Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 061159
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
655 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

TXC271-061430-
KINNEY TX-
655 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 930 AM CDT FOR KINNEY
COUNTY...

AT 652 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF 
NORTHERN KINNEY COUNTY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. 

RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND 1.5 INCHES WERE NOTED IN NORTHWESTERN 
KINNEY COUNTY ALONG FM 3008 AND FM 2523. THIS WAS ALONG THE EAST 
FORK OF THE SYCAMORE CREEK. 

RAINFALL RATES HAVE DECREASED EAST OF BRACKETTVILLE...ALTHOUGH NEW 
STORMS WERE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH AND MOVING NORTH.  

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND 
STREAMS.

FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED AREAS. A LITTLE
OVER A FOOT OF WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST CARS AND TRUCKS. TURN AROUND
DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2941 10068 2922 10014 2959 10014 2961 10067

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 061441
FFSEWX
TXC271-465-061530-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
930 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FOR VAL VERDE AND KINNEY COUNTIES
   HAVE EXPIRED...

AT 930 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED
TO INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM NEAR LOMA ALTO TO BRACKETTVILLE
PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE QUARTER INCHES.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED MAY STILL CAUSE FLOODING
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AND FARMLAND DUE
TO RUNOFF.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED AREAS. A LITTLE OVER A FOOT OF
WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST CARS AND TRUCKS. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2946 10105 2928 10077 2965 10071 2971 10098

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
400 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST PATTERN RESULTING IN CHANCE POPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. MODEL CONSENSUS HAS UPPER LOW OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY MERGING WITH A WESTERLY SHORTWAVE AND
COMBINING TO LIFT THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS
BY TUESDAY. THIS SHOULD LOWER OUR RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY, BUT NOT
NECESSARILY REDUCE MOISTURE LEVELS. THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE
NEVER COMPLETELY GOES AWAY IN EVEN THE MORE CONSERVATIVE GFS
MODEL, AND A TUTT LOW EXPECTED THU/FRI WILL REINFORCE THE
UNSTABLE PATTERN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE DGEX MODEL IS MOST
AGRESSIVE WITH A PERSISENT TROUGH NEVER GIVING US A BREAK IN THE
MAINLY DIURNAL RAINS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. PREFER THE
MIDDLE GROUND OF THE CANADIAN/NOGAPS WITH A COUPLE OF DRIER DAYS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BUT STILL SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION
POSSIBLE. GFS MACHINE NUMBERS LOOK REASONABLE FOR TEMPS THROUGH
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. A WARMING TREND WILL BE MORE NOTICEABLE FOR
LOW TEMPS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE LIFTING TROUGH HELPS ENHANCE
SOUTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              96  75  97  75 /  30  30  30  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  95  72  95  73 /  30  30  30  30
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           91  75  93  76 /  30  40  20  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       93  75  94  75 /  30  40  30  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

18/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
529 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-071000-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
529 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
THE STORMS WILL GENERALLY BE SLOW MOVING. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
URBAN AREAS. WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR
STORMS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.