Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2005

HAVE BEEN WORKING SEVERE WEATHER SINCE ARRIVED... SO NOT MUCH TIME
TO UPDATE FORECAST.  EXPECT ONGOING STORMS OVER SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN TO SLOWLY GRIND SOUTHEAST.
NEW STORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS PERMIAN BASIN.  BASICALLY LOOKS
STORMY AGAIN TODAY AND MOST OF AREA IN SLIGHT RISK AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL HELP GENERATE NEW STORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
EXPECT CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN AND TRANS PECOS REGION TO HAVE HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIP TODAY.  RAISED POPS TONIGHT TO CHANCE FOR MOST OF
REGION.  MADE FEW CHANGES TO REST OF FORECAST.  HAVE INHERITED A HIGH
WIND WARNING FOR GDP... WILL LET IT CONTINUE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              76  62  79  61 /  50  30  40  50
CARLSBAD NM                80  60  81  62 /  50  30  50  40
DRYDEN TX                  86  65  85  68 /  50  50  20  50
FORT STOCKTON TX           82  63  83  64 /  50  50  30  50
GUADALUPE PASS TX          75  58  79  53 /  40  30  50  40
HOBBS NM                   79  60  79  62 /  50  20  50  40
MARFA TX                   80  58  83  54 /  30  40  30  40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    78  62  80  62 /  50  40  40  50
ODESSA TX                  78  63  82  62 /  50  40  40  50
WINK TX                    85  63  88  65 /  50  40  40  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM UNTIL 10 AM CDT THURSDAY
      FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONE...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
      COUNTY.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM UNTIL 10 AM CDT THURSDAY
      FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONE...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

72

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
437 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2005

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-270937-
ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
437 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2005 (337 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2005)

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE REGION.
THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WIND... AND FLASH FLOODING THE PRIMARY THREATS.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT WITH THE TRANS PECOS
REGION HAVING THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH SUNDAY... WITH A LOWER CHANCE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  AT THIS TIME THE SEVERE THREAT DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE WIDESPREAD... HOWEVER GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL
EVENTS... STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY... PERHAPS EARLY... ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND TRANS PECOS REGION.  LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD KEEP AWARE OF
THE LATEST DEVELOPMENT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT (LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND