Alert archive / Nebraska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2005

Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Hastings, NE

June 3, 2005Dawson County, Gosper County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this flash flood warning at Jun 3, 2005, 4:04 PM CDT for Dawson County, Gosper County, Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 3, 2005, 4:04 PM CDT (21:04 UTC)
Expired: Jun 3, 2005, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Dawson County, NE, Gosper County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1130 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KGID 032105
FFWGID
NEC047-073-040300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
404 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  DAWSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  GOSPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 404 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY
  HEAVY RAIN OVER SMITHFIELD...OR ABOUT 18 MILES SOUTH OF
  LEXINGTON....MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ELWOOD...
  JOHNSON LAKE...
  LEXINGTON...
  SUMNER...
  COZAD...

RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR 
WILL MOVE ACROSS BOTH GOSPER AND DAWSON COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF HOURS.  THIS RAINFALL WILL ONLY FURTHER AGGRAVATE A NEARLY 
SATURATED GROUND FROM RAINS OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. THE EAST 
BRANCH OF MUDDY CREAK...ELK CREEK...DRY CREEK...TURKEY CREEK AND 
SWARTZ CREEK WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING OVER GOSPER 
COUNTY.  SPRING CREEK...BUFFALO CREEK...ELM CREEK AND THE WOOD RIVER 
WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING ACROSS DAWSON COUNTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY...AND YOU MAY BE SWEPT AWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER
SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 4033 10005 4034 9965 4068 9966 4072 9945
      4102 9946 4103 10021

$$

04

2 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS73 KGID 032303
FFSGID

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
602 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

NEC047-073-040300-
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
602 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR GOSPER AND
DAWSON COUNTIES...

AT 602 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER DAWSON AND 
GOSPER COUNTIES.  ALTHOUGH RAINFALL RATES IN THESE STORMS HAVE 
DECREASED OVER THE LAST HOUR...AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL STILL 
EXIST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  THIS WILL ONLY FURTHER AGGRAVATE A 
NEARLY SATURATED GROUND OVER THESE COUNTIES WITH FLASH FLOODING 
POSSIBLE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
HASTINGS.

LAT...LON 4033 10005 4034 9965 4068 9966 4072 9945
      4102 9946 4103 10021

$$

04

000 
WGUS73 KGID 040049
FFSGID

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
748 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

NEC047-073-040058-
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
748 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GOSPER AND DAWSON COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER GOSPER AND DAWSON COUNTIES...AND 
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT LIKELY THROUGH MID EVENING.  FOR 
THIS REASON THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR GOSPER 
AND DAWSON COUNTIES.  

HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL RAIN IS LIKELY TONIGHT WHICH MAY RESULT IN 
ANOTHER ROUND OF FLASH FLOODING DURING THE LATE EVENING AND 
OVERNIGHT HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR 
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 4033 10005 4034 9965 4068 9966 4072 9945
      4102 9946 4103 10021

$$

04

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 3, 2:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2005

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE
DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT...BUT PARTICULARLY HEAVY RAIN FOR TONIGHT.

RADAR INDICATES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS AND MOVING NORTH INTO FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGER
STORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES TO THE
NORTH TONIGHT. THE MAIN PROBLEM TONIGHT WILL BE FLOODING. OVER THE
PAST DAY OR TWO THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA HAS HAD AT LEAST SOME
PRECIPITATION...SOME AREAS MORE THAN OTHERS. ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION WILL ONLY MAKE MATTERS WORSE. THE FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE RAIN. HAVE
MENTIONED HEAVY RAIN IN THE ZONE WORDING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT/TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. THIS COULD KEEP A SMALL
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE PULLS THROUGH THE PLAINS. WITH
THE MOISTURE AVAILABLE AND ENOUGH INSTABILITY...EXPECT THAT THERE
COULD BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM.

THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH FINALLY MOVES TO THE EAST SUNDAY MORNING AND
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ALSO SETTLE INTO THE AREA BRINGING DRY WEATHER FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...DAYS 3 THROUGH 7. NO TOO MANY CHANGES.  SOME THINGS OF
NOTE...STILL GOING WITH MINI-HEAT WAVE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK.  I AM INCREASINGLY CONFIDENT IN RAISING POPS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN EASTERN CWA AS ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH A
SHORTWAVE SWINGING THROUGH ALONG WITH AMPLE MOISTURE IN THE EAST.
MOISTURE IS A QUESTION IN WESTERN CWA.  LOOKS LIKE A POSSIBILITY OF
A PROCESSION OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK TO KEEP
SOME POPS IN. DID MINOR TWEAKING TO TEMPS.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM TONIGHT TO 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING.
KS...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM TONIGHT TO 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

JCB/HEINLEIN

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 11:56 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED WORDING FOR AREA COVERED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-041200-
ADAMS NE-BUFFALO NE-CLAY NE-DAWSON NE-FILLMORE NE-FRANKLIN NE-
FURNAS NE-GOSPER NE-GREELEY NE-HALL NE-HAMILTON NE-HARLAN NE-
HOWARD NE-KEARNEY NE-MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-NUCKOLLS NE-PHELPS NE-
POLK NE-SHERMAN NE-THAYER NE-VALLEY NE-WEBSTER NE-YORK NE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND ISLAND...HASTINGS...HOLDREGE...
KEARNEY...LEXINGTON AND YORK
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OVER SATURATED GROUND WILL RESULT IN FLOODING PROBLEMS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT... ALTHOUGH HAIL
TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE
GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

KSZ005>007-017>019-041200-
JEWELL KS-MITCHELL KS-OSBORNE KS-PHILLIPS KS-ROOKS KS-SMITH KS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OVER SATURATED GROUND WILL RESULT IN FLOODING PROBLEMS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT... ALTHOUGH HAIL
TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE
GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

JCB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 3, 3:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
303 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W MINDEN              40.50N 99.03W
06/03/2005                   KEARNEY            NE   PUBLIC

            CROPS WERE FLATTENED FROM WIND AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

0200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE NELSON             40.25N 98.00W
06/03/2005                   NUCKOLLS           NE   PUBLIC

            CROPS WERE FLATTENED.

&&

MH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 2, 11:00 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Dawson	6 hr
Jun 2, 11:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Gosper	6 hr
Jun 3, 12:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Harlan	44 min
Jun 3, 12:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Sherman, Valley	6 hr
Jun 3, 1:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Kearney	25 min
Jun 3, 1:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Nuckolls	17 min
Jun 3, 4:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Phelps	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Nebraska, 2005 Every flash flood warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.