Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 160052
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
744 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

TXC013-160200-
ATASCOSA TX-
744 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR ATASCOSA
COUNTY...

AT 736 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED 
AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE POTEET...PLEASANTON...CHRISTINE AND 
CAMPBELLTON. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS 
FALLEN NEAR CHRISTINE...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. 

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...
COUNTRY ROADS...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED AREAS. A LITTLE
OVER A FOOT OF WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST CARS AND TRUCKS. TURN AROUND
DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2865 9835 2864 9880 2901 9881 2924 9880
      2924 9880 2912 9843 2898 9829 2880 9811
      2877 9811 2861 9834

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 160156
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
855 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

TXC013-160205-
ATASCOSA TX-
855 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ATASCOSA COUNTY EXPIRES AT 900 PM
CDT...

ALTHOUGH THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED...LIGHT 
TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10 PM CDT. MOTORISTS SHOULD 
EXERCISE CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR WATER ON ROADS.

LAT...LON 2865 9835 2864 9880 2901 9881 2924 9880
      2924 9880 2912 9843 2898 9829 2880 9811
      2877 9811 2861 9834

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
321 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MCS CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTERACTING WITH BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER FROM
SATURDAYS STORMS. MCS IS AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EAST
OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WEST OF THE BIG BEND. TROUGH AND MCS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. HIGHEST POPS
AND QPF WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WHERE BOTH MOISTURE INFLOW AND CONVERGENCE IS THE BEST. HAVE
CONTINUED MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. DUE TO RATHER DRY
SOILS, WILL NOT ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH, HOWEVER ISOLATED FLASH
FLOODING AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING MAY OCCUR. COULD ALSO SEE SOME
HAIL APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS. RAIN CHANCES WILL END BY MONDAY NIGHT
AS TROUGH MOVES EAST OF SOUTHERN TEXAS. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MOVES
ONSHORE THE WEST COAST MONDAY NIGHT THEN TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN TUESDAY AND INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.
LOW LEVEL JET INTO DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE HIGH PLAINS MAY
GENERATE SOME MORNING DRIZZLE OR STREAMER SHOWERS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER CHANCES TOO LOW TO MENTION. ON THURSDAY, THE
TROUGH DEVELOPS INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A
RIDGE BUILDS NORTH FROM NORTHWESTERN MEXICO INTO THE ROCKIES. THE
ECMWF AND UKMET WANT TO BRING THE LOW SOUTH INTO TEXAS ON FRIDAY,
THEN STALL IT OVER TEXAS NEXT WEEKEND WHILE THE GFS AND CANADIAN
BUILD THE RIDGE FURTHER EAST IN TURN KEEPING THE LOW FURTHER EAST.
FOR NOW, WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH FOR THURSDAY
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. AS FOR TEMPERATURES WILL TREND TOWARD THE GFS
GUIDANCE FOR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST CYCLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              61  81  64  86 /  40  40  10  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  60  81  61  86 /  40  40  10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           65  83  65  88 /  60  40  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  81  64  85 /  70  40  10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

04/02

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
555 AM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
555 AM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A WEATHER SYSTEM ALOFT COMING FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST WILL
MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO
50 MPH...AND SOME HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FOR MONDAY...
WITH RAIN CHANCES DECREASING FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY
THROUGH THE EVENING.  LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...AND
SOME HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

DRY AND WARM MID TO LATE MAY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW FROM
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  UNSEASONABLY WARM
AFTERNOONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THOROUGH SATURDAY...AS AN AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
610 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DEL RIO                 29.38N 100.90W
05/15/2005                   VAL VERDE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CISNEROS AND ACADEMY STREETS CLOSED.

0425 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SW ROCKSPRINGS          30.02N 100.21W
05/15/2005                   EDWARDS            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 674 CLOSED.

&&

DC