Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 082224
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
522 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOC089-195-090245-
SALINE MO-HOWARD MO-
522 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR HOWARD AND SALINE COUNTIES UNTIL
945 PM CDT...

AT 519 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED SOME LOCATIONS HAVE RECEIVED OVER 2 INCHES 
OF RAIN.

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
WARNED AREA. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...ARROW ROCK...ESTILL...FAYETTE...GILLIAM...GLASGOW...
LISBON AND NAPTON.

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS SOME WATER OVER THE ROAD ON HIGHWAY J 
IN HOWARD COUNTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3931 9306 3931 9298 3923 9292 3924 9284
      3934 9279 3924 9244 3897 9258 3898 9283
      3907 9294 3894 9307 3895 9349 3928 9348
      3923 9337 3929 9335 3933 9324 3940 9319

$$

LVQ

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 090041
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
741 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOC089-195-090051-
SALINE MO-HOWARD MO-
741 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR HOWARD AND SALINE
COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3931 9306 3931 9298 3923 9292 3924 9284
      3934 9279 3924 9244 3897 9258 3898 9283
      3907 9294 3894 9307 3895 9349 3928 9348
      3923 9337 3929 9335 3933 9324 3940 9319

$$

LVQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
823 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...

QUICK ADJUSTMENT TO THE MORNING FORECAST FOR THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE
POPPED UP. WITH THE MOISTURE AXIS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI...AND THE OUT FLOW FROM THE OVERNIGHT MCS IN
NEBRASKA/IOWA HAS...THE LOW LEVEL JET HAS POPPED OF A LINE OF STORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE MID MORNING HORUS ACROSS. EXPECTATIONS ARE
THAT THE LOW LEVEL JET THAT HELPED START THESE STORMS SHOULD PUSH
THEM OF THE MOISTURE AXIS LATTER THIS MORNING...LIMITING THEIR LIFE
SPAN. ADJUSTED POPS ACCORDING TO CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...WHICH
INCLUDED BRING CHANCE POPS AS FAR SOUTH AS KANSAS CITY.
HOWEVER...WITHOUT THE SUPPORT OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...CONVECTION AS
FAR SOUTH AS I-70 SHOULD HAVE A HARD TIME SUSTAINING ITSELF.

CUTTER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
335 AM WED...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN CONTINUES TO FOCUS ON CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE AS
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN PART OF COUNTRY.

WATCHING STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS MORNING. BOTH 00Z
AND 06Z RUN OF NAM WANTS TO BRING THESE STORMS SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...THEN DROP IT SOUTH AS
A COMPLEX THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RIDE SOUTH IN AXIS
OF BETTER MOISTURE THAT WILL BE SITTING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
WESTERN MISSOURI. NAM 800 MB THETA E LINES UP PRETTY WELL WITH
MOISTURE THAT IS APPARENT ON 11-3.9 IR SATELLITE IMAGE. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS ALSO SHOWING BEST MOISTURE POOLED IN EXTREME EASTERN
KANSAS AT THIS TIME. IF THIS COMPLEX DOES DIVE SOUTH THROUGH AREA
TODAY...MAY SEE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY JUST TO OUR SOUTH THIS
EVENING...PROVIDING FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. TRUE FRONT HOWEVER WILL
STILL BE TO OUR NORTHWEST THIS EVENING...SO MAKES FOR A COMPLEX
SITUATION AS TO WHERE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
OCCURRING TONIGHT. WITH SUCH QUESTION MARKS...WILL LEAVE POPS IN
CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW.

TRUE FRONT SHOULD STAY JUST TO OUR NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...REMAINING ALIGNED WITH THE UPPER FLOW. CONVECTIVELY INDUCED
VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL LIKELY BE FACTORS ON WHERE STRONGEST
CONVECTION OCCURS THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT PLACEMENT AND TIMING
OF THESE WAVES IS VERY UNCERTAIN...SO WILL KEEP WITH MIDDLE OF THE
ROAD POPS FOR THE TIME BEING.

BY SATURDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST UPPER WAVE EXPECTED TO BE LIFTING
NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH STRONG RIDGE HOLDING FIRM OVER
THE EAST COAST...NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION STRONGER STORMS MAY STAY
OVER THE PLAINS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...BUT WITH SHORT WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN PLAINS...SURFACE FRONT MAY BE DRAGGED A LITTLE
FURTHER TO THE EAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THUS BRINGING THE POTENTIAL
OF ANOTHER DECENT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI.

REGARDING TEMPERATURES...ONLY SOME MINOR CHANGES MADE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.  WITH POSSIBILITY OF STORM COMPLEX AND QUITE A BIT OF
CLOUDINESS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES TODAY...WILL LOWER HIGHS A FEW
DEGREES...AND KEEP HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WITH EXPECTED CONVECTION.

PC

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-091200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-
SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-
JOHNSON-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
100 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 435
CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. THESE STORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER AREA OF INTEREST FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS UP TO NORTHWEST
MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS
WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. DEPENDING ON WHERE THE
LINE OF STORMS SITUATES ITSELF OVERNIGHT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS
AGAIN POSSIBLE...EXPECTED MAINLY IN LOCATIONS SOUTH OF I-70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
MISSOURI AND ADJACENT AREAS OF EASTERN KANSAS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY AS UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVER THE MID SECTION OF
THE COUNTRY. WITH SUCH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE...SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE A POSSIBILITY. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS STRONGER UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVE OVER THE REGION.

FLOODING RAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE FACT
THAT MANY AREAS HAVE GROUND THAT IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

LVQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
308 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SALISBURY               39.42N 92.80W
06/08/2005                   CHARITON           MO   POST OFFICE

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN SALISBURY

0303 PM     HAIL             4 S HIGBEE              39.25N 92.51W
06/08/2005  1.00 INCH        HOWARD             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

MJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
309 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SALISBURY               39.42N 92.80W
06/08/2005                   CHARITON           MO   POST OFFICE

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN SALISBURY

&&

MJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
317 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOZ032-039-040-082115-
CHARITON-HOWARD-SALINE-
317 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE...SOUTHERN
CHARITON AND WESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES...

AT 311 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LISBON...OR 14 MILES EAST OF MARSHALL...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CHARITON...HOWARD AND SALINE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF LISBON AND GLASGOW...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

SF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
330 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE AXTELL             39.78N 92.46W
06/08/2005                   MACON              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            KELLOGG AVENUE...ROAD WASHED OUT...IMPASSABLE

&&

MJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
348 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             GLASGOW                 39.23N 92.84W
06/08/2005  0.88 INCH        HOWARD             MO   POST OFFICE

&&

MJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
350 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             MOBERLY                 39.42N 92.44W
06/08/2005  0.75 INCH        RANDOLPH           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3/4 INCH HAIL REPORTED NEAR MOBERLY COMMUNITY COLLEGE

&&

MJM