Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 121827
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
126 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

KSC015-121900-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-050612T1900Z/
BUTLER KS-
126 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY
UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

AT 122 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO
AROUND 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EL DORADO...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR CASSODAY BY  155 PM CDT.

THE TOWN OF EL DORADO LAKE IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM.

WINDS TO 60 MPH WERE REPORTED 3 MILES EAST OF EL DORADO.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3787 9700 3764 9688 3772 9652 3808 9653
      3808 9693

$$

DARMOFAL

000 
WWUS53 KICT 121859
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
158 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

KSC015-121908-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-050612T1900Z/
BUTLER KS-
158 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 153 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

HOWEVER TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 465 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER 
COUNTY UNTIL 10 PM CDT. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF THREATENING 
WEATHER APPROACHES AGAIN, OR A WARNING ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3787 9700 3764 9688 3772 9652 3808 9653
      3808 9693

$$

ES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
350 AM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CHALLENGES/CONCERNS WILL BE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS/FLOODING
POTENTIAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALL AREAS
UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY MORNING.

ONGOING CONVECTION IS BEING DRIVEN BY LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION
UNDERNEATH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF 70+ KT JET STREAK. COULD SEE
SOME MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND WITH THIS ACTIVITY, ALONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. THINKING THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FAIRLY
NUMEROUS THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING, AS MCV MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
HOWEVER, ACTIVITY MAY REMAIN WIDELY SCATTERED/NUMEROUS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON, GIVEN STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE AREA, AS WELL AS LINGERING RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF JET
STREAK.

HOWEVER, AM THINKING THE MAIN SHOW WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON,
AND EXTEND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. INTENSE SHORTWAVE IS
EXPECTED TO GO NEGATIVELY TILTED BY THIS AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN
GOOD/DEEP DYNAMIC LIFT OVERSPREADING THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND PRECIPITATION COULD LINGER MUCH OF THE DAY,
WHICH WOULD HAMPER DESTABILIZATION. REGARDLESS, STRENGTH OF
MID/UPPER FORCING SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO FIRE WIDELY SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON GENERALLY WEST OF
I-135. DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
HOWEVER, GIVEN STRENGTH OF FORCING, ACTIVITY MAY HAVE A TENDENCY TO
GO LINEAR, WHICH WOULD INCREASE DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

AS SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH PROGRESS ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT, THINKING THAT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL
PROGRESS EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. SEVERE THREAT WILL
BE POSSIBLE MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL LIKELY BE
CONTINUED FLOODING CONCERNS, AS MORE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
OCCUR.

THUNDERSTORMS COULD LINGER OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY, AS SURFACE FRONT SLOWS DOWN IN
RESPONSE TO BEST MID/UPPER FORCING MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA. COULD
VERY WELL SEE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LINGER ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
KANSAS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER, WOULDNT BE
SURPRISED IF LATER SHIFTS REMOVE POPS FOR TUESDAY, AS GFS IS THE
ONLY MODEL THAT SUPPORTS THE SUPER SLOW SCENARIO.

EXPECTING *MUCH* QUIETER (DRY) WEATHER FROM EARLY/MID WEEK AND
BEYOND, AS CENTRAL PLAINS SHOULD BE INFLUENCED BY MID/UPPER RIDGING.
LARGE BLOCKING PATTERN IS STILL EXPECTED TO SETUP, WITH TROUGHS OVER
THE WESTERN AND EASTERN COASTS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE
LOW-MID 80S MOST OF THE WEEK, AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS WILL INFLUENCE THE AREA, RESULTING IN A NORTH/EAST
COMPONENT TO LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THINKING TEMPERATURES SHOULD START
WARMING UP BY NEXT WEEKEND, AS WESTERN TROUGH APPROACHES AND
INCREASES LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ONCE
AGAIN, DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED FORECAST, AS IT WAS IN
FAIRLY GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    83  66  87  62 /  80  70  40  10
HUTCHINSON      83  65  85  60 /  80  70  30   5
NEWTON          83  65  86  61 /  80  70  40  10
ELDORADO        84  66  87  62 /  80  70  40  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   84  66  89  63 /  80  70  40  20
RUSSELL         80  62  82  57 /  70  70  20   5
GREAT BEND      80  62  83  57 /  70  70  20   5
SALINA          83  64  83  59 /  80  70  30   5
MCPHERSON       83  65  85  60 /  80  70  30   5
COFFEYVILLE     85  67  90  64 /  60  70  40  30
CHANUTE         85  67  89  64 /  70  70  40  20
IOLA            85  67  89  64 /  70  70  50  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ALLEN...BARTON...BUTLER...CHASE...
CHAUTAUQUA...COWLEY...ELK...ELLSWORTH...GREENWOOD...HARPER...
HARVEY...KINGMAN...LABETTE...LINCOLN...MARION...MCPHERSON...
MONTGOMERY...NEOSHO...RENO...RICE...RUSSELL...SALINE...
SEDGWICK...SUMNER...WILSON...AND WOODSON.

&&

KLEINSASSER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
558 AM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-131200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
558 AM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL
AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 135. SEVERE
WEATHER CHANCES WILL SPREAD EAST TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY, MORE HEAVY RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED, WHICH WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING CONCERNS.
CONSEQUENTLY, A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY.
FURTHERMORE, NUMEROUS RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE,
OR FORECASTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY WEST
OF INTERSTATE 135, AND FARTHER EAST TONIGHT. AS ALWAYS, RAINFALL AND
FLOODING REPORTS ARE ALWAYS GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KLEINSASSER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1241 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

KSZ069-121815-
BUTLER-
1241 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BUTLER COUNTY...

AT 1238 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM POTWIN TO
DOUGLASS...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS ALONG VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
111 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

KSZ053-069-070-121900-
BUTLER-CHASE-GREENWOOD-
111 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BUTLER...CHASE AND GREENWOOD COUNTIES...

AT 109 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BURNS TO LEON...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DARMOFAL