODGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 323 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF IRON RIDGE TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  HUSTISFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THE TORNADO WARNING WILL
  EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  IRON RIDGE AROUND 325 PM CDT...

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY

LAT...LON 4322 8841 4323 8860 4322 8861 4322 8885
      4321 8886 4321 8890 4354 8840

$$

ZAJDEL

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 232038
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
338 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC027-232045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050723T2045Z/
DODGE-
338 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR DODGE
COUNTY...

AT 333 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ASHIPPUN...OR ABOUT NEAR HARTFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
MOST OF WISCONSIN. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4321 8840 4321 8848 4320 8855 4320 8860
      4320 8866 4321 8871 4337 8840

$$

BORGHOFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 23, 3:30 AM CDT, 11 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 3:30 AM CDT, 11 hours 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
330 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON PRECIP CHANCES TODAY/TONIGHT...AND
HEAT ON SUNDAY.

SFC ANIMATION SHOWS HI PRES RDG STILL NOSING INTO CWA WITH QUIET
ERLY FLOW AND DRIER DEW POINTS. HOWEVER FAIRLY POTENT WAA/H8 SPEED
CONVERGENCE ALREADY TAKING SHAPE ACRS SE MN/NE IA WITH BAND OF
CONVECTION THERE. MODELS SHOW A SHORT WAVE SWINGING THRU DURG MAINLY
MRNG HRS. MORE SHORT WAVE ENERGY BACK IN DAKOTAS WITH MORE VIGOROUS
CLUSTER OF STORMS. GFS SHOWING ALMOST AN INCH OF RAIN BY 18Z. WILL
OPT FOR MAXES TODAY THAT ARE HIGHER THAN GFS MOS BUT LOWER THAN ETA
MOS. THIS LARGELY DUE TO UPSTREAM CLOUD/PCPN TRENDS.

POTENTIAL TIGHT SW/NE GRADIENT IN CWA POPS TNGT AS TSTMS RIDE AROUND
UPR RIDGE WITHIN WAA REGIME BEING FED BY LLJ. LLJ LARGELY FOCUSES
BEST COVERAGE OF PCPN IN NERN CWA AND FURTHER NORTH INTO GRB CWA.
BEST H8 THERMAL PACKING ACRS WRN CWA B4 6Z AND THEN ERN CWA AFT 6Z.
GFS/NAM HAVE H8 HOT PROD FIRMLY ENTRNCHED ACRS CWA BY 12Z SUN.

THE HOT H8 AXIS THEN SITS ACROSS CWA FOR SUN WITH THE H8 TEMPS STILL
WITHIN 24C TO 26C RANGE...HOTTEST NR WI/IL BORDER. WILL GO AHEAD
AND ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR ENTIRE CWA FOR SUNDAY WITH HEAT
INDICES STILL SHOWING VALUES AOA 105. ATMOS CAPPED SO WILL RETAIN
GOING DRY FCST.

MON THROUGH TUE TIME FRAME SHOWING SERIES OF RIPPLES WITHIN MORE
ZONAL H5 FLOW. H2 PROGS INDICATING CWA SITTING BENEATH RRQ OF ULJ...
WITH AREAS OF UPR LVL DIVERGENCE. H8 CONVERGENCE ALSO A PLAYER...SO
COULD SEE SOME BENEFICIAL RUNS WITH THIS REGIME...DEPENDING OF
COURSE ON WHERE BOUNDARY ACTUALLY SETS UP.

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...HEAT ADVISORY SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY EVENING...ZONES 46-47...51-52...56>60...62>72.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 11:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1130 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-241000-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
1130 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER MARQUETTE COUNTY NORTH OF MONTELLO.  OVER
THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING...THE EXPECTED COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES
IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S
MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES OF 105 TO NEAR 110.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING INTO FAR SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

LMZ643>646-665-241000-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
SHEBOYGAN WI TO PORT WASHINGTON-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
1130 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WISCONSIN NEARSHORE WATERS
OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. HIGH WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING
INTO FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON MONDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY BE MET TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DUE
TO WINDS AND WAVES.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

HENTZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 23, 2:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
221 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND GST     OXFORD                  43.78N 89.56W
07/23/2005  55 MPH           MARQUETTE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 TO 60 MPH WINDS

&&

PJS

Local storm report, Jul 23, 2:36 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
236 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WSW MONTELLO          43.78N 89.37W
07/23/2005  50 MPH           MARQUETTE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PJS

Local storm report, Jul 23, 2:46 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
246 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND GST     GREEN LAKE              43.84N 88.96W
07/23/2005  54 MPH           GREEN LAKE         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GDAVIS

Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:03 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
303 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N PORTAGE             43.61N 89.47W
07/23/2005                   COLUMBIA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            40 FOOT TALL ELM TREE...1 FOOT IN DIAMETER DOWN.

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PARDEEVILLE             43.53N 89.30W
07/23/2005                   COLUMBIA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHINGLES OFF ROOF...60-70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARQUETTE               43.74N 89.14W
07/23/2005                   GREEN LAKE         WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

&&

GDAVIS

Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:09 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
309 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BEAVER DAM              43.46N 88.84W
07/23/2005                   DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

GDAVIS

Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:14 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
314 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S RIPON               43.83N 88.84W
07/23/2005  50 MPH           FOND DU LAC        WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GDAVIS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 23, 12:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sauk	67 min
Jul 23, 1:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia, Dane	46 min
Jul 23, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Green Lake, Marquette	63 min
Jul 23, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia, Sauk	44 min
Jul 23, 2:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dodge, Fond du Lac	32 min
Jul 23, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane	54 min
Jul 23, 3:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MKX	Dodge	29 min
Jul 23, 3:05 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		85 min
Jul 23, 3:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac, Sheboygan	42 min
Jul 23, 3:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson	44 min
Jul 23, 3:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Ozaukee, Washington	40 min
Jul 23, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Milwaukee, Waukesha	53 min
Jul 23, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Kenosha, Racine, Walworth	60 min
Jul 23, 3:50 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		85 min
Jul 23, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Rock	29 min
Jul 23, 4:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MKX	Kenosha, Racine, Walworth	21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.