Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WGUS73 KFGF 262241
FFSFGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
541 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

NDC003-270600-
BARNES ND-
541 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 100 AM CDT MONDAY FOR BARNES
COUNTY...

AT 535 PM CDT...RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AGAIN 
THIS EVENING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS...ARE 
POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE SATURATED GROUND FROM THE RAINFALL EARLIER 
TODAY...ANY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION SHOULD GO DIRECTLY INTO RUNOFF. 
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN RIVERS AND STREAMS. 

THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND MOVE 
SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING THE EVENING. A VERY HUMID AIRMASS WILL ALLOW 
HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDEVELOP ACROSS BARNES COUNTY. 

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE VALLEY CITY...SIBLEY...
SANBORN...ROGERS AND PILLSBURY. 

MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ONE OR TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
FLOAT MOST CARS DOWNSTREAM.

LAT...LON 4667 9839 4684 9840 4685 9842 4722 9843
      4723 9774 4672 9773 4671 9771 4667 9771

$$

BRAMER

000 
WGUS73 KFGF 270542
FFSFGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1240 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

NDC003-270615-
BARNES ND-
1240 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 1 AM FOR BARNES COUNTY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR BARNES COUNTY WILL BE  ALLOWED TO EXPIRE 
AT 1 AM. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE 
ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 2 AM RAINFALL FORM THESE STORMS 
IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL FLOODING.

LAT...LON 4667 9839 4684 9840 4685 9842 4722 9843
      4723 9774 4672 9773 4671 9771 4667 9771

$$

KENNEDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1020 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...SEVERAL WEAK BOUNDARIES LINGERING AROUND THE AREA THIS
MORNING WILL MAKE FOR A TRICKY AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE FORECAST. A WARM
FRONTAL BOUNDRY EXTENDS EAST FROM LOW PRESSURE IN NW SD WITH AN
INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH THROUGH WESTERN ND. WITH SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES RIDING UP IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO FIRE IN S CENTRAL ND MOST OF THE DAY. A MORE PRONOUNCED
AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG THE INVERTED TROUGH AS
IT MOVES INTO ERN ND LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LOTS OF CLOUD DEBRIS EARLY
WILL HELP INHIBIT CONVECTION FROM GETTING TOO OUT OF HAN EARLY...BUT
BREAKS ARE SHOWING UP IN THE WESTERN DAKOTAS SO THE SAME CANNOT SAID
FOR THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREATS WITH STORMS WILL BE HAIL AND A
FEW TORNADOES EARLY...TRANSITIONING TO A WIND AND HAIL THREAT AFTER
DARK.

--------------------PREVIOUS DISCUSSION------------------

.SHORT TERM...
WILL KEEP DISCUSSION BRIEF WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACTIVE WEATHER FROM
EASTWARD ADVANCING LINE OF CONVECTION OUT WEST WORKING INTO NW/NE PORTION
OF CWFA THIS MORNING. MODELS PROJECTING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A CAP TODAY
OVER CWFA AS UPSTREAM BOUNDARY MOVES EASTWARD INTO UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER
REGION. BASED ON THIS WILL KEEP HIGHEST POPS WEST OF THE VALLEY FOR THIS
AFTERNOON WORKING EASTWARD INTO MINNESOTA LATE. TONIGHT WITH WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE RIDING NORTHEAST ALONG BOUNDARY/COUPLED WITH POTENT VORTICITY
MAXIMA EJECTING NORTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS SCENARIO COULD
RESULT IN LINGERING SEVERE STORM THREAT ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH TRAINING OF STORMS OVER THE SAME AREA. ON MONDAY
AS LOW CENTER RIDES INTO ONTARIO PROVINCE EXPECT BOUNDARY TO SAG TO THE
SOUTH WITH LINGERING POP THREAT CONFINED TO SOUTHEAST ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON.
BRIEF RESPITE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
INTO THE AREA. ANOTHER POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS MEAN 500MB TROUGH LIFTS OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO REGION.
BASED ON CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL HOLD
OFF ON HEADLINES FOR NOW AND ISSUE UPDATED ESF. NO CHANGES PLANNED TO EXTENDED.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
MN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
     RIVER FLOOD WARNING AT OSLO.

&&

BERG/JCA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1015 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-262100-
BARNES ND-BENSON ND-CASS ND-CAVALIER ND-CLAY MN-EAST BECKER MN-
EAST MARSHALL MN-EAST OTTER TAIL MN-EAST POLK MN-
EASTERN WALSH COUNTY ND-EDDY ND-GRAND FORKS ND-GRANT MN-GRIGGS ND-
HUBBARD MN-KITTSON MN-LAKE OF THE WOODS MN-MAHNOMEN MN-NELSON ND-
NORMAN MN-NORTH BELTRAMI MN-NORTH CLEARWATER MN-PEMBINA ND-
PENNINGTON MN-RAMSEY ND-RANSOM ND-RED LAKE MN-RICHLAND ND-ROSEAU MN-
SARGENT ND-SOUTH BELTRAMI MN-SOUTH CLEARWATER MN-STEELE ND-TOWNER ND-
TRAILL ND-WADENA MN-WEST BECKER MN-WEST MARSHALL MN-
WEST OTTER TAIL MN-WEST POLK MN-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY ND-WILKIN MN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEMIDJI...DETROIT LAKES...DEVILS LAKE...
FARGO...FERGUS FALLS...GRAFTON...GRAND FORKS...LANGDON...ROSEAU...
THIEF RIVER FALLS...VALLEY CITY AND WAHPETON
1015 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS
AREA IS ROUGHLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 IN NORTH DAKOTA AND HIGHWAY
10 IN MINNESOTA. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...HIGH STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY
OCCUR IN AREAS WHICH HAVE RECENTLY HAD HIGH PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY SOUTH AND EAST OF A
VALLEY CITY TO FARGO TO WARROAD LINE. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AGAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

BRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
933 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HAIL             FORT RANSOM             46.52N 97.93W
06/26/2005  0.88 INCH        RANSOM             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WBARRETT