Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 130, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 4, 2005, 6:28 PM CDT for Clinton County, Kentucky. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2005, 6:28 PM CDT (23:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2005, 7:17 PM CDT
- In force
- 49 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Clinton County, KY
The radar
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1015 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 892 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 4, 2:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 2:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 300 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)... LATEST MODEL DATA SHOWS A DECENT SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY REGION LATER TONIGHT AN EVEN STRONG SYSTEM LAGGING BEHIND THE FIRST SYSTEM AND FURTHER TO THE NORTH TOO. ASSOCIATED WITH THESE IMPULSES IS A COLD FRONT THAT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST INTO KY ON TUESDAY. LATEST SAT AND RADAR DATA SHOW SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF FA LATER TONIGHT ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IN INTENSITY DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. ONGOING SCATTERED TSTMS ACROSS SRN AND ERN PORTION OF FA...OF A DIURNAL MODE AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH AND END DURING THE EARLY NIGHT HOURS. WILL GO WITH 50 TO 70 PERCENT POPS ACROSS NWRN TWO THIRDS OF FA ESPCY AFT MIDNIGHT...AND 30 TO 40 PERCENT POPS TO THE SOUTHEAST. ON TUESDAY THE FRONT WILL PRESS ON TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE MAIN FCST PROBLEM BEING JUST HOW FAR SOUTH DOES IF GET BEFORE STALLING OUT. WILL GO WITH 40 TO 50 PECENT POPS ON TUE. -AB .LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)... FRONT DROPPING SOUTHEAST ACROSS FA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF FA BY EVENING. MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IN THE EARLY PART OF THE LONG TERM IS LINGERING SHOWERS INTO TUESDAY EVENING AND ANY REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NAM SEEMS TO HAVE A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON THE SHORT TERM AND WILL USE NAM TIMING TO END SHOWERS TUESDAY EVENING THEN BLEND INTO ECMWF BY THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE DIMINISHING AS FRONT MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST. FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY BY EARLY TUESDAY EVENING AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF FA. WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. BOTH NAM AND GFS TAKE FRONT TO THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY ECMWF SHOWING SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE. WILL KEEP SHOWERS OUT FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...FAVOR THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z ENSEMBLE MEAN. 06Z GFS DEEPENS THE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST FASTER AND IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN THEN 04/00Z ECMWF AND THE 00Z ENSEMBLE MEAN. BOTH MODELS ARE SLOWER TO DEEPEN THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST AND THE ECMWF IS FASTER TO MOVE THE TROUGH OUT. THE DGEX ALSO KEEPS THE TROUGH SOMEWHAT WEAKER. THUS HAVE REJECTED THE 06Z GFS. WITH ALL MODELS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY DRY. THE ONLY PROBLEM WILL BE THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH LATEST HURRICANE CENTRAL FORECAST TAKING IT INTO THE GULF COAST STATES THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY THEN CURVING TO THE EAST EARLY SATURDAY. ATTM WILL BRING SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS NORTH INTO MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF FA BUT KEEP PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF THE AREA. IF TROPICAL SYSTEM TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK THEN MAY HAVE TO CONSIDER PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND. -MBS && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .IN...NONE. .KY...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 12:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-050830- ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY- CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY- FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY- HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY- JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY- MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY- NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN- RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY- TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY- WOODFORD KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBANY...BARDSTOWN...BEAVER DAM... BOWLING GREEN...CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA... DANVILLE...ELIZABETHTOWN...ENGLISH...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN... GEORGETOWN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG...HARRODSBURG...JAMESTOWN... JASPER...JEFFERSONVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON... LOUISVILLE...MADISON...MOUNT WASHINGTON...MUNFORDVILLE... NEW ALBANY...PARIS...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SCOTTSVILLE... SHELBYVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...STANFORD...TAYLORSVILLE...TELL CITY... TOMPKINSVILLE...VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER 1 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT WILL BE TRIGGERED BY A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS TONIGHT MAY BECOME SEVERE ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA WHERE THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY HOWEVER SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA. AB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
502 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN GRADYVILLE 37.08N 85.42W
07/04/2005 2.00 INCH ADAIR KY TRAINED SPOTTER
2.00 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
&&
SZAPPANOSLocal storm report, Jul 4, 4:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
533 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0457 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW COLUMBIA 37.14N 85.36W
07/04/2005 ADAIR KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE DOWN.
&&
SZAPPANOSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 3:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair | 34 min |
| Jul 4, 3:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren | 42 min |
| Jul 4, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Casey | 33 min |
| Jul 4, 6:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Cumberland, Monroe | 46 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.