Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 229, NWS Louisville, KY

November 15, 2005Larue County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 15, 2005, 8:02 PM EST for Larue County, Kentucky. It was in force for 13 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 15, 2005, 8:02 PM EST (01:02 UTC)
Expired: Nov 15, 2005, 8:15 PM EST
In force: 13 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Larue County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 15, 3:01 PM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 554 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 421 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 506 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.6
Supercell composite: 5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 160102
SVRLMK
KYC123-160115-
/O.NEW.KLMK.SV.W.0229.051116T0102Z-051116T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
802 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN LARUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 815 PM EST

* AT 801 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF LYONS..AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LYONS STATION BY 805 PM

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE
OR ADVANCED WARNING. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NEAREST LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
AND HAVE THEM RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3769 8567 3745 8567 3748 8550 3753 8552
      3755 8563 3769 8561

$$
DK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 15, 3:45 PM EST, 4 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:45 PM EST, 4 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
345 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

...ACTIVE WX NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH
THIS EVENING AND COLDER TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY)

STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS FAR EASTERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL
OCCUR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME
TORNADOES.

THE DYNAMICS ARE VERY STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH A LOW LEVEL JET
AROUND 50 KNOTS MOVING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS
EVENING. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL TO OUR NORTH...CLOSER TO THE
GREAT LAKES STATES.

AT MID AFTERNOON...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH SUPERCELLS...
SOME TORNADIC WAS ENTERING LMK FA AND WILL RACE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING. A SECOND LINE IS MOVING RAPIDLY AND WILL LIKELY CATCH
UP WITH THE FIRST LINE. SEVERE STORMS WILL INCREASE AS THE LINES
MERGE.

THE NEXT PROBLEM WILL BE THE FALLING TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT.
TEMPERATURES ARE DROPPING SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES WITHIN 3 HOURS AFTER
FRONTAL PASSAGE. HAVE USED A BLEND OF CURRENT MOVEMENT...NAM AND RUC
FOR FRONTAL MOVEMENT AND A BLEND OF NAM AND GFS MOST AS GUIDANCE FOR
TEMPERATURES.

TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL RISE ONLY 5 TO 10 DEGREES OVER
MORNING LOWS AS BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE INFLUX OF COLD AIR
ACROSS THE AREA.

.LONG TERM  (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)

COLD AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE WEEK WITH A SLOW
WARMING TOWARD THE WEEKEND.

HAVE MADE ONLY A FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WITH THE ONGOING SEVERE
WEATHER.

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

SCHOLZ

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 7:15 PM EST, 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
715 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-160930-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
715 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

...HIGH RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES THIS EVENING
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM FRANKFORT TO GLASGOW ...WITH A
MODERATE RISK TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

AT LEAST 2 LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING WITH A HIGH POTENTIAL THAT SEVERAL STORMS
WITHIN THE LINES WILL BE SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS HAIL AND
ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES. THE GREATEST RISK FOR TORNADIC STORMS
WITH THE FIRST LINE EARLY EVENING WOULD BE WEST OF A LINE FROM
MADISON INDIANA TO LOUISVILLE TO BOWLING GREEN.

THEN AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST THIS
EVENING...A SECOND LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS ANTICIPATED TO
CROSS RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS FROM 60 TO 80 MPH...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES.
LARGE HAIL IS A LESSER THREAT. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL BE EAST OF
THE NORTHERN PART OF I-65 BY 11 PM AND APPROACHING THE I-75 CORRIDOR
BY MIDNIGHT EST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...MEDIA...LAW ENFORCEMENT...AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD
MONITOR WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION...AND BE
PREPARED FOR A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SCHOLZ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 15, 6:59 PM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
659 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

KYZ074-160100-
BARREN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GLASGOW
559 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS ABOUT TO IMPACT BARREN COUNTY...
A POWERFUL THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL SWEEP ACROSS MUCH
OF BARREN COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF GLASGOW...BETWEEN 600 PM
AND 645 PM CST. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST. IF
THIS STORM APPROACHES YOUR AREA GET TO A SAFE PLACE IMMEDIATELY

13

Local storm report, Nov 15, 7:22 PM EST, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
722 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SCOTTSVILLE             36.75N 86.20W
11/15/2005                   ALLEN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES WERE DOWN ON OLD HIGHWAY 231.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Nov 15, 7:34 PM EST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
734 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND GST     WICKLIFFE               38.37N 86.63W
11/15/2005  70 MPH           CRAWFORD           IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Nov 15, 7:45 PM EST, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
745 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             PLUM SPRINGS            37.02N 86.38W
11/15/2005  0.75 INCH        WARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROCKFIELD               36.90N 86.55W
11/15/2005                   WARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER POLES WERE DOWN IN ROCKFIELD AND ALSO IN BROWNING.

&&

MRC

Special weather statement, Nov 15, 7:48 PM EST, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
748 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

KYZ065-160200-
TAYLOR KY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CAMPBELLSVILLE
748 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

...STRONG STORM HEADING FOR TAYLOR COUNTY...
A STORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO...WILL CROSS MUCH OF TAYLOR COUNTY
BETWEEN 750 PM AND 830 PM EST. PEOPLE ACROSS TAYLOR
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TAYLORSVILLE AREA...SHOULD SEEK STURDY
SHELTER INDOORS AS THIS STORM APPROACHES. REMEMBER...A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST.

13

Special weather statement, Nov 15, 7:53 PM EST, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
753 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

INZ083-160200-
DUBOIS IN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JASPER
653 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...STRONG NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN DUBOIS COUNTY...
THOUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF DUBOIS COUNTY...STRONG
WEST WINDS WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS
GUSTING OVER 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS...SUCH
AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INSIDE.

13

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 15, 7:08 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Edmonson	22 min
Nov 15, 7:11 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Barren	34 min
Nov 15, 7:22 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hart	23 min
Nov 15, 7:29 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Simpson	46 min
Nov 15, 7:34 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock, Ohio	41 min
Nov 15, 7:38 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Green, Metcalfe	37 min
Nov 15, 7:51 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Taylor	24 min
Nov 15, 7:55 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Allen	35 min
Nov 15, 8:01 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Meade	44 min
Nov 15, 8:19 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Barren	26 min
Nov 15, 8:36 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Metcalfe	24 min
Nov 15, 8:52 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Cumberland, Green	23 min
Nov 15, 9:17 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton, Russell	28 min
Nov 15, 9:26 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Madison	34 min
Nov 15, 10:00 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	15 min
Nov 15, 10:08 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Madison	22 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.