Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Lincoln, IL
NWS Lincoln, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2005, 7:23 AM CDT for Shelby County, Illinois. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2005, 7:23 AM CDT (12:23 UTC)
- Expired
- May 19, 2005, 7:39 AM CDT
- In force
- 16 min
- Issued by
- NWS Lincoln, IL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Shelby County, IL
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -111 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 754 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 199 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS53 KILX 191223
SVRILX
ILC173-191330-
/O.NEW.KILX.SV.W.0058.050519T1223Z-050519T1330Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
723 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS
* UNTIL 830 AM CDT
* AT 717 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF WESTERVELT
TO TOWER HILL TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TOWER HILL...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES EAST OF TAYLORVILLE TO 10 MILES WEST OF
SHELBYVILLE TO 9 MILES EAST OF NOKOMIS...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESTERVELT
SHELBYVILLE
LAKEWOOD
FINDLAY
COWDEN
STEWARDSON
AT 654 AM...POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN STONINGTON BY THESE
STORMS.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING...BUT STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGER...OR THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY...FOR RELAY TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3951 8902 3936 8901 3922 8910 3922 8859
3952 8867
$$
CHURCHILL1 follow-up statement
000
WWUS53 KILX 191239
SVSILX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
739 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005
ILC173-191249-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050519T1330Z/
SHELBY-
739 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHELBY COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...
AT 730 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED...THUS
THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LAT...LON 3951 8902 3936 8901 3922 8910 3922 8859
3952 8867
$$
BARKERWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 3:52 AM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 19, 3:52 AM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 352 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005 .DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER SRN MN...WITH SFC LOW ANALYZED TO BE OVER ERN ND. FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS THROUGH SRN MN...ERN IA...AND BACK INTO ERN KS. WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM ERN IA THROUGH N CENTRAL IL...SRN INDIANA...AND THROUGH KY. FIRST LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH CENTRAL IL AROUND 03Z...AND QUICKLY LOST THEIR LINE APPEARANCE. ANOTHER LINE MOVED ACROSS THE MISS RIVER VALLEY LATER IN THE EVENING AND ARE CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE NWRN PORTION OF THE STATE FROM QUINCY TO ROCKFORD. WARM AIR IS STILL BEING TRANSPORTED INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES NOT DROPPING MUCH AT ALL UNDER CLOUDY SKIES WITH SRLY WINDS. SEVERAL SITES DID NOT DROP BELOW 70F UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT LOCAL. DWPTS ARE STEADILY RISING...WITH A CLIMB FROM UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S FROM 04Z-08Z. MODELS HAVE BEEN MORE OR LESS IN AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH THE NAM HAVING A CLEANER LOOK TO IT FROM F48-F84. FEEDBACK ISSUES CONTINUE WITH THE GFS...HOWEVER...IT SEEMED TO HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON THE BLOCKING PATTERN...AND LEANED TOWARDS A BLEND OF IT AND THE ECMWF WHEN NEEDED IN THE EXTENDED. FORECAST CONCERNS ARE THE TIMING AND END TO THE ONGOING PRECIP/CONVECTION IN FIRST TWO PERIODS...TIMING OF NEXT UPPER LOW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY...AND ANOTHER FROPA ON LATE TUES/WED. SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY... HPC HAND PROGS AGREE THAT THE FRONT WILL NOT BE IN THE AREA UNTIL LATE TODAY...KEEPING ILX CWA IN THE WARM SECTOR THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TROUBLE IS WHETHER OR NOT THE CLOUD COVER WILL INHIBIT ENOUGH HEATING TO STOP A MIX DOWN FROM 15C 850MB TEMPS. THINK THAT WAA AND THE UPPER LOW WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH TO MIX DOWN AND KEPT THE MAX TEMPS ACROSS THE AREA AROUND 80. SFC LOW DRIFTS ACROSS THE CWA AFTER 18Z WHILE FILLING IN. KEPT POPS ACROSS CWA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. DID NOT ELIMINATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR THUNDER AS INSTABILITY WILL BE EASY TO FIND. SPC HAS KEPT US IN A BROAD AREA OF SLIGHT RISK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELLS IN THE AFTERNOON...AHEAD AND SE OF THE SFC LOW...THOUGH SHEER BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNIDIRECTIONAL BY 18Z. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAVE CAPE VALUES >2000 J/KG AT 12Z...INCREASING WITH PROXIMITY TO SFC LOW BY 18Z TO >2700 J/KG. PWAT VALUES INCREASING TO 1.01-1.49 BY 18Z. GREATEST AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN THE SE...WHERE DPTS HAVE ALREADY COME CLOSE TO 60F WITHOUT SHOWERS OVHD. AS THE SYSTEM GETS INCREASINGLY WRAPPED UP...MAY SEE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES UNTIL WRAP AROUND MOISTURE MAY GIVE US ANOTHER SHOWER OR TWO. PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO END BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... DRY FORECAST EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHEN ANOTHER LOW MOVES THROUGH SRN CANADA. AT THIS POINT...THE REFLECTION OF ANY FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE MODELS IS SOMEWHAT DIFFUSE. AS A RESULT...DO NOT HAVE GREAT CONFIDENCE AND HAVE LEFT THE POPS RELATIVELY LOW. NEXT SYSTEM WILL COME MUCH CLOSER TO THE FA AND IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. CHANCE POPS ARE IN GRIDS FOR PRECIP AHEAD OF SFC FEATURE. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN TIMING IS VERY LOW SINCE IN THE LAST 24 HOURS...THE SYSTEM HAS ALREADY BEEN PUSHED BACK ABOUT AS MUCH TIME. && .ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. HJS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 5:59 AM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 559 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005 ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-201100- CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND- DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN- MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT- RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION- WOODFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...CHAMPAIGN...DANVILLE... DECATUR...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE... LAWRENCEVILLE...LINCOLN...MATTOON...PEORIA...SHELBYVILLE... SPRINGFIELD AND TAYLORVILLE 559 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS FROM 2 PM THROUGH 8 PM. THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS MORNING WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL AS THEY MOVE INTO EASTERN ILLINOIS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO END EARLY...WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP LATER THIS MORNING. THE SUNSHINE WILL CAUSE THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM IOWA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN REDEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES MAY BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY...AND AGAIN AROUND TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LINCOLN. THIS ADDRESS IS ALL IN LOWER CASE.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 19, 7:02 AM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
702 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0654 AM DOWNBURST STONINGTON 39.64N 89.19W
05/19/2005 CHRISTIAN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
POWER LINES DOWN IN STONINGTON.
&&
KELLYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 6:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Christian | 48 min |
| May 19, 3:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Clark, Cumberland | 53 min |
| May 19, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Clay, Richland | 56 min |
| May 19, 3:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Lawrence | 61 min |
| May 19, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Lawrence, Richland | 60 min |
| May 19, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Lawrence | 60 min |
| May 19, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Peoria | 57 min |
| May 19, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Richland | 31 min |
| May 19, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Tazewell | 49 min |
| May 19, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | McLean | 35 min |
| May 19, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Mason | 67 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.