Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Jackson, KY
NWS Jackson, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2005, 8:45 PM EDT for Fleming County, Kentucky. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2005, 8:45 PM EDT (00:45 UTC)
- Expired
- May 19, 2005, 9:16 PM EDT
- In force
- 31 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Fleming County, KY
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 608 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -84 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 800 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 297 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 537 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 5.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KJKL 200045 SVRJKL KYC069-200115- /O.NEW.KJKL.SV.W.0053.050520T0045Z-050520T0115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 845 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN FLEMING COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY * UNTIL 915 PM EDT * AT 842 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DALESBURG...OR ABOUT NEAR FLEMINGSBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MOUNT CARMEL AND PLEASUREVILLE BY 850 PM EDT THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...EXPECT DAMAGING WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. LAT...LON 3852 8388 3837 8374 3863 8326 3881 8343 $$ GEOGERIAN
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS53 KJKL 200056 SVSJKL SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 855 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 KYC069-200115- /O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-050520T0115Z/ FLEMING KY- 855 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN FLEMING COUNTY... AT 853 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLEASUREVILLE...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF FLEMINGSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MOUNT CARMEL...PLEASUREVILLE AND FOXPORT BY 900 PM EDT THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 3853 8388 3834 8371 3842 8353 3858 8365 $$ PELTON
000 WWUS53 KJKL 200116 SVSJKL SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 915 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 KYC069-200125- /O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-050520T0115Z/ FLEMING KY- 915 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN FLEMING COUNTY EXPIRES AT 915 PM EDT... THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND ASK THAT THEY RELAY THE REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3853 8388 3834 8371 3842 8353 3858 8365 $$ PELTON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 6:04 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 19, 6:04 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 604 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 .DISCUSSION... QUICK UPDATE TO ZONES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. UPDATED ZONES HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 410 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)... SURFACE LOW OVER IL WITH A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING ESE ACROSS NORTHER PORTION OF JKL FA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN VCTY OF THE WARM FRONT...AS WELL AS IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS MOST OF KY. NAM/GFS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOVING THIS SURFACE LOW SLOWLY TO THE ESE. IT SHOULD CROSS THE JKL AREA DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. UNTIL THAT TIME...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE FCST. MID-LEVEL S/W WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH ANOTHER FOLLOWING EARLY FRIDAY. BDRY LAYER FORCING IS RATHER WEAK IN THE WARM SECTOR...BUT ANY FORCING WILL ALLOW CONVECTION TO TRIGGER IN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. SCATTERED SEVERE WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SURFACE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY LATE FRIDAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...ALTHOUGH MO CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN. SKIES SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT LATER FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD IN ON SATURDAY. LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF GTLAKES SHORTWAVE MONDAY...NW UPR FLOW CONTINUES AND SHRA LINGERS IN COLDER AIRMASS. TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MON INTO EARLY TUES..BEFORE WEAK RIDGING ALLOWS TEMPS TO MODERATE SOME. GFS LR SIMILAR TO ECMWF BEYOND 00Z TUE...WTH DRY CONDITIONS FROM TUE NIGHT THROUGH END OF FCST PERIOD. MORE ZONAL PATTERN MOVES IN BY VERY LATE IN PERIOD...WTH POSSIBILITY OF PRECIP TOWARD VERY END OF PERIOD...AS ANOTHER GTLAKES S/WV PUSHES THROUGH BEGINNING ON FRI. 1137 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 CLOUD COVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE LATEST RUC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW MID-LEVEL S/W ENERGY WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY LAYER FORCING OBSERVED TO BE VERY WEAK SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONTAL BDRY THAT IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE FA. BDRY LAYER FORCING INCREASES SOMEWHAT AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...THUS KEEPING THE INCREASED THREAT OF T-STORM POTENTIAL. HAVE MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMP AND DEW POINTS ACROSS THE REGION...OTHERWISE NO CHANGES WARRANTED. UPDATED ZONES ALREADY OUT. 536 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 LATEST IR SHOT SHOWS PATCHES OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS PASSING OVER THE AREA. 9Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT LAYING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE SFC LOW IS IN MINNESOTA. GFS AND NAM BOTH INITIALIZED WELL AND ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM. MAIN DIFFERENCES ARE IN THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW. GFS HAS SOME FEEDBACK ISSUES...SO MOSTLY LEANED TOWARDS THE NAM FOR THE NEAR TERM. SLIGHTLY UNDERCUT POPS TODAY AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH. THIS WILL ALLOW AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS. EXPECT ENOUGH SUNSHINE TODAY TO HELP DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP...AS A FEW SHORTWAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. A MCS MOVING OUT OF ILLINOIS WILL HELP PUSH THE FRONT SOUTHWARD TONIGHT...COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROF MOVING INTO THE AREA...LEFT CATEGORICAL POPS IN FOR TONIGHT. SPC HAS PLACED THE COUNTIES NORTH OF HIGHWAY 80 IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR DAY 1. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE THREATS. LOOKING AT THE SOUNDINGS...BEST CHANCE OF DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE IN ANY BOW ECHOS THAT DEVELOP. SEE SPC/S DAY 1 DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAIL. WILL ALSO MENTION THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE HWO. POPS WILL COME TO AN END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ON FRIDAY..AS THE UPPER TROF MOVES OUT THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TOMORROW. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT...AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE REGION. WITH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING CLOUDS...ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED. PREVIOUS TEMPERATURE GRIDS WERE IN GREAT SHAPE. GENERALLY ONLY MADE A FEW TWEAKS IN THE GRIDS. FOR TODAY...WITH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND THE ONSET OF PRECIP IN THE AFTERNOON LEANED TOWARDS THE WARMER FWC AND MAV NUMBERS. MAV NUMBERS LOOKED FOR THE REST OF THE NEAR TERM...SO GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE. 1001 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2005 NE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO STAVE OFF PLAINS LOW PRESSURE THIS EVENING. DEWPOINTS HAVE REMAINED FROM THE MID 40S IN THE NE CWA TO THE LOWER 50S IN THE W. DESPITE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS...SOME OF THE COOLER VALLEY LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY DECOUPLED...PARTICULARLY IN THE NE WHERE THE DRIER AIR IS. GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS...WILL INCLUDE A SHELTERED RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT IN THE ZONES AND PULL THE SMALL PRECIP CHANCES OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AS ATMOSPHERE ISNT MOISTENING UP THAT QUICKLY. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SEVERE THUNDERSTROM WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR: KYZ044-050>052 KYZ058>060-069-104-106>109-111-112-114-116 KYZ068-079-080-083>086 && RAY
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 5:44 AM EDT, 15 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 544 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-201100- BATH-BELL-BREATHITT-CLAY-ELLIOTT-ESTILL-FLEMING-FLOYD-HARLAN-JACKSON- JOHNSON-KNOTT-KNOX-LAUREL-LEE-LESLIE-LETCHER-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN- MCCREARY-MENIFEE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWSLEY-PERRY-PIKE-POWELL-PULASKI- ROCKCASTLE-ROWAN-WAYNE-WHITLEY-WOLFE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE... CAMPTON...FLEMINGSBURG...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...HAZARD...HINDMAN... HYDEN...INEZ...IRVINE...JACKSON...LONDON...MANCHESTER...MCKEE... MIDDLESBORO...MONTICELLO...MOREHEAD...MOUNT STERLING... MOUNT VERNON...OWINGSVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...PIKEVILLE...PINEVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...SALYERSVILLE...SANDY HOOK...SOMERSET...STANTON... WEST LIBERTY...WHITESBURG...WHITLEY CITY AND WILLIAMSBURG 544 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE. SPC HAS PLACED AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 80 IN A SLIGHT RISK AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. HPC HAS ALSO PLACED PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. SLOW MOVING AND TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. JM
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 19, 4:18 PM EDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
418 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S MANCHESTER 37.11N 83.77W
05/19/2005 CLAY KY PUBLIC
SEVERAL LARGE...WRIST SIZE LIMBS DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 11.
&&
RAYLocal storm report, May 19, 5:45 PM EDT, 3 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
545 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM HAIL PINE RIDGE 37.76N 83.61W
05/19/2005 0.75 INCH WOLFE KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED.
&&
ARICHEYLocal storm report, May 19, 5:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
549 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0535 PM HAIL SALT LICK 38.12N 83.62W
05/19/2005 0.75 INCH BATH KY TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED.
&&
ARICHEYLocal storm report, May 19, 7:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
742 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM HAIL PAINTSVILLE 37.82N 82.81W
05/19/2005 1.00 INCH JOHNSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER
DELAYED REPORT.
&&
HYSELLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 8:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Fleming | 24 min |
| May 19, 9:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bath | 44 min |
| May 19, 9:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Montgomery | 40 min |
| May 19, 9:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Estill, Powell | 49 min |
| May 19, 9:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Lee, Wolfe | 39 min |
| May 19, 9:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Floyd | 27 min |
| May 19, 9:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Elliott, Morgan | 52 min |
| May 19, 10:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Owsley | 51 min |
| May 19, 10:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Magoffin | 41 min |
| May 19, 10:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Wolfe | 30 min |
| May 19, 10:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Floyd | 46 min |
| May 19, 11:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Johnson | 28 min |
| May 19, 11:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Pulaski, Rockcastle | 29 min |
| May 19, 11:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Martin | 51 min |
| May 19, 11:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | Clay | 4 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.