Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
545 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

.SHORT TERM...HAVE HAD A BUSY DAY WITH SEVERE WEATHER. AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA WITH SOME
DRYING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. MAIN UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED BY 06Z...SO
MAY BE SOME REDEVELOPMENT. HAVE LEFT CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR THE
NIGHT. WITH DEEP TROUGH SATURDAY...STRONG WINDS AND COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL TAKE PLACE. WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S POSSIBLE FOR TOMORROW NIGHT AND NEXT SHIFTS
MAY HAVE TO CONSIDER A FREEZE WARNING. DEEP COLD POOL CROSSING THE
CWA SATURDAY AND HAVE LEFT IN THE MENTION OF CONVECTION...BUT MOSTLY
EXPECTING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM...DRY AND COOL FOR THE FIRST OF THE WEEK. SOME WEAK WAVES
IN THE WESTERLY FLOW FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SO LEFT IN THE
MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY LOOK DRY.

&&

.AVIATION...
RAPIDLY DEEPENING UPPER LOW IN THE OHIO VALLEY BRINGING STRONG TO
SEVERE TSRA TO THE AREA. FIRST LINE OF ACTIVITY/MCS EXITING FAR
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA AT THIS TIME. A BRIEF RESPITE ACROSS THE
NORTH BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND. ACTUAL FRONTAL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED
PVA YET TO PASS. ALREADY SEEING DEVELOPMENT ACROSS IL/W TN...THAT
WILL DEVELOP A LINE THAT SHOULD SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN
00Z-06Z. AFT 06Z...MUCH COLDER...DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
CWA...WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE AND SOME SHRA NC/NE GA WITH COLD AIR ALOFT INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS SAT. CLEARING WILL OCCUR AFT 00Z SUN.

CEILINGS...GENERALLY MVFR-VFR THIS EVENING OUTSIDE OF SHRS/TSRA
ACTIVITY. BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR POSSIBLE WITH BRIEF LINE OF EXPECTED
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS EVENING. MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON SAT.

VISIBILITY...GENERALLY VFR...EXCEPT LOCALLY IFR IN SHRA/TSRA THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR POSSIBLE IN BRIEF SHRA NC/NE GA SAT
AFTERNOON...BUT THIS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NE GA AND
NOT IN THE ATL OR AHN TAF SITES.

WX...EXPECT STRONG TO SEVERE NE-SW ORIENTED SQUALL LINE...ALBEIT
BRIEF...OF TSRA TO AFFECT MOST TAF SITES BETWEEN 00Z-06Z. MAIN
THREAT WILL BE 0.5-1.0 INCH HAIL AND WINDS GUSTS TO 50KTS. ISOLD
SHRA POSSIBLE MAINLY N-NE OF ATL AND AHN 15Z-20Z SAT.

WINDS...INITIALLY...IN ADVANCE OF EXPECTED SQUALL LINE THIS
EVENING...WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SW 5-10KTS. WINDS GUSTS TO 50KTS
POSSIBLE WITH POSSIBLE SVR SQUALL LINE 00Z-06Z THIS EVENING. WINDS
GENERALLY 260-280 10-15KTS OVERNIGHT...BUT INCREASING RAPIDLY AROUND
12Z TO 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS 25-30KTS AFT 12Z. WIND WILL BE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT TAF ISSUE FOR SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR ATL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA         55  60  37  57 /  40  30  10  10
ATHENS          56  62  37  57 /  60  30  10  10
GAINESVILLE     55  59  36  57 /  40  30  10  10
ROME            53  62  35  59 /  50  20  10  10
COLUMBUS        59  66  39  63 /  60  30  10  10
MACON           59  67  38  61 /  60  30  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.

&&

41/RAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
746 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-231000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-CRAWFORD-
CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-FANNIN-FAYETTE-
FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-
HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-
OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-
SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-
TELFAIR-TOOMBS-TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-
WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
746 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...FRIDAY NIGHT.

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED UNTIL MIDNIGHT NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA...

.SYNOPSIS...
AN INTENSIFYING UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
TOWARD GEORGIA THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE INTO GEORGIA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ONE ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THE STATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT INTO NORTH AND WEST GEORGIA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

.PRIMARY HAZARD...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT WILL BE LARGE
HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
WHILE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT ALL OF GEORGIA THIS
EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT...THE MAIN THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HIAWASSEE...TO
ATLANTA...TO COLUMBUS.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON HELPED TO STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE SOME.
HOWEVER...AS STRONG DYNAMICS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY APPROACH THE
AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT...RENEWED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WAS BEING OBSERVED ACROSS
NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA. WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY AND
DYNAMICS IN PLACE...SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE AIR MASS WILL RAPIDLY BECOME
MORE STABLE AND THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN
GEORGIA AND ALABAMA.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END AROUND
MIDNIGHT.

.OTHER HAZARDS...
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED SLOWLY ACROSS MIDDLE GEORGIA
THIS AFTERNOON DUMPED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREAS FROM
COLUMBUS...TO VIENNA...TO ABBEVILLE. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS LATER
TONIGHT MAY QUICKLY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND FLOOD PRONED
AREAS WITHIN THIS REGION OF THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA
AND NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...WILL NEED TO REMAIN ACTIVATED UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IN OTHER AREAS OF THE
STATE...ESPECIALLY MIDDLE GEORGIA...WILL NEED TO REMAIN ALERT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

.DAY TWO THROUGH DAY SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
STRONG...GUSTY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF GEORGIA BY MID-MORNING
SATURDAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. FOR THE PERIOD SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE
ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED FOR THE PERIOD THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

&&
FOR THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND OTHER WEATHER
INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV...AND CLICK ON
GEORGIA.

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
652 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

GAZ078>080-085-086-089-230000-
EMANUEL-HARRIS-JOHNSON-MUSCOGEE-TALBOT-TAYLOR-
652 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 187 HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...EMANUEL...HARRIS...JOHNSON...MUSCOGEE...TALBOT AND TAYLOR.

GAZ090>098-102>113-230000-
BLECKLEY-CHATTAHOOCHEE-CRISP-DODGE-DOOLY-HOUSTON-LAURENS-MACON-
MARION-MONTGOMERY-PEACH-PULASKI-SCHLEY-STEWART-SUMTER-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TREUTLEN-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WILCOX-
652 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 187 REMAINS IN EFFECT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
BLECKLEY...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CRISP...DODGE...DOOLY...HOUSTON...
LAURENS...MACON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...PEACH...PULASKI...SCHLEY...
STEWART...SUMTER...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...WEBSTER...WHEELER
AND WILCOX COUNTIES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
700 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

GAZ091>093-102>104-222345-

700 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS
IN SUMTER...WEBSTER...STEWART...SCHLEY...MACON AND MARION COUNTIES
UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

AT 658 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM AROUND RICHLAND AND BUENA VISTA EASTWARD TO
MONTEZUMA AND AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS OVER
THE NEXT HOUR. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL MAY
REDUCE VISIBILITIES. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS ALSO LIKELY.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERTS ARE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN THE SIZE OF
DIMES...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
718 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             ELLAVILLE               32.24N 84.31W
04/22/2005  0.75 INCH        SCHLEY             GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL.

0710 PM     HAIL             1 E CORDELE             31.97N 83.75W
04/22/2005  1.75 INCH        CRISP              GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 PM     HAIL             CORDELE                 31.97N 83.77W
04/22/2005  0.88 INCH        CRISP              GA   PUBLIC

&&

EA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
726 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

GAZ110-230000-

726 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS
IN TELFAIR COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OVER CHINA HILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM OVER
THE NEXT HOUR. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL MAY
REDUCE VISIBILITIES. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS ALSO LIKELY.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERTS ARE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN THE SIZE OF
DIMES...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
748 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

GAZ103>105-107>111-230045-

748 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS
IN WILCOX...TELFAIR...SUMTER...WEBSTER...WHEELER...PULASKI...DODGE
AND DOOLY COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM EDT...

AT 746 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM AROUND PRESTON TO AMERICUS AND EAST ACROSS
VIENNA...CORDELE...ROCHELLE...ABBEVILLE...MCREA AND LUMBER CITY.
THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERTS ARE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN THE SIZE OF
DIMES...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
749 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             VIENNA                  32.09N 83.79W
04/22/2005  1.00 INCH        DOOLY              GA   PUBLIC

0700 PM     HAIL             5 SW VIENNA             32.04N 83.85W
04/22/2005  0.88 INCH        DOOLY              GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

0710 PM     HAIL             VIENNA                  32.09N 83.79W
04/22/2005  0.88 INCH        DOOLY              GA   PUBLIC

&&

EA