Severe Thunderstorm Warning 276, NWS Atlanta, GA

000 
WWUS52 KFFC 200346
SVSFFC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1146 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

GAC011-200356-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-050520T0345Z/
BANKS-
1146 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BANKS COUNTY EXPIRED AT 1145
PM EDT...


IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT
UNTIL AFTER THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6.

LAT...LON 3443 8364 3428 8353 3439 8325 3457 8338

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
545 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

.SHORT TERM...
MODELS SIMILAR WITH UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
WEAKENING AS IT DROPS SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON FRIDAY.
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM TAKES SIMILAR PATH...MOVING INTO CENTRAL
TENNESSEE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN INTO NORTH GEORGIA FRIDAY EVENING.
CURRENT FORECAST WITH GOOD CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT STILL LOOK IN LINE AND WILL BE CONTINUED. MODELS SHOW
FRONT CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT...NEARING A AUGUSTA TO ALBANY LINE BY 12Z SATURDAY. WILL HOLD
ON TO LOW POPS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY FOR
SATURDAY MORNING...BUT PLAN TO END ALL PRECIP ACROSS THE COUNTY
WARNING AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH
SOUTHWARD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT AND LOOK FOR FAIR WEATHER FORECAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
SURFACE HIGH GETS PUSHED SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AS NEXT
FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES. MOISTURE APPEARS SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH
THIS SYSTEM BUT THINK LOW POPS WARRANTED. EXTENDED PROGS SHOW
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTH OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA LATE MONDAY/MONDAY
NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY.  DRY
FORECAST LOOK TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGH CENTERED OVER OR
IN THE VICINITY.
&&

.AVIATION...
THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOVING EASTWARD FROM AL CONTINUES TO SHOW
SIGNS OF DIMINISHING. AVAILABLE MOISTURE SEEMS LIMITED AND SFC
LIFTED INDICES FALL OFF AS WELL. ANY CLOUDS SHOULD BE ABOVE 50
THOUSAND FEET AND VISIBILITIES 3 TO 5 MILES AFTER 06Z... AND
POSSIBLY 1 TO 3 MILES 09Z TO 13Z.

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA         64  75  61  77 /  60  70  40  10
ATHENS          64  77  61  77 /  70  70  50  10
GAINESVILLE     63  75  61  78 /  70  70  50  10
ROME            64  79  61  83 /  70  70  40  10
COLUMBUS        67  81  64  83 /  50  70  50  10
MACON           66  82  64  82 /  40  70  50  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1100 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-200900-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-CRAWFORD-
CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-FANNIN-FAYETTE-
FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-
HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-
OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-
SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-
TELFAIR-TOOMBS-TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-
WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1100 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL GIVE WAY TO A WEAK TROUGH THAT
WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE MID U.S. THIS AFTERNOON...AND
MOVE TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

.PRIMARY HAZARD...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING. SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE BEST AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP WILL BE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA ANY TIME THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA AS WEAK SHORT WAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF A STRONGER UPPER
TROUGH...MOVE TO NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. CAPES WILL INCREASE
TO AROUND 1500 WITH LIFTED INDICES OF -2 TO -4. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT.
WHILE SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS...THE LACK OF STRONGER DYNAMICS OR VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
KEEP STORMS FROM BECOMING SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAY TWO THROUGH DAY SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY...SATURDAY...AND
MONDAY. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&
FOR THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND OTHER WEATHER
INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV...AND CLICK ON
GEORGIA.

EA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
708 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     HAIL             4 NNE CORDELE           32.02N 83.74W
05/19/2005  0.75 INCH        CRISP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED BY EMA DIRECTOR.

&&

FFCUSR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
912 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

GAZ021-200145-

912 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL IN CHEROKEE COUNTY
UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 902 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CANTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS AS IT MOVES ACROSS CHEROKEE
COUNTY. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BUFFINGTON
AND BALL GROUND. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR MOVE OUT OF THE COUNTY
BY 945 PM EDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
928 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

GAZ078-200200-

928 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL IN HARRIS COUNTY
UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...

AT 922 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF HAMILTON...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL ...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS IT MOVES ACROSS
HARRIS COUNTY. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
HAMILTON AND PINE MOUNTAIN. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR MOVE OUT OF
THE COUNTY BY 1000 PM EDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1040 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

GAZ023-024-200315-

1040 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL IN BANKS AND HALL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM EDT...

AT 1038 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MURRAYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
BANKS AND HALL COUNTIES. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM
INCLUDE MURRAYVILLE...GAINESVILLE...LULU...AND HOMER. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. THE STORM IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR MOVE OUT OF THE COUNTY BY 1115 PM EDT.